What does Treasury Secretary Yellen mean by US taxation, interest rates, and US debt?
Analysis shows that, in terms of tax policies, attention is focused on Bezent's testimony at the hearing; Bezent's remarks have little impact on interest rates, the key is how much the White House can leverage Bezent's reputation to prevent bond market fluctuations, Bezent may use 'unconventional' measures regarding the US debt ceiling issue. In addition, he will also play an important role in cryptocurrency regulation.
In the past 24 hours, three major events are igniting the global market!
In the past 24 hours, investors in various fields including the stock market, bond market, foreign exchange market, and csi commodity equity index market have identified key “themes” affecting their respective markets. And behind all these market trends, it can actually be attributed to three major events.
Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf Options Spot-On: On November 25th, 130.54K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.1 Million Open Interest
On November 25th ET, $Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf(HYG.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 130.54K options for the day, of which put options accounted
How will Trump 2.0 policies affect global capital markets? Bank of America Merrill Lynch lists three possible scenarios that may arise.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch believes that in the best-case scenario, the US GDP growth rate will exceed 3%, the US dollar will be slightly strong, and the gold price will be relatively low; in the worst-case scenario, aggressive tariff policies will impact global trade, exacerbate the risk of US recession, and cause a sharp decline in US stocks; in the tail risk scenario, the US economy will fall into stagflation, the US dollar will weaken across the board, and gold and cryptos will benefit.
The 4.5% U.S. bond yield is too tempting! Are traders starting to enter the market and bottom-fish?
Some analysts predict that 4.25%-4.5% will be a reasonable range for the 10-year US Treasury bond yield. If it rises to 5%, it will be time to consider increasing positions.
Great Wall Securities: patiently waiting for the end of inflation trade, usd index and US bond yields may remain strong.
In the short term, it is recommended to continue focusing on the large cap indices such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq 100, as well as the more elastic Russell 2000 pure value. Gold prices may experience short-term fluctuations at high levels, supported by risk aversion sentiment.
The selling spree of U.S. bonds is receding! As the "anchor of global asset pricing" reaches 4.5%, traders are coming in to "buy the dip."
The U.S. bond market has stopped its volatility, with buyers eagerly chasing a 4.5% yield.
Bond Market Halts Brutal Run as Buyers Pounce on 4.5% Yields
Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf Options Spot-On: On November 22nd, 170.39K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.05 Million Open Interest
On November 22nd ET, $Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf(HYG.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 170.39K options for the day, of which put options accounted
Trump is considering letting Walsh serve as Treasury Secretary first, and then as Chairman of the Federal Reserve.
Some informed sources indicate that Trump is considering appointing Bessent to lead the White House Economic Council. If Powell becomes the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Trump will nominate Bessent to be the Secretary of the Treasury later in his term.
Become the Treasury Secretary first for a year before assuming the position of Chairman of the Federal Reserve? It is rumored that Trump has set his sights on Kevin Warsh.
According to informed sources, the newly elected president Trump has proposed to choose financier Kevin Warsh as the Secretary of the Treasury; and when the term of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ends in 2026, Warsh may also be nominated as the Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Goldman Sachs, the "bull market leader", outlook for 2025: Next year, the USA will be a year of simultaneous rise in stocks and bonds.
Goldman Sachs is bullish on the USA stock market and bonds market in 2025.
Fed Dovish Official: May Need to Slow Down Rate Cuts.
①Given the uncertainty and divergence about how low interest rates should go, Gurusbe has stated that it may be wise to slow down the pace of rate cuts as the target approaches; ②Within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gurusbe is one of the most dovish officials, and he does not have voting rights on monetary policy this year.
Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf Options Spot-On: On November 21st, 160.43K Contracts Were Traded, With 4.99 Million Open Interest
On November 21st ET, $Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf(HYG.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 160.43K options for the day, of which put options accounted
Daily options tracking | Bitcoin boosts MSTR to soar! Implied volatility level rises to the highest level of the year; Target's performance collapses, one put position earns 63 times the amount.
MARA surged nearly 14% overnight, options volume increased by 76.5% compared to the previous period, the call-to-rise ratio rose to 77%, extending the volatility to 147%; on the options chain, the bulls are the block orders in the market, with the highest volume of call options at a strike price of $22 expiring tomorrow, reaching 0.03 million contracts.
Fed Might Be Approaching End of Interest-Rate Cutting Cycle
Rise in Treasury Yields Doesn't Surprise as Fed Cuts in Robust Economy -- Market Talk
Will Trump's immigration policy backfire?
Source: Barron Chinese Author: Hannah Irene Lang The opposite effect. Trump's proposed tariff policy has been considered to push up prices, economists warn that his second signature policy - the plan to expel millions of illegal immigrants from the United States - may also push up prices. Economists believe that a massive immigration expulsion plan will disrupt industries that rely on immigrant labor, including agriculture and construction, causing problems such as labor shortages and production slowdowns, and ultimately leading to food, housing, and other goods becoming more expensive. Neil, Chief Economist at Capital Economics
Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf Options Spot-On: On November 20th, 259.19K Contracts Were Traded, With 4.97 Million Open Interest
On November 20th ET, $Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf(HYG.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 259.19K options for the day, of which put options accounted
Treasury Yields Resume Rising Trend -- Market Talk