Wall Street executives question: Fed's loose monetary policy may fall short of expectations
Due to concerns about the resurgence of inflation, many chief executives of large investment banks do not agree that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice before the end of the year.
Facing the impact of election day: the usa stock, bond, and currency markets are entering a 'battle state'!
①As the polls continue to show intense competition in the US presidential election, on the first trading day of the "super week" of the election and the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, US stocks, the US dollar, and US bond yields have all fallen; ②At the same time, traders in various cross-asset sectors have entered the final preparation mode before the election day...
Will the US stock market hit a new high after the election? Goldman Sachs: FOMO mentality helps, S&P is expected to reach 6100 points by the end of the year.
Morgan Stanley's Chief US Stock Strategist Wilson predicts that the S&P will reach a highest of 6100 points by the end of this year, equivalent to a 6.5% increase compared to last Friday's close. At the same time, he warns that due to the lack of clear catalysts, the enthusiasm of the US stock market may fade as 2025 approaches. He believes that the most favorable outcome for the stock market is Trump's re-election and a divided Congress, as markets favor uncertainty.
Futu Morning Post | Countdown to the election! The panic index VIX is burning high and uncertainty is haunting the market nerves; Up nearly 13% after hours! Palantir raises full-year revenue guidance
Jpmorgan warns: If Trump wins on Wednesday, the Fed may pause the easing cycle as early as December; Will the US stock market hit new highs after the election? Jpmorgan: FOMO psychology boosts, S&P may hit 6100 points by the end of the year; US polls: Harris and Trump are neck and neck in key 'swing states'.
Bond traders are withdrawing from the "Trump trade" and are no longer betting on rising inflation expectations.
On Monday, USA Vice President Harris received the final support of voters in key states, while participants in the bond market have withdrawn from the "Trump trade" and are no longer betting on rising inflation expectations.
No matter who becomes president, goldman sachs trading department: regardless of the outcome, CTA will sell stocks this week.
Last week, CTA has already sold $8 billion worth of global equities. Goldman Sachs trading department predicts that in a market downturn, the E-mini S&P 500 index will experience an outflow of $11.2 billion, and will see an outflow of $0.94 billion in an uptrend.