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S&P/Citi Intl Treasury Bond Ishares Newsroom
Full text of "The Influential Committee Member" Waller's speech: What determines whether the Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates or chooses to skip?
Currently leaning towards a rate cut in December, unless there is a change in inflation data before the meeting. Interest rates will continue to fall until they approach neutral levels. Recent data suggests that progress in reducing inflation may stall. The Federal Reserve's rate cuts will not happen in one go and may involve multiple skips.
Daily options update: Chinese asset ETF call options have been heavily bought; super micro computer stock price soaring, call options making a huge profit of 4 times.
Apple rose nearly 1% yesterday, with its stock price surpassing its historical high, reclaiming the top position in global market cap, as a major investor bought 4,000 call options expiring on September 19, 2025, involving an investment of 4.38 million dollars.
Will the Federal Reserve lower rates in December? This week's non-farm data is crucial.
Citi stated that Friday's non-farm payroll report will be crucial for the Federal Reserve's recent policies and future direction. If employment data is strong and inflation strengthens in November, the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes at the December FOMC meeting; conversely, there is a possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut. Citi analyst Andrew Hollenhorst mentioned in a report on December 2 that, according to Powell's latest views, the usa labor market has not stabilized and is still softening. This indicates that the current policy rate is restrictive and the labor market will not be a source of inflationary pressure. This is in contrast to the current market sentiment.
Is the usa experiencing a "CEO layoff trend"? The number of CEOs leaving this year has reached a record high.
①Last Sunday and Monday Eastern Time, both intel and Stellantis' CEOs announced their resignations, highlighting a wide trend in the entire business sector in the usa - the "layoff tide" of CEOs.②The number of CEO resignations in the usa has reached a record high this year, with more than 1800 CEOs announcing their resignations as of October, indicating an increased risk appetite and a desire for leaders to address the complex business environment and turn the company's situation around.
Federal Reserve officials are dovish, and the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverted, reigniting hopes for a rate cut in December.
USA Treasury bonds regained lost ground in early trading on Monday, and market sentiment was further boosted towards the end of the day in New York, as a key official from the Federal Reserve opened the door to further easing monetary policy later this month.
Federal Reserve officials take a dovish stance, and the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverts, rekindling hopes for a rate cut in December.
USA Treasury bonds regained lost ground in early trading on Monday, and market sentiment was further boosted towards the end of the day in New York, as a key official from the Federal Reserve opened the door to further easing monetary policy later this month.
Technology remains the preferred sector! Ubs group outlook on US stocks in 2025: these four sectors are most likely to rise
① Analysts at ubs group suggest that investors allocate to technology, finance, industry, and utility stocks; ② Analysts indicate that technology remains the preferred sector, with expected gains next year likely to exceed large cap.
Futu Express | Three senior officials from the Federal Reserve speak intensively! They maintain an open attitude towards the interest rate decision in December; the Nasdaq and S&P hit new highs together, with Morgan Stanley predicting the S&P will reach 6
Central bank: Starting from the statistics of January 2025, the newly revised narrow mmf (M1) statistical caliber will be applied; the USA ISM manufacturing data is better than expected, with weak demand but signs of easing; the increasing burden of USA debt raises concerns about fiscal sustainability.
In November, manufacturing activity in the usa contracted for the eighth consecutive month, with weak demand but signs of easing.
In November, manufacturing activity in the usa contracted for the eighth consecutive month, with 24 out of the past 25 months showing a contraction.
The major uncertainty for the Federal Reserve: Powell might return mmf policy to normalcy!
The Federal Reserve may retreat somewhat to the background, as its ongoing focus on inflation is now an important responsibility of the next government.
US stock outlook | Most china concept stocks are rising before the market opens, miniso jumps 16%; Bank of America reveals its investment strategy for 2025! Bullish on small cap stocks.
Tesla rose 1.8% in pre-market trading, starting to launch the latest version of FSD, V13.2; the small cap drone stock UMAC surged over 21% in pre-market, with Trump's eldest son joining the company's advisory board; the record rise in the US stock market lays the foundation for an increase in December, and market sentiment is optimistic.
Former Federal Reserve "third in command" warns: The Federal Reserve has three important issues that have not been considered!
Former New York Fed Chair Dudley stated that there are three important issues that seem to have been left out of the Federal Reserve's mmf policy framework review agenda.
Treasuries Start Week on Back Foot Ahead of Crucial Jobs Data
Daily options tracking | Multiple Tesla end-of-the-world call options are nearing a doubling, exposing the latest progress of siasun robot&automation; nvidia states that it is accelerating chip supply, and a big client splurged 9 million dollars on calls.
Two bitcoin ETF options with volume entered the top 20 ETFs, last Friday, BITO options traded 4.0783 million contracts, surpassing QQQ to take second place.
US Stock Nuggets | Black Friday sales are hot with surprises! Shopify and Mastercard hit new highs for the year; receiving strong government subsidies, Rocket Lab surged over 6% last Friday.
In the field of AI, apple is reportedly planning a major overhaul of Siri, with a rise of over 1% in the previous trading day and a cumulative increase of over 3% in the week. The stock price hit a new all-time high again.
Trump's 100-day plan is in place! All Republicans are paving the way for tax cuts.
①Trump has not taken office yet, but has already promised many bold reforms, including a large-scale tax reduction plan; ②Republicans are crafting a hundred-day agenda, focusing on extending a $4 trillion tax reduction plan, lowering corporate tax rates, and eliminating consumption taxes, among others. ③Tax reduction policies may increase pressure on the US fiscal deficit, but Republicans believe that tax cuts can promote economic growth, thereby reducing deficit pressures.
Non-farm 'quality inspector' strikes hard! Will Trump's trade be overturned?
Trump's trade is about to undergo a quality check with non-farm, which is very crucial for the Federal Reserve.
Super week is approaching! Will the "Non-Farm Payrolls + Powell" set the tone for the global market by the end of the year?
A series of labor market data, including the crucial November non-farm payroll report released on Friday, will have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting plans; numerous Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Powell, will also deliver speeches this week, which will be particularly critical in the context of recent expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates soon and then slow down.
The record rise of the US stock market lays the foundation for an increase in December, with Wall Street filled with optimism.
Due to recent outstanding performances and historical trends boosting market sentiment, this year may have even greater upward potential.
Futu Morning Post | S&P hits historic new highs again! It is challenging the strongest annual increase after the millennium; American drone small cap stocks ride on the 'Donald Trump concept', soaring more than 9 times in November.
To add fuel to the December actions, the Governor of the Bank of Japan mentioned that the wage trend is key to raising interest rates; The hottest asset after the US election: the US bitcoin ETF single-month net capital inflow hits a record; It is said that Meta is planning to build a global underwater communication network, with a total investment amount possibly exceeding $10 billion.