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What will happen to the U.S. stock market with all kinds of outcomes tomorrow? This is goldman sachs's answer.
Goldman Sachs believes the most likely outcome is Harris's election with a divided Congress (40% probability), long-term growth/nasdaq/wind power/china/global export themes will outperform large cap, defensive stocks are better than cyclical stocks.
Bernstein Maintains Hess Corp(HES.US) With Buy Rating, Maintains Target Price $158
Total CEO: Regardless of who is elected, the USA will consolidate its advantage in the energy sector.
①CEO Patrick Pouyanne of Total stated that regardless of who wins the election, the next US president will strive to maintain the USA's energy dominance rather than risk losing it; ② About 64% of the crude oil production in the USA comes from shale oil. Pouyanne mentioned that the USA will soon become the top country in global liquefied natural gas (LNG) production.
Express News | Analysis: Trump's trading turmoil indicates that the market may face high volatility on the day of the US election.
Why 'Trump trade' and 'Harris trade' may just be ordinary stock market bets
Despite market rumors that Wall Street investors prefer Trump, the latest data shows that the opposite may be true.
What happened? Trump's winning percentage plummeted, and "Trump trade" across the board fell...
①According to the data from the most eye-catching election prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of Trump winning this year's election has now dropped to 54.5%. ②It's worth noting that just last Friday, Trump's chances of winning were still as high as 63.2%; ③The sharp drop in Trump's chances of winning is related to a key poll released over the weekend in a "red state": the state of Iowa.