Why did the bond market move in the opposite direction when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time in four years?
The Federal Reserve took a major step on Wednesday, September 18, reducing borrowing costs immediately for the first time in four years. This is the first time the Fed has cut interest rates since 2020, reducing the short-term policy rate by half a percentage point and lowering the target range to 4.75% to 5%.
Loose cycle begins! Take history as a lesson: There is a hidden connection between FED interest rate adjustments and election results.
①There is less than 7 weeks until the November 5th election. ②When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the party in control of the White House has lost 5 out of 6 elections.
Why is the first rate cut 50 basis points? 9 "key points" of the Fed's decision not to be ignored.
On this globally attention-grabbing night of the Fed's interest rate cut, what key signals did the Fed actually release? In addition to the decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, what other key details should not be overlooked? We have summarized the "key points" of 9 interest rate meetings to provide readers with a clear understanding.
China and Japan, the two major creditors, reduced their holdings of US bonds in July: China's total holdings decreased by nearly 40 billion US dollars this year.
On Wednesday, September 19th local time, the US Department of Treasury released the Treasury International Capital (TIC) report for July 2024. The report shows that the scale of US Treasury holdings by foreign investors reached a new all-time high in July. However, the two largest foreign debt holders of the US, Japan and China, both chose to reduce their holdings.
Futu Morning News | The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, and the US stock market sees a roller coaster market! Powell: Don't think this is a new pace of interest rate cuts.
"Fed Horn": The Federal Reserve is actually making up for lost time; Polls: Harris leads Trump in swing states Pennsylvania and Michigan; Apple is up nearly 2%, and Morgan Stanley is expected to take over its credit card project from Goldman Sachs.
The Federal Reserve has made a rare and significant cut of 50 basis points! Powell: Don't think this is a new pace of rate cuts.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's hawkish comments indicate that the Fed's economic forecast summary does not indicate any urgency to cut interest rates. Monetary policy decisions will be driven by data, and rate cuts will be accelerated, slowed down, or paused as needed. He stated that the increased downside risks to US employment are worth watching, and the subsiding upside risks to inflation are encouraging, but the fight against inflation is not yet won. The Fed does not have a predetermined policy path and will decide on actions at future meetings.
TOP 20 transaction volume | Nvidia fell nearly 2%, with a transaction volume of over 35.5 billion US dollars; Apple rose nearly 2%, and Goldman Sachs is expected to take over its credit card project from Goldman Sachs.
On Wednesday, Nvidia, ranking first in trading volume, fell 1.92% with a turnover of $35.556 billion. Tesla, ranking second, fell 0.29% with a turnover of $17.913 billion. Apple, ranking third, rose 1.80% with a turnover of $13.189 billion.
Powell emphasized: the substantial interest rate cut is to stabilize the employment market, and the U.S. economy is still in a strong state.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell pointed out at the press conference that the main purpose of this rate cut is to stabilize the employment market.
Gundlach Says the Fed Still a Bit Behind the Curve After Large 50bp Rate Cut
Treasury Yields Settle Higher in Choppy Trade After Fed's Big Cut -- Market Talk
Express News | Federal Reserve Chairman Powell: It should not be assumed that a 50 basis point rate cut represents a new rhythm.
Express News | Federal Reserve Chairman Powell: The Federal Reserve will accelerate, slow down, or pause interest rate cuts as appropriate.
Express News | Federal Reserve Chairman Powell: The overall strength of the US economy has cooled down the labor market from its previous overheated state.
Express News | The Federal Reserve raised its forecast for the US unemployment rate to 4.4% in 2024 and lowered its forecast for US GDP growth to 2.0% in 2024.
Express News | The Federal Reserve's policy statement: Inflation has made further progress towards the 2% target, but still remains at a "slightly high" level.
Express News | The Federal Reserve dot plot: The Federal Reserve expects the federal funds rate to be 4.4% at the end of 2024.
Express News | The Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point rate cut, initiating an interest rate reduction cycle.
Former Federal Reserve "Hawk King": Interest rates should be cut by 25 basis points tonight, otherwise there will be no defense.
Brad believes that the Federal Reserve cannot defend a 50 basis point rate cut. The former 'Fed gossip agency' also stated that the communication of a 50 basis point rate cut is more challenging.
US Stock Market Outlook: The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is coming tonight; Pre-market soars nearly 53%! US space concept stock LUNR secures nearly $5 billion contract.
Apple has been surpassed by Xiaomi again after 3 years, falling to the third largest mobile phone brand in the world in August; United States Steel rose nearly 4% in pre-market trading, and the CEO said he is confident that the acquisition deal will eventually be approved by the US government; Another major bank is strongly bullish on gold: it will rise to $2900 next year.
What risks will the market face if the Federal Reserve doesn't cut interest rates by 50 basis points?
Goldman Sachs pointed out that the current market pricing is aggressive, with the risk of expectations falling short, which may have a negative impact on market sentiment and asset prices. The pace of future interest rate cuts may also be slower than market expectations. The market will focus on the released "dot plot" for more specific guidance from the Federal Reserve on future interest rate cuts and scope.