Morgan Stanley Lists Hedge Funds' Largest Q3 Ownership Increases in Russell 1000 Stocks
Morgan Stanley warns that Trump's tariffs will significantly suppress usa economic growth in 2026.
Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Economist, Seth Carpenter, stated that the tariffs proposed by President Trump will weaken usa economic growth by 2026.
Wall Street is bullish on Trump's tax cuts: they will boost the U.S. stock market in the next two years, with nearly 30% of s&p 500 companies benefiting.
① Wall Street expects Trump's tax cuts to drive up U.S. stocks and corporate profits, with about 145 companies in the s&p 500 index likely to benefit significantly. ② Goldman Sachs predicts that Trump's tax policy may increase corporate profits of s&p 500 index constituent companies by 20% over the next two years, potentially pushing the s&p 500 index up to 7,500 points by 2026.
Goldman Sachs still expects the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates, and small cap stocks deserve more attention.
Goldman Sachs stated: "Although the results of the usa election have increased the uncertainty in economic trends, we still expect the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates in December and early 2025."
Federal Reserve officials: It is currently uncertain to what extent interest rates can be lowered.
①Kansas Federal Reserve Chair Schmiede stated that although the initial rate cut by the Federal Reserve reflects confidence in calming inflation, it is still uncertain how far the interest rates will be lowered; ②Within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Schmiede's stance leans towards being hawkish, but he will not have voting rights on monetary policy until next year.
The Federal Reserve's model 'alarmed' for the first time in ten years, are U.S. stocks overvalued?
MarketWatch regular contributor Mark Hulbert stated that, according to the Federal Reserve model, the current market conditions are unfavorable for the stock market. However, there is no need to worry because the reference value of the Federal Reserve model is limited. However, this does not mean that the U.S. stock market is not overvalued, investors may have other reasons to be concerned about the future prospects of the stock market.