Fed's Harker: Fed Still on Rate-cut Path, Future Moves Driven by Data
Danger! U.S. Treasury yields are approaching the critical level of 5%, and a new wave of stock market sell-off may be coming.
The yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is rapidly rising to its highest level since October 2023, approaching a critical threshold that has historically triggered stock market sell-offs, causing panic in the market.
The bond market is making a scene, and US stocks may be in for a tough time.
The stock market may once again shift to a "good news is bad news" pattern......
The US stock market is closed today, and US Treasury bonds closed early.
Glory Exchange, January 9 | In mourning for the late former President Carter, the US stock market will be closed for one day on January 9 (Thursday). The Equity Index Trading under CME will end early at 22:30 Beijing time; Interest rates and Shenzhen Agricultural Products Group futures trading will end early at 02:15 on the 10th; Treasury futures trading will end early at 03:30 on the 10th; Precious Metals, Energy, Forex, and Cryptos futures trading will proceed as usual, please be aware.
Fed Signals Delayed Rate Cuts as Inflation Concerns Linger, Goldman Sachs Says
Term Premium on U.S. Treasurys Might Continue to Rise -- Market Talk
Yellen: Biden's pandemic spending may "slightly" drive up inflation, a stronger economy fuels U.S. debt selling.
Yellen stated that the government spending following the pandemic is necessary, and that high inflation mainly stems from supply chain issues; she is confident that inflation remains on a downward trajectory; the current sell-off of U.S. Bonds is due to the economy being stronger than expected, leading to a repricing of market interest rate expectations, but the term premium has begun to normalize; she hopes the Trump administration will take the deficit seriously and does not wish to see the 'Bond Vigilantes' make a comeback; after leaving her position as Treasury Secretary, she may return to the Brookings Institution.
Consumer Cos Up After Fed Minutes Quell Some Rate Fears -- Consumer Roundup
Fed Minutes Suggest Officials Will Hold Rates Steady for Now -- 2nd Update
When Traders See the Fed Moving Next on Interest Rates -- WSJ
Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf Options Spot-On: On January 8th, 215.55K Contracts Were Traded, With 6.08 Million Open Interest
On January 8th ET, $Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf(HYG.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 215.55K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 78
US10Y Soars About 100 Bps Since Fed Rate Cuts, Signaling a Diverging Inflation Outlook
The surge in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is causing "pain" in the market, with U.S. stocks facing further downside risk.
As the 10-year US Treasury yield approaches levels that have caused significant pain in the stock market in recent years, there is still room for further declines in the US stock market.
The chief economist of Apollo warns: the surge in U.S. bond yields may trigger an "Elizabeth Truss moment."
The chief economist at Apollo stated, "The long periods of high interest rates have many consequences, reminding us of the situation in 2022 when Bonds yields rose and Stocks fell."
The 10-year U.S. Treasury auction has a massive failure, and the yield may soar to 5% before Trump's inauguration.
The sell-off of U.S. Treasuries is accelerating, with the winning bid yield in the 10-year Treasury auction reaching a new high since August 2007. With Trump's inauguration approaching, Options indicate that this yield could soar to 5%.
The selling of U.S. bonds is accelerating, with 5% just around the corner!
As the day approaches for Trump to officially take office as the president of the USA, concerns in the bond market about the inflation outlook are starting to rise, and Wall Street generally anticipates that US Treasury bonds will continue to decline. On Tuesday, the yield on the 30-year US Treasury bond hit a 14-month high at 4.919%, nearing the 5% mark; the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond climbed to 4.695% on Tuesday, marking the highest level since April of last year.
Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf Options Spot-On: On January 7th, 314.63K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.91 Million Open Interest
On January 7th ET, $Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf(HYG.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 314.63K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 97
Fed's Cook: Markets at Risk of 'Large Declines' as Valuations Are Elevated
Daily Options Tracking | The CES conference boosts a frenzy in chip stocks! NVIDIA and AMD Call Options are being aggressively bought; FuboTV skyrocketed 251% overnight, with one Call yielding an astonishing 300 times increase.
MicroStrategy has seen a strong rebound for two consecutive days, with a cumulative increase of over 26%. Yesterday, the Options Volume remained high, with the Call ratio exceeding 70%, and volatility continued to rise.
Treasury Yields Hold Steady as Investors Await Fresh Economic Data