Express News | Citigroup indicates that the exposure of US stocks has reached a high level, historically followed by a 10% market decline.
Trump's reelection probability soaring + "economic soft landing", will the US bond market face severe turbulence?
USA bond yields saw the largest weekly increase in several weeks on Monday, with the 10-year treasury notes yield rising to 4.2%. The Chief Investment Officer of T. Rowe Fixed Income noted that with a slight rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the 10-year t-note yield will test the 5% threshold within six months.
Set aside the technology hegemony! The 'anti-seven giants' etf is leading a new trend of diversified investment.
Against the backdrop of the dominance of the "Big Seven" in the market, XMAG etf has been launched strongly, investing in 495 stocks in the s&p 500, excluding technology giants, providing investors with a new way to diversify their portfolios.
Buy ahead of time in 2016? Benefiting from the 'Trump trade,' assets are outpacing the market, but this time 'it's somewhat different.'
Republican presidential candidate Trump's polls are reversing, and the 'winning odds' are gradually increasing. A Merrill Lynch strategist pointed out that investors seem to be rushing to allocate to symbols that performed well after Trump's victory in 2016. What inspiration does this have for investment?
The Stock Market Has Soared in 2024. Why It Isn't Finished Yet
Harris raised $1 billion in three months! Exceeding all fundraising by Trump's campaign team in the past year.
①According to federal documents, usa Democratic candidate Kamala Harris raised nearly 1 billion US dollars from July to the end of September; ②This exceeds all of the funds raised by usa President Trump's campaign team since early January 2023 of 0.894 billion US dollars (excluding funds raised by super political action committees); ③With only two weeks left until the election, Harris and Trump are engaging in an advertising blitz in key swing states to attract voters.
Renowned 'Big Short' warns: If Harris wins, the US stock market could face heavy losses!
Morgan Stanley's chief US stock strategist said that the market is trying to bet in advance on a recurrence of Trump's victory in 2016, when small business confidence in the USA was positively affected to the greatest extent in at least 40 years.
How long can this rebound in the US stock market last? Deutsche Bank: may face four major obstacles.
Deutsche Bank believes that the S&P 500 index is expected to achieve annual gains of over 20% for two consecutive years, the first time since 1997-98; however, current high valuations, saturated growth expectations, geopolitical risks, and public debt issues pose four major obstacles to future market growth.
The US stock market style is currently undergoing a "big to small" transition! Morgan Stanley focuses on these small cap stocks
Morgan Stanley recently listed the small cap stocks in the US stock market preferred by the institutions.
Bank of America Report: The impact of the US presidential election on US stocks will not be significant!
Bank of America specifically pointed out through historical data that stock investors betting on the US presidential election may once again be "counterpoint" this time.
Don't mind the US election! Bank of America: The election results have little to no impact on US stocks.
①Bank of America's report stated that the outcome of the November US presidential election is unlikely to have any impact on the stock market; ②Bank of America strategist Sablamanixia expressed that in fact, the US stock market rarely cares about which party will control the White House. Instead, investors' focus should be entirely on corporate profit growth.
USA's "gold frenzy" is a major signal! Analyst: Real estate investment willingness has dropped to a historic low point...
Analyst said that the willingness of American realty investors has dropped to a historic low, with the stock market downturn cooling off consumers, causing them to prioritize savings over consumption, believing that the frenzy for physical gold in Asia may be replicated in the USA.
The Federal Reserve can refrain from cutting interest rates next month! Wall Street asset management giant lists the top ten economic tailwinds.
①With the continuous large increase in US Treasury yields, there has been a growing call in the market for the Fed to slow down the pace of interest rate cuts, or even pause the cuts; ②Torsten Slok, Chief Economist of Wall Street asset management giant Apollo Management, recently joined this group...
Express News | Goldman Sachs: The Fed is likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in both November and December.
Is this really a rate cut cycle? US Treasury yields plunge overnight, institutions expect yields to return to 5%!
①It may be hard to imagine, but even today, Wall Street institutions still expect the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bonds to return above the 5% mark next year; ②As the call for gradual rate cuts from Federal Reserve officials grows louder, prices of various US Treasury bonds plummeted across the board on Monday, with the medium to long end of the yield curve showing exaggerated double-digit single-day basis point increases...
As the usa election approaches, traders have finally made a decision: bullish on the US dollar.
Traders have made the largest adjustment to their US dollar positions in the past three years...
What the market is worried about now is: not buying enough US stocks before the end of the year.
In November, market risk events are gathering, with investors hedging risks while worrying about missing the opportunity to buy the dip. Over the past week, traders have bought over 0.1 million units of S&P ETF call options for December, with each contract priced more than 5% above market premium. Analysis suggests that, based on statistics, when the market is overly hedged, the performance is usually good, with the median stock market gain exceeding 13% one year later.
Express News | The probability of Trump winning on Polymarket has risen to 64.5%, leading Harris by nearly 30 percentage points.
Goldman Sachs: There is about a 72% probability that the s&p 500 index will underperform US Treasury bonds.
Goldman Sachs' strategist from the renowned Wall Street investment bank stated that the annualized nominal return rate of the S&P 500 index for the next ten years is expected to be only 3%. In comparison, the annualized nominal return rate for the past 10 years reached as high as 13%, while the long-term average level is 11%.
Futu Morning Post | Record again! Nvidia's strong rise of over 4% hits a new high, market cap approaching Apple; bullish sentiment surging! Hedge funds panic-buying US stocks.
Multiple Fed officials have spoken out in support of gradual interest rate cuts, leading to a sharp drop in long-term US Treasury bonds; Latest polls: Trump and Harris are neck and neck in 7 key battleground states; Qualcomm has released a new version of its smart phone chip, shifting towards self-research.