US Stock Market Outlook | The US core PCE annual rate in September remained unchanged from the previous month, with the three major futures indexes maintaining a downward trend; Increased competition in AI causing market concerns? microsoft, Meta shares f
Bank of Japan Governor: Will not be affected by political turbulence, will continue to raise interest rates if the economic and price outlook is achieved; Bridgewater Associates founder Dalio: Both US presidential candidates are unsettling.
The inflation indicators most favored by the Federal Reserve unexpectedly accelerated, leading to calls in the market for a "pause in interest rate cuts".
In September, the so-called core personal consumption expenditure price index (core PCE), excluding volatile food and energy items, increased by 0.3% from the previous month, and rose by 2.7% compared to the same period last year.
Core PCE annual rate slightly exceeded expectations in September, but does the Fed's interest rate cut expectations remain unchanged for this year?
USA's core PCE annual rate slightly exceeded expectations, initial jobless claims declined, the market still bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November.
The initial jobless claims in the usa last week were 0.216 million, dropping to the lowest level since May.
Last week, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the USA dropped to 0.216 million, the lowest level since May. Southeastern states are recovering from the impact of two hurricanes. Economists predict that Federal Reserve officials may ignore the employment report next week and cut rates by 25 basis points.
Express News | US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims 216000 Vs 230000 Forecast, Prior 228000
Express News | US Sep. Core PCE Price Index YoY +2.70% Vs +2.60% Forecast, Prior +2.70%
Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Lower Pre-Bell Thursday as Big Tech Guides for Big Spending
Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Slow With Unemployment Steady
Wall Street enters the best window of the year, can the US stock market rise even higher?
November to April is the best six-month window for stock market performance in a year, and with the strong momentum in the previous six months, US stocks usually have greater upside potential.
Daily options update | Bearish 'big gift'! One put option on super micro computer makes a whopping 84 times profit; 'Trump trade' fizzles out? Trump Media Group's put/call ratio is 45%
Pre-earnings trading volume surged! The trading volume of Meta options nearly doubled to 0.6 million contracts compared to the previous trading day, with put options accounting for 60%. On the options chain, there is tension between long and short positions. The highest volume of call options, expiring this Friday with a strike price of $600, was 0.016 million contracts, with an open interest of 7 thousand contracts.
Insmed GAAP EPS of -$1.27 Misses by $0.06, Revenue of $93.43M Beats by $0.26M
A must-have for stock market investment! Take a sneak peek at the major events in November, all the days that will impact the rise and fall are highlighted.
Looking ahead to November, global financial markets will see a series of key heavyweight events such as non-farm payrolls, the US presidential election, the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, CPI, and the latest earnings reports from technology giants, leading to significant market volatility.
Be careful, will the Capitol Hill riot happen again? Is the dominance of the US dollar in danger?
Some Wall Street veterans warn that if a controversial election result leads to another riot, confidence in the US dollar and US government bonds may be pushed to the brink of collapse......
No matter who the next president of the usa is, the Federal Reserve will be forced to "backstop"!
Economists say that the Federal Reserve has been cornered by the fiscal authorities' decisions, and the central bank must simultaneously put out fires in multiple places.
Heard on the Street Wednesday Recap: Macro Versus Micro -- WSJ
The Fed cut interest rates significantly, why did mortgage loan rates in the USA 'rise instead of fall'?
Analysis believes that, on the one hand, it is due to the surge in implied volatility of USA Treasury options, investors facing the risk of borrowers repaying early need a higher yield as compensation. On the other hand, the Option Adjusted Spread (OAS) of MBS is rising, investors are demanding additional returns to compensate for MBS risks.
The most favored inflation data by the Federal Reserve is coming! Will gold aim to break through the key level of 2800 tonight?
Both the market and the Federal Reserve are in a "tricky position"! Be careful of tonight's data potentially overturning the number of interest rate cuts by the Fed this year...
Behind the abnormal large-scale selling of U.S. Treasury bonds: Is a debt crisis beginning to show its signs?
①Benjamin Picton, senior macro strategist at Rabobank, warned in a latest report released this Wednesday that a debt crisis may have already begun to show its signs. ②Sovereign currency issuing governments can secretly "default" by devaluing their own currency, with bond holders being the scapegoats.
Trump posed a 'soul-searching' question to voters: Has the past four years been good? The reality is...
Former President Trump has posed a "soul-searching" question: Americans, is your life better now than it was four years ago? However, he seems overly confident. In reality, his "achievements" are similar to Biden's.
U.S. Treasury Department's Major Quarterly Refinancing Announcement: Maintaining the same long-bond auction size and guidance unchanged.
The US Treasury Department maintains the quarterly auction size of its long-term debt unchanged, with quarterly refinancing set at $125 billion, and reiterates its guidance that there will be no increase in issuance size 'at least in the next few quarters,' all in line with market expectations. However, some strategists warn that this is the Biden administration's final refinancing plan, and the outcome of next week's election may bring changes to US debt management strategies and related personnel.