The International Finance Association warns: U.S. debt will 'explode' after Trump takes office!
The International Finance Association pointed out that Trump is very likely to make the US debt reach over 150% of GDP...
The Republican Party won a majority of seats in the House, but the slim advantage brings challenges.
House Republicans are expected to win a majority of seats in the next Congress, giving them unified control that allows Trump to have more say in budget and tax battles. However, given that the Republican majority is expected to be narrow and internal consensus may be difficult to achieve, this could hinder their efforts to advance Trump's agenda.
Goldman Sachs: The "rush towards junk stocks" trend will continue until Trump's inauguration, with the most short sold U.S. stocks being favored.
Goldman Sachs advises to continue holding the most short-sold stocks until the end of January next year, as a decrease in interest rates, avoidance of an economic recession, resolution of election uncertainties, and Trump's overwhelming victory will create an environment favorable for a rebound driven by 'animal spirits,' which benefits low-quality stocks.
Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf Options Spot-On: On November 13th, 298.57K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.65 Million Open Interest
On November 13th ET, $Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf(HYG.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 298.57K options for the day, of which put options accounted
Wall Street comments on CPI: A rate cut next month is basically certain, but the pace of rate cuts next year may slow down due to Trump's policies.
Wall Street analysts say that CPI data in line with expectations can almost guarantee that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month, but the market still needs to assess the impact of inflation caused by the next US president, Trump, which may lead to the Federal Reserve slowing down its rate cuts next year.
Treasury Yields Slip After CPI Data -- WSJ
U.S. Treasury Curve Has Room to Steepen -- Market Talk
Daily options tracking | The call ratio for nvidia has skyrocketed! Multiple call contracts have made nearly double profits; china large cap etf pre-market increased by nearly 2%, with tens of millions of dollars in l betting on the rise.
shopify's performance exceeded expectations, soaring more than 21% after hours, options volume increased nearly 7 times compared to the daily average, call ratio at 71%, plenty of profit potential, many in-the-money call orders massively earned more than double the option premium.
Treasury-German Bund Yield Spread Could Widen If U.S. CPI Data Surprises -- Market Talk
Multiple institutions have stated that Trump's victory will "affect" the bond market, and US bond yields may rise to 5% or higher.
Investment institutions Franklin Templeton, JPMorgan Asset Management, and T. Rowe Price all believe that as the market digests the impact of Trump's election victory on the bond market, US bond yields will rise.
On the eve of CPI, the bears are adding shorts! Be careful of a possible crash tonight.
If any signs of USA CPI announced on Wednesday are faster than expected, it may further strengthen the confidence of these bears.
Is the strong dollar storm coming back? Trump is a variable!
Wall Street predicts that Trump's return to the White House will lead to a stronger dollar, but some believe it may have already gone too far.
Rising too fast! On the eve of CPI data, the US bond yield approaches the key resistance level of 4.5%.
The overnight yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond rose to a four-month high of 4.43%, just a step away from the key resistance level of 4.5%. Once the yield exceeds 4.5%, the only barrier to reaching 5% will be 4.66%. In addition, the rise in US Treasury yields is also putting pressure on US stock valuations.
US Treasury put positions continue to rise, with US October CPI data becoming a focus of attention.
Data released on Tuesday shows that the open interest of two-year US Treasury futures has risen for the fourth consecutive trading day, indicating traders are building put positions ahead of the release of October inflation data on Wednesday.
Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf Options Spot-On: On November 12th, 385.2K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.39 Million Open Interest
On November 12th ET, $Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf(HYG.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 385.2K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 7
Traders Ramp Up Bets on a Treasury Selloff After Trump's Win
BofA's Global FMS: U.S. Equity Positioning Surged to 11-year High, Sentiment Rose Post-election
US Companies Storm Debt Markets After Risk Premiums Plunge
Trump's proposed economic policies may not all be fully implemented? Wharton School professor: He does not want to disrupt the bull market!
①Jeremy Siegel, a finance professor at the Wharton School of Business, said on Monday that in order to avoid losing the support of stock and bond investors, Trump may not fully implement his proposed economic policies; ②he pointed out that Trump has been keen in the past to use the stock market as a measure of the success or failure of a president, and as such, he may not want to disrupt the current bull market.
"Widow's trades" are still ongoing! Last week, the TMF, which tripled its bottom in US treasuries, saw a record inflow of funds.
You bought TMF because you believed that interest rates would fall, but this trade seems to have never worked out. It has hurt many people's hearts.