Miran was nominated by Trump as the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, supporting stronger control over the Federal Reserve and criticizing Yellen for manipulating U.S. debt.
Miran calls for comprehensive reform of the Federal Reserve to ensure greater political control over it. At the same time, he accuses Yellen of manipulating the USA government debt market, believing that the Biden administration has effectively implemented an 800 billion dollar quantitative easing.
Between Trump's Trade and Powell's panic, how should investors make their choice?
The formidable adversary of the Trump Trade has emerged: Powell's impact has been felt. After experiencing Powell's hawkish shift, the once-booming Trump Trade is showing signs of fatigue. Between the Trump Trade and Powell's panic, how should investors decide?
The impact of the Federal Reserve's hawkish interest rate cuts continues, and "higher for longer" has returned to investors' attention.
Federal Reserve officials now predict that the rate cuts in 2025 will be smaller. In the final trading days of this year, the Federal Reserve will re-adopt the "higher for longer" policy stance.
Is a rate cut causing trouble? This may be the "most painful" loosening cycle of the Federal Reserve in decades.
① Many homebuyers in the USA had hoped that the Federal Reserve could lower interest rates to make mortgage rates cheaper. However, so far, mortgage rates have significantly increased after the Federal Reserve's "three consecutive rate cuts"; ② In fact, in the eyes of some industry insiders, especially investors in the Bonds market, this may be the most "painful" period of the Federal Reserve's easing cycle in decades...
Institutions: How to expect a rate cut for various Assets?
After the hawkish interest rate cut, trade related to the interest rate cut became the dominant logic temporarily, leading to a breakout of US Treasury yields and the US dollar upwards, while US stocks and Gold experienced a significant decline. However, with the approach of January 20 when Trump takes office, the impact of his policies is bound to "make a comeback". Moreover, it is believed that the current hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve is not necessarily bad for the US economy and US stocks, and there is no need to swing from the extreme of a "large interest rate cut" in September to the other extreme of "unable to cut rates" now.
Futu Morning Report | Is a sell-off signal emerging? Buffett takes the opportunity to "sweep up" Occidental Petroleum and two other companies; Tesla's latest announcement: the automated driving taxi Robotaxi is accelerating its advancement.
The "Three Witches" day caused huge fluctuations in the US stock market, as shorts covered their positions leading to a sharp rise during the day, but market volatility may continue into next week; several Federal Reserve officials supported a cautious approach to interest rate cuts next year, relying on data, while Powell's "dovish allies" rarely spoke in a hawkish tone.
Bond Traders Turn to 2025 Amid Most Agonizing Easing in Decades
What do new highs in U.S. Treasury bonds and new lows in Chinese bonds mean for Hong Kong stocks?
The combination of "new highs in US bonds and new lows in Chinese bonds" has a neutral or even somewhat negative impact on Hong Kong stocks, and historical experience often reflects this.
Trump has a new development! He nominates several diplomatic envoys, including the owner of the Houston Rockets on the list.
Trump has new developments!
Weekly Preview | The market focuses on the National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting; due to the Christmas holiday, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange will be closed for two and a half days, and the U.S. stock market will be closed for one and a hal
The earnings report season for the US stock market has concluded. Due to the Christmas holiday, there will be no speeches from Federal Reserve officials this week, and the data released will be limited, but attention can be paid to the USA Consumer Confidence Index and initial unemployment claims; on Wednesday, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will deliver a speech regarding potential yen intervention measures.
Federal Reserve dovish officials: Inflation has decreased significantly, and a moderate interest rate cut is expected next year.
① The Chicago Federal Reserve Chairman Goolsbee stated on Friday that he slightly lowered his forecast for next year's interest rate cuts but still expects the Federal Reserve to moderately cut rates next year; ② As a dovish official, Goolsbee will replace Cleveland Federal Reserve President Harmack next year and become a new voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
Is the Federal Reserve turning hawkish? Morgan Stanley: I have seen this episode!
Morgan Stanley stated that the timing and magnitude of interest rate cuts depend on the implementation progress of the restrictive policies of the new Trump administration. However, the impact of these policies on economic activity may also be delayed. Therefore, while the Federal Reserve is currently hawkish, it may turn dovish later.
The "farce" of the USA government shutdown crisis is over! The Senate has passed a stopgap spending bill.
The bill ensures that the USA federal government continues to receive operational funding, extending the funding period from this Friday night to mid-March next year.
38 Republican "traitors", the USA government nearly faced a shutdown, was Trump's "strong stance" exposed?
Analysis suggests that this event indicates that Trump, who seems to have "consolidated power" and appears politically stable, now faces an uncertain future. Trump's Republican colleagues, 38 Republican representatives in the House, opposed his call to "suspend or eliminate the debt ceiling," which almost led to a government shutdown.
In a last-ditch effort to avoid a government shutdown: The U.S. House of Representatives voted to pass a short-term spending bill, submitting it for a vote in the Senate.
The bill to maintain government short-term spending until March of next year has removed the debt ceiling provisions and will be voted on in the Senate. If a relevant short-term spending bill is not passed by 12:01 AM local time on Saturday, the federal government will partially shut down, forcing hundreds of thousands of federal workers to take leave.
U.S. stocks closed | "Triple Witching Day" saw a major rebound in U.S. stocks! All three major Indexes rose by over 1%; the AI application Concept exploded, with Palantir rising over 8%.
Ed Yardeni, the most accurate Analyst on Wall Street and president of Yardeni Research, is optimistic about the U.S. stock market, predicting that the S&P 500 will reach 7,000 points next year and 8,000 points the year after.
IShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF Declares $0.3303 Dividend
U.S. stock market early session | The three major Indexes opened lower and then rose, with the S&P and Dow Jones turning positive first, Broadcom rebounding over 2%; Quantum Computing concept stocks made a comeback, with Rigetti up nearly 28% and QUBT ris
On the evening of the 20th in Peking time, the largest ever "Triple Witching Day" is approaching, with Options worth 6.6 trillion USD about to expire. The year-on-year increase of the USA's November PCE Index is 2.4%, lower than expected. The government shutdown crisis in the USA has resurfaced.
US Stock Preview | USA PCE data overall underperformed expectations, and the declines in the three major futures indices significantly narrowed; US stocks face another test: the largest "Triple Witching" day in history arrives tonight!
The latest weight loss drug's phase 3 trial results were below expectations, resulting in Novo-Nordisk A/S's shares dropping nearly 20% in Pre-Market Trading; the Trump Media Technology Group's shares fell over 4% in Pre-Market Trading as Trump transferred all his shares to a revocable REITs.
Government Shutdown Debate: Why Does the U.S. Have a Debt Ceiling?