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Tonight, be prepared to face extreme winds and heavy rain: in the most extreme case, will non-farm payrolls turn negative?
① As the United States presidential election is approaching in four days, and the Federal Reserve's November decision is just six days away, tonight's release of the October non-farm payroll data in the USA is undoubtedly expected to attract the attention of all market participants; ② The unpredictability of this highly anticipated non-farm report seems destined to be the biggest of the year; ③ In the most extreme scenario, non-farm payrolls may even show a negative value.
Hawkish signals hinting at a pause in interest rate cuts? Tonight's non-farm data may provide the final clue for the Fed's actions next week.
Strong non-farm data will enhance the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to possibly pause rate cuts early next year.
Election night trading guide: key time points, key focus points, will there be any delays?
Goldman Sachs recently released a research report stating that the market has overestimated the risks of uncertainty caused by delayed election results. Goldman Sachs indicated that the speed of counting votes in this election may accelerate, and it may not be as close as reflected in the polls. The trading in the financial markets may reflect the election results on the evening of the election day or the next morning, with the key results of the county-level elections becoming the focus of the market. Although there may be some fluctuations in the first few hours of the election night, it will soon return to normal levels.
Mag 7 all fell, Nasdaq plummeted! Did the giants' financial reports collapse?
The financial reports of the giants are not bad, both revenue and profit are very outstanding, but considering the current stock price and valuation levels, the performance guidance they provide is not good enough.
"Trump trade" and dealing with "Trump trade"
Analysis suggests that, in response to potential tariff shocks, it may be appropriate to adjust the exchange rates of the Renminbi to cope, and it is recommended to avoid some heavy asset enterprises. Potential tariffs may lead to a contraction in external demand, prompting a stronger focus on stimulating domestic demand, potentially elevating consumer to an unprecedented level in financial stimulus.
PCE data is mixed with joys and sorrows! Will the Federal Reserve still cut interest rates twice this year as scheduled?
The road to bringing the inflation rate down to 2% will be long and difficult, with some economists starting a heated debate on whether the Fed will pause interest rate cuts in November...