Morgan Stanley selected the "Top 10 Surprises for 2025": The depreciation of the dollar ranks first.

Morgan Stanley believes that the fiscal deficit in the USA is expected to decrease next year, while the fiscal deficits in China and Germany are likely to increase, which may lead to a convergence of interest rates between the USA and Europe, subsequently triggering a significant depreciation of the dollar. In addition, Morgan Stanley also anticipates a strong recovery in the demand for US Treasury bonds, that the euro is expected to "shine brightly," and that the Bank of England may shorten the interest rate cut cycle.

wallstreetcnDec 25 21:47

Daily Options Tracking | The "Christmas Market" has arrived as expected! MSTR's Call ratio has surged to 61%, and multiple Tesla Call orders have earned over 5 times; Apple is set to hit 4 trillion dollars, with trading in Call Options heating up.

Bitcoin ETF - IBIT rose over 6% overnight, with an Options Chain Volume of 0.19 million contracts, and Call options accounting for 76%; on the Options Chain, bulls are the market Block Orders, with the highest transaction volume for next year's expiry with a strike price of $55, totaling 8,600 contracts.

Futu NewsDec 25 17:08

Powell's "Christmas gift": U.S. Treasury yields breaking above 4.6%.

Powell's "Christmas gift" this year is a hawkish rate cut. Last week, the Federal Reserve lowered its rate cut forecast, suggesting that there will only be two more cuts in 2025, down from the four cuts suggested in September. The futures market currently expects the federal funds rate to reach around 4% by the end of next year, which means one to two rate cuts.

wallstreetcnDec 25 11:45

The inflation outlook is controversial, and there are three factions within the Federal Reserve.

Federal Reserve officials seem to have divided into three factions regarding the future interest rate outlook, with which one prevails depending on the degree of inflation slowdown next year.

Golden10 DataDec 25 10:10

Interest rate cuts for a hundred days, US Treasury bond "interest rate hikes of a hundred points"! The last time it was worse than this was in 1980...

With the USA stock and bond markets officially entering the Christmas holiday this Wednesday, the US bond market is actually experiencing the overlap of three "100s": ① 100 days of interest rate cuts, ② 100 points of interest rate cuts, and also...

cls.cnDec 25 09:26

Futu Morning Post | Christmas carnival begins! US stocks closed higher across the board, and Tesla surged more than 7%; OpenAI exploded to consider developing humanoid robots

Large Banks have filed a lawsuit against the Federal Reserve citing a lack of transparency in stress tests; Apple is seeking to defend itself against the billions of dollars paid to Google in the antitrust case regarding search.

Futu NewsDec 25 08:11