Powell is not in a rush to cut interest rates quickly, but his patience is about to be tested!
Analysts believe that due to the complexity caused by strikes and hurricane damage, there will be two significant 50 basis point rate cuts in November and December.
US Stock Discovery | Chinese concept stocks continue to rise! Bilibili has more than doubled in the year to reach a new high, while Alibaba, jd.com, and ke holdings have all risen by over 50%.
In terms of stocks hitting record highs, bilibili rose by 10.96%, ranking first on the list, trip.com rose by 7.05%, h world group rose by 6.69%.
The ongoing strike at ports in the USA has led to a sudden increase in the risk of rising prices.
Ports along the east coast of the USA and the Gulf of Mexico have entered the third day of a dock workers' strike, causing unloading interruptions and potentially resulting in commodity shortages.
Apollo CEO warns: Aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may backfire.
Apollo's CEO is concerned that the Federal Reserve may be overstimulating the economy and has issued a warning about the current pace of government spending.
Richmond Fed President: A significant interest rate cut is an adjustment, not panic, and the inflation issue has not been fully resolved.
Baljin pointed out that after experiencing the highest interest rates and easing supply chain issues in 20 years, the slowdown in the inflation rate has provided the basis for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in the usa.
Futubull Morning Post | Chinese concept stocks continue to surge! Triple long on the FTSE China ETF, soaring nearly 22%; Huang Renxun makes a big statement! Blackwell chip demand "crazy".
Raising the bullish flag! Goldman Sachs reiterates its optimism on the stock market in china and states that the S&P may break through 6000 points by the end of the year; Q3 deliveries fall short of expectations! Tesla drops more than 3%; Institutions: Net inflow of foreign capital into Hong Kong stocks since mid to late September amounts to 39.6 billion Hong Kong dollars, surpassing southbound funds.
Goldman Sachs experts continue to be optimistic about Chinese concept stocks, reiterating that "this time is different" in trade with China, suggesting that the S&P may break through 6000 points by the end of the year.
Rubner stated that the recent mismatch between supply and demand in the US stock market has led to a downward market volatility. Large buyers of US stocks in listed companies were only "unblocked" for buybacks until October 25th this year, while the US stock market will experience seasonal rebound by the end of the year.
U.S. stocks closed with the three major indexes slightly up, Tesla fell nearly 3.5%; the Chinese concept index surged by nearly 5%, bilibili rose by nearly 11%.
Goldman Sachs' Global Market Director and Tactical Expert Scott Rubner believes that the bullish trend in the USA stock market may drive the S&P large cap above 6000 points by the end of December, surpassing his year-end target, but first needs to go through a round of volatility in October.
Express News | The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in November is 62.8%.
IWM ETF Falls 0.1%
IShares Russell 2000 ETF Options Spot-On: On October 2nd, 813.88K Contracts Were Traded, With 11.91 Million Open Interest
On October 2nd ET, $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 813.88K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 50.78% of the total
How Is The Market Feeling About Applied Industrial Techs?
"Cash is king" is outdated, these assets are more worth buying.
The outlook for cash assets is becoming bleak, and a rate cut by the Federal Reserve will erode the yield of cash assets.
US stock market morning | The three major indexes fell together, with Q3 delivery data falling short of expectations, tesla dropped nearly 6%; Chinese concept stocks continued to rise, china Golden Dragon Index rose by over 4%
usa September ADP employment number exceeded expectations. The escalation of tensions in the Middle East weakened risk appetite, driving up oil prices. The market is paying attention to the impact of the major strike by American dock workers and is waiting for the non-farm employment data on Friday.
USA's ADP employment numbers rebounded higher than expected in September, with the previous value revised upward, while the wage growth rate decreased again.
On the eve of the release of the heavyweight non-farm payroll data, the ADP employment data supported by the "small non-farm" exceeded expectations, showing significant improvement compared to the previous month, indicating that despite some signs of weakness in overall employment in the usa, it generally remains stable.
Slowdown in medical care recruitment impacts the USA labor market, investors focus on Friday's non-farm data.
The slowdown in recruitment in the medical care industry in the USA poses a threat to the overall stability of the labor market.
Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Lower Pre-Bell Wednesday as Investors Exercise Caution Amid Mid-East Tensions
Express News | US September ADP Nonfarm Employment Change +143000 Vs +124000 Forecast, Prior +99000
US stock market outlook | The three major equity index futures all fell, while Chinese concept stocks continued to soar before the market opened! Ke Holdings surged more than 12%, with a threefold increase in long positions in FTSE China ETF soaring 21%.
Goldman Sachs sees global hedge funds pouring into China, with an inflow of $2.4 billion in three days; the Chinese stock market surges, causing short sellers to lose nearly $7 billion, further boosting Chinese concept stocks; Nike withdraws its full-year performance guidance, dropping more than 5% in pre-market trading.
The Federal Reserve faces another dilemma, a major strike may reignite inflation!
Former Cleveland Fed President Mester said that if the strike continues for a long time, it will definitely have an impact on prices.