In the future, attention will turn to the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision-making meetings.
The Nikkei average continued to rise, closing up 125.48 yen at 39,027.98 yen (Volume estimated at 1.5 billion 30 million shares), recovering the 39,000 yen level for the first time since the 10th. Developments were influenced by reports regarding tariffs from U.S. President Trump. Anticipating that Trump would postpone tariff policies during his inauguration, buying activity led to a rise, reaching 39,238.21 yen shortly after the opening. However, after reports emerged about considering tariffs on Mexico and Canada, it turned negative in the middle of the first half.
Express News | Stock market close in Japan: The Nikkei 225 Index rose by 0.32%, and Disco increased by nearly 6%.
Buy activity is moving ahead following the rise in US stocks, but the upward movement faces resistance.
The Nikkei average rebounded for the first time in six trading days. It ended the Trade at 38,572.60 yen, up 128.02 yen (with an estimated Volume of 1.7 billion 70 million shares). Following the rise in major stock indices in the previous day's USA market, it started with Buy orders and briefly rose to 38,932.54 yen. However, as US Broadcasting reported towards the end of the morning session that "the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates at next week's monetary policy meeting," the yen appreciated, putting pressure on export-related stocks such as Automobiles. The rise and fall of stocks on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Main Board.
Nikkei Average rebounds for the first time in six days, with heavy upper limits due to the absence of aggressive buyers.
On the 15th, the U.S. stock market rose. The Dow Inc average was up by 703.27 points at 43,221.55, and Nasdaq closed up by 466.84 points at 19,511.23. The strong earnings reports from major banks announced before the opening boosted buying activity, and the unexpected slowdown in the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December sparked expectations for interest rate cuts, accelerating buybacks and resulting in a rise after the opening. With the decline in long-term interest rates, tech stocks were also bought back, and the stock market remained strong throughout the day. As the day progressed,
The Nikkei Average fell for five consecutive days, after a round of buying there was a hesitation among buyers, resulting in a consolidation.
On the 14th, the USA market was mixed. The Dow Inc average closed up $221.16 at $42,518.28, while the Nasdaq fell 43.71 points to 19,044.39 at the end of Trade. The Producer Price Index (PPI) was below expectations, reigniting Buy expectations, and it rose after the opening. However, it struggled afterwards due to caution ahead of Bank earnings and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) announcement. The rise in interest rates and the Biden administration's export restrictions on AI Semiconductors to China weighed down on firms like NVIDIA and other Semiconductors.
The trend is shifting to search for lower price targets due to worsening signals.
The Nikkei average fell significantly for four consecutive trading days, closing down 716.10 yen at 38,474.30 yen (estimated Volume of 1.9 billion 50 million shares), marking a drop below 39,000 yen for the first time since December 20 last year. In the USA market, technology stocks were sold off, particularly after the Biden administration announced new export regulations on Artificial Intelligence (AI) Semiconductors, which led to a similar trend in the Tokyo market. The downward trend of the Nikkei average strengthened, and at one point during the afternoon session, it was seen falling to 38,305.91 yen.
Tosei, Aeon Delaire, Etc (additional) Rating
Upgraded - Bullish Ticker Symbol Company Name Brokerage Firm Previous Change After --------------------------------------------------- <7735> Screen Mizuho "Hold" "Buy" Downgraded - Bearish Ticker Symbol Company Name Brokerage Firm Previous Change After --------------------------------------------------- <6586> Makita GS "Buy" "Hold" <6857> Advante Mizuho "Buy"
The Bank of Japan expects salaries to continue rising this year, and interest rate hikes are imminent.
① The Bank of Japan released a report stating that many companies believe it is necessary to continue raising wages, which indicates an increased possibility of interest rate hikes; ② The Bank of Japan also upgraded its economic assessment for two regions, stating that the economy in the remaining areas is moderately recovering or rebounding; ③ The Bank of Japan will hold a meeting from January 23 to 24, and Analysts expect that an interest rate hike may be announced.
Reports regarding Trump tariffs are a burden.
The Nikkei average experienced a significant decline, finishing at 39,605.09 yen, down 375.97 yen (Estimated Volume of 1.8 billion 40 million shares). Selling became prominent due to some reports regarding tariffs in the USA and the tightening of export regulations on Semiconductors to China. With the US market being closed on the 9th, selling by European players was also observed, along with position adjustments ahead of the SQ calculation date for January futures, leading to a drop to 39,385.05 yen during the mid-afternoon session. In the latter part of the session, there was some buying on dips.
Concerns over tariff risks from the incoming Trump administration have led to a stance of waiting for buying opportunities.
[Stocks Opening Comment] The Japanese stock market on the 9th is expected to exhibit a strong sense of market consolidation, but resilience seems to be on the minds of investors. In the US market on the 8th, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 106 points, while the Nasdaq declined by 10 points. Additionally, the 9th is a day of mourning for former President Carter, resulting in the market being closed. There is also a prevailing wait for the US employment statistics announcement scheduled for this weekend, leading to a dominant trend of position adjustments. Moreover, President-elect Trump aims to introduce a new tariff program and is in the process of declaring a national emergency.
The resilience of Semiconductors-related stocks provides support.
The Nikkei average fell, closing at 39,981.06 yen, down 102.24 yen (with an estimated Volume of 1.8 billion and 50 million shares) in Trade. Influenced by the drop in tech stocks in the previous day's USA market, selling started initially, and shortly after the beginning of Trade, it dropped to 39,705.81 yen. However, after the selling subsided, Semiconductors stocks rebounded, and the exchange rate temporarily shifted to a weaker yen at around 158 yen per dollar, leading to a subsequent slow-down in the decline. Additionally, USA stock Futures remained stable.
Assessing the resilience of high-tech stocks after the sell-off.
[Stocks Opening Comment] On the 8th, the Japanese stock market is likely to be influenced by profit-taking actions following the significant rise the previous day. On the 7th, the USA market saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average drop by 178 points, and the Nasdaq fell by 375 points. The JOLTS job openings number for November 2024 and the ISM non-manufacturing index for December exceeded expectations, leading to increased inflation concerns and speculation about a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's rate cut pace, which weighed on the market, causing an increase in long-term interest rates in the USA. Chicago Nikkei
Against the backdrop of rising US high-tech stocks, a recovery to the milestone of 0.04 million yen.
The Nikkei Average significantly rebounded, ending the trade at 40,083.30 yen, a rise of 776.25 yen (estimated Volume of 1.9 billion 60 million shares), recovering the significant level of 0.04 million yen for the first time in three trading days since December 27 of last year. In the previous day's USA market, semiconductor stocks, particularly major players like NVIDIA and Micron Technology Inc, were primarily bought. Following this trend, high-tech stocks with substantial index impacts led the way, pushing the Nikkei Average up to 40,288.80 yen before the midday break.
Stocks that moved or were traded in the first half of the session.
*Fujitsu General Ltd. <6755> 2769 +496 Paloma is conducting a TOB to fully become a subsidiary.* KOKUSAI ELECTRIC <6525> 2414.5 +241.5 due to an increase in sales at Hon Hai Precision, leading to a Buy on Semiconductors-related stocks.* Tokyo Electron Ltd. Unsponsored ADR <8035> 26925 +2565, related stocks are favored due to the rise in U.S. semiconductor stocks.* Japan Micronics <6871> 4295 +405, buying also directed towards smaller Semiconductors-related companies.* Asteria <
Japan Steel, Shizuoka FG, ETC (additional) Rating
Downgrade - Bearish Code Stock Name Securities Company Previous Change After----------------------------------------------------------------<4626> Taiyo HD Morgan Stanley "Overweight" "Equal Weight" Target Price Change Code Stock Name Securities Company Previous Change After----------------------------------------------------------------<
List of Conversion Stocks (Part 1) [List of Parabolic Signal Conversion Stocks]
○List of stocks that have shifted to Buy market Code Stock Name Closing Price SAR Tokyo Main Board <1719> Ando Hazama 1189 1164 <1861> Kumagai Gumi 39903865 <1873> Japan House HD 329317 <1884> Nihon Doro 17801726 <1975> Asahi Kogyo 22882219 <2154> Open UP 17941729 <2175> SMS 15651520 <2264> Morinaga
The market opened with a significant drop, but some sectors in high technology remained strong.
The Nikkei average fell significantly, closing down 587.49 yen at 39,307.05 yen (estimated Volume 2 billion 10 million shares) on the first trading day of the new year. It started the day by rebounding, following the rise in U.S. stocks led by technology on the 3rd, and briefly climbed to 39,993.50 yen, approaching the key level of 0.04 million yen. However, buying did not continue, and profit-taking Sell activities gradually spread. Additionally, the rise in domestic long-term Gold rates weighed on the market. The decline exceeded 500 yen by the end of the morning session, and by the middle of the afternoon session, it was at 39,232.
January 6 [Today's Investment Strategy]
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As of the end of the year, a record high has been reached for the first time in 35 years.
The Nikkei Average fell for the first time in four trading days, closing at 39,894.54 yen, down 386.62 yen (estimated Volume 1.6 billion 20 million shares). Reflecting the high levels of U.S. interest rates, buying in the financial Sector, such as Banks and Insurance, was predominant. The Nikkei Average started with an extension at 40,325.78 yen. However, amid the decline in U.S. stock prices at the end of the previous week and limited market participation at year-end, profit-taking Sell orders and adjustments led to a downward trend. Subsequently, it continued to fluctuate around 0.04 million yen. Regarding the annual figure, it was 1989.
List of breakout stocks (Part 1) [Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - List of breakout stocks]
○ List of stocks above the clouds in the market Code Stock Name Closing Price Leading Span A Leading Span B Tokyo Main Board <1898> Seiki Tokyu 1554 1531.25 1533.5 <2002> Nisshin Flour G 1845.1810.75 1841.5 <2117> Welneo S 2229 2226.25 2212 <2127> Japan M&A 6536 48.25 644.5 <2331> ALSOK 1089 10