New Small-cap Buy and Sell Ideas for Oppenheimer's 50/50 List
Will there be another 'big rotation' in the US stock market? Goldman Sachs: Friday's non-farm payroll is crucial!
Goldman Sachs analysts team expects that if the strong employment data announced by the US Department of Labor on Friday, there may be a large portfolio reshuffle in the US stock market.
What could stifle the rise of US stocks?
The market is digesting a rate cut that is greater than actually needed, which may be the biggest risk facing the current rise in the US stock market.
Fed's Bowman: Core inflation rate still "uncomfortably" above target.
Bauman pointed out that the global supply chain is still vulnerable to the impact of strikes and escalating geopolitical tensions, which may lead to a resurgence of inflation!
US stock early market | The three major indices are mixed, with Apple up nearly 2%; Chinese concept stocks continue to soar, Tal Education up nearly 20%, Nio Inc up over 13%
On the evening of the 30th peking time, the US stock market opened slightly lower on Monday. Chinese concept stocks rose across the board. It is expected that the US stock market will record gains in September and the third quarter. JPMorgan is expected to adjust its options position, which may increase market volatility. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech on Monday.
Is August turmoil replayed? The non-farm payrolls on Friday will reveal the outcome.
If the employment data is too strong, investors may reduce their expectations of future monetary policy easing and return to the scenario of 'good economic news is bad news for the stock market.' However, employment data that is significantly weaker than expected may also be seen as a negative signal for the market, potentially leading to a resurgence of recession fears. Therefore, employment data meeting expectations is the best scenario.
Economic concerns + cautiousness before the election, investors have been selling USA stocks and funds for the fifth consecutive week.
LSEG's data shows that in the week ending on September 25th, investors sold off $22.43 billion worth of USA stocks funds, marking the largest single-week net shareholding since December 2022, and the fifth consecutive week of reducing holdings in USA stocks funds.
Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Lower Pre-Bell Monday Ahead of Powell's Speech on Economic Outlook
US Stock Market Outlook: Chinese concept stocks continue to rise! Ke Holdings, Nio Inc. surged more than 14% before the market opens; Powell will take the stage tonight, the US stock market will face another big test of 'non-farm' this week.
China concept etfs continue to soar, with china's small and medium-sized enterprise board and gem etf surging by over 15%; goldman sachs points out that as the economy normalizes, the premium on quality usa stocks is decreasing.
One image to understand | The list of bull and bear stocks in the US stock market in September is out! Chinese concept stocks have surged, nio inc and Xiaopeng soared over 60% this month; this year skyrocketed more than 2 times! Electrical utilities giant
This month, the Federal Reserve significantly lowered interest rates by 50 basis points to start a loose cycle, greatly alleviating the market's concerns about a US stock economic recession. The expectation of a 'soft landing' continues to heat up, with all three major US stock indices recording gains. As of now, the Nasdaq has risen 2.29% this month, the S&P 500 has risen 1.59%, and the Dow has risen 1.8%.
The 'soft landing' narrative dominates the US stock market, will the s&p 500 index reach 6000 points by the end of the year?
The breadth of the rise in the US stock market has significantly expanded, highlighting the optimism in the pricing of a 'soft landing' for the US economy by the funds.
Overtaking on the bend? The Fed cuts interest rates, mid-cap stocks will significantly outperform the market!
The analyst pointed out that history indicates that once the Federal Reserve truly begins to cut interest rates, mid-cap stocks will significantly outperform the market.
Daily options tracking | Chinese concept stocks continue to soar! Nio Inc's multiple call options exploded by more than 2 times; Tesla extended volatility level raised to the highest of the year, with major players selling over 0.1 billion US dollars wort
"Whale holders" MSTR rose more than 6% on the previous trading day, the put options accounted for 36.7% ; Among the outstanding contracts, the highest volume of call options with a strike price of $200 expiring this Friday, was 0.012 million contracts.
Stock market rebound faces a test: Can strong employment data help the Federal Reserve significantly cut interest rates?
With the Federal Reserve implementing a significant interest rate cut, stock market investors are overjoyed, but the upcoming employment data release may dampen the optimistic sentiment.
Jerome Powell will deliver a heavyweight speech tonight, but this host's survey is 'unfavorable'!
①Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is set to deliver a major speech tonight at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) across the United States; ②However, the latest survey from the association seems to have not given Powell "face"; ②The survey shows that the Fed made mistakes in setting rates in the final stages of the anti-inflation battle, posing a major risk of weakening economic growth momentum next year.
Senior officials of the Federal Reserve called for a gradual resumption of interest rate cuts!
St. Louis Fed President Bullard is concerned that looser financial conditions may stimulate demand and weaken anti-inflation efforts.
US stock market cap surpassed $50 trillion, reaching a new high, future trends need caution: focus on elections, interest rate cuts, and technology stocks
Against the backdrop of controversies surrounding the U.S. presidential election, changes in Federal Reserve policy, and concerns about economic recession, the U.S. stock market continues to show strong growth momentum.
Futu Morning Post | Sleepless night in real estate! Existing housing loans hit rock bottom, shanghai shenzhen guangzhou respond to new policy "combination punch"; Funds rushing into the market! ICBC Silver Certificate Transfer Net Value Index Soars
The Dow hit a new high, Chinese concept stocks rose across the board, with the Golden Dragon Index soaring by about 24% last week; The Federal Reserve's Mousalem: The Federal Reserve should "gradually" cut interest rates; Consumer confidence in the United States has risen to a five-month high, strengthening optimism about the economy.
Express News | The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in November is 52.8%.
One-week outlook | Powell joins hands with non-farm data to 'explode the market'! Multiple Fed officials speak intensively; Hong Kong stocks closed for one day for National Day holiday, A shares closed for seven days
China's manufacturing and service PMI will be released; Europe's September CPI data will be released, inflation data meeting expectations or accelerating the European Central Bank's interest rate cut; Japan will release the August unemployment rate; Carnival Cruise Line, Nike, McCormick & Co will release financial reports.