6500 points! Wall Street's 'former big short' firmly calls the US stock market, and provides these investment recommendations.
Morgan Stanley's Chief Investment Officer Michael Wilson has set a target price of 6,500 points for the S&P 500 index by the end of 2025, a 10.3% increase from the current level. Wilson believes that the Fed rate cuts, improving economic growth, and potential deregulation by the Trump administration should make investors bullish on the stock market.
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As US bond yields soar, how much longer can the US stock market party last?
Currently, there are no signs of a bear market in the US stock market, but the surging yields on US Treasury bonds may become a turning point for the situation. Bank of America Merrill Lynch states that when the 10-year US Treasury yield exceeds 5%, investors tend to shift from the stock market to the bond market, limiting the rise of US stocks. This yield has climbed by 80 basis points since mid-September, although the bank indicates that the current interest rate risk is manageable.
The second largest net inflow of capital since 2008! Investors go all in on US stocks
According to EPFR data, in the week up to last Wednesday, US stock etf and mutual funds attracted nearly 56 billion dollars in inflow, marking the second largest weekly inflow record since 2008. These funds have attracted inflow for seven consecutive months, marking the longest duration since 2021.
Investors are betting on a rise in US stocks! Analysts warn: the market is dangerously optimistic.
The animal spirits of U.S. stock investors are exceptionally active, but analysts indicate that the "market has become very expensive."
China International Capital Corporation: Trump 2.0 accelerates economic recovery, with ckh holdings and small cap styles favored.
The recovery of the fundamentals will continue to drive the cyclical sectors such as discretionary consumer goods, capital goods, and raw materials, and before the implementation of Trump's tariffs, it will be bullish for the relevant domestic export sectors (seizing exports).
A new round of trade war dubbed "Trump 2.0" may trigger global economic turmoil! However, Wall Street firmly believes that U.S. stocks will never decline.
Trump's "scorecard" is the s&p 500 index, which is the biggest hope for bullish strength in Wall Street; Strategists generally say that the next USA president will not at least harm the market with economic plans.
Wall Street investment banks consensus: The Federal Reserve will slow down interest rate cuts in 2025.
Several institutions have already started to reduce their bets on the prospect of Fed rate cuts.
"Trump 2.0" crucial treasury secretary dispute, Musk publicly spoke out! Is the support of certain individuals leading to a major sell-off on Wall Street this week?
Wall Street powerful broker Lutnick seems to have lost the opportunity to compete, prompting Musk to openly support stating that Lutnick can "truly bring change," and stating that competitor Bessent will "continue to lead the usa towards bankruptcy." With Lutnick expressing interest in the position of Treasury Secretary, the market has seen selling, seemingly indicating to Trump that Bessent is more suitable.
U.S. stocks have plummeted significantly; what has stifled the "Trump trade"?
With the political outlook in the USA no longer as certain as the market expected a few weeks ago, and inflation still relatively high, investors have no safety margin to seek.
Weekend Reading | Fireside chat with top investor Greenblatt, about index investing, the seven giants, and long-short strategies...
Find a good company, make sure the price is reasonable when buying, it will appreciate over time.
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Be cautious! A new wave of inflation may be on the way.
Greenlight Capital's President David Einhorn expressed that the election results are good for avoiding the political stability issues he was worried about not long ago. However, in terms of the economy, he expects that Trump's second term policies will bring about higher inflation, thus leading to a bigger problem.
Top economists: The three major driving forces behind the bull market in U.S. stocks are running out.
American economist Rosenberg pointed out that since the most important bullish factors in the US stock market have reached extremes, there may be a period of limited returns in the future.
Viking Fund Management Sells Big Oil Stocks In Q3, Cuts Tesla Position In Half, Adds To Largest Position Broadcom
Late night broadcasting! Powell: The economy is strong, the Federal Reserve does not need to rush to cut interest rates, there is time to understand the impact of Trump's policies.
Powell stated that labor market indicators are returning to more normal levels consistent with the Federal Reserve's full employment target; inflation will continue to decline towards the target of 2%, although there may be occasional fluctuations; the interest rate path is not preset and depends on data and economic outlook. If the data tells us to slow down rate cuts, slowing down is the wise choice; Congress generally believes that the Fed's independence is very important, concluding prematurely on the policies of the Trump administration. The Fed will act cautiously before policy is more certain; the impact of AI may be later and greater than we expect.