US stock market outlook | Can it rise 4% more this year? JPMorgan expects the S&P index to reach a maximum of 6,300 points by the end of the year; the donald trump concept is back again! PSQ Holdings surged by 130% in pre-market trading.
Tesla's year-end target is approaching, with a further decline in deliveries in China; Has the US stock market rally peaked? The 'fear indicator' suggests there is still room for growth; Renowned valuation experts recommend buying the 'magnificent 7' technology giants during market adjustments.
Will the Federal Reserve lower rates in December? This week's non-farm data is crucial.
Citi stated that Friday's non-farm payroll report will be crucial for the Federal Reserve's recent policies and future direction. If employment data is strong and inflation strengthens in November, the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes at the December FOMC meeting; conversely, there is a possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut. Citi analyst Andrew Hollenhorst mentioned in a report on December 2 that, according to Powell's latest views, the usa labor market has not stabilized and is still softening. This indicates that the current policy rate is restrictive and the labor market will not be a source of inflationary pressure. This is in contrast to the current market sentiment.
Buoyed by Trump's election victory, optimism among the usa business community has reached a multi-year high.
Since Trump won the usa presidential election, multiple surveys have shown that American businesses are becoming more optimistic about their prospects. They expect the Trump administration to implement more pro-business policies and reduce regulatory burdens.
Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Ahead of October JOLTS Report
Renowned valuation experts suggest buying the magnificent 7 during market corrections.
A professor from New York University believes that large technology companies in the usa will continue to generate cash / money market and claims to hold "the magnificent seven stocks."
US and European stock markets are in "two different worlds"! Citigroup: US stock bears surrender, while European stocks are still being shorted.
Citigroup strategist stated that as the s&p 500 index continues to hit record highs and is set to achieve its best performance since 2021, short sellers are surrendering one after another.
Looking back at 2024: Why did the rising trend of US stocks shock Wall Street?
①The US stock market has shown strong performance this year, with the s&p 500 index rising by about 27% year-to-date, expected to achieve the best performance in many years, far exceeding Wall Street's expectations at the beginning of the year. ②So, what are the factors that the US stock market relies on to achieve such a strong increase?
US Stock Gold Mining | Black Friday trade continues to explode! Demand for upgrades stimulates apple to regain the global market cap top spot; retail stocks walmart and costco reach new highs collectively.
The 'audit scandal' ends? Super Micro Computer soared nearly 29% overnight! After external review found no improper behavior, the company replaced its CFO; Advertising agencies The Trade Desk may merge with streaming platform Roku, with the former's stock price reaching a new high, while the latter surged 11% in one day.
Is the US stock market's upward trend over? The "fear indicator": it can still rise!
Analysts indicate that multiple indicators are closely aligned with the situation in the 2016 election year, and the overall tendency of signals still favors the bulls.
Unprecedented! Rockefeller International Chairman warns: The US market is brewing a super large bubble.
① Global investors are currently pouring a large amount of funds into usa assets, and Ruchir Sharma, chairman of Rockefeller International, has issued a warning about this; ② Sharma pointed out that this mentality is "inflating" an unprecedented bubble and distorting the fundamentals of other economies; ③ Currently, usa stocks account for nearly 70% of the major global stock indices, and their premium compared to other regions of the world is somewhat exaggerated.
Full text of "The Influential Committee Member" Waller's speech: What determines whether the Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates or chooses to skip?
The speed and timing of interest rate cuts will be determined by the economic conditions encountered along the way; the balance in the labor market indicates that current policies still provide restrictive support for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates. If decision-makers' estimates for the interest rate target range by the end of next year are close to accurate, it is likely that the process of achieving this goal will involve skipping interest rate cuts multiple times.
Daily options tracking: China assets ETF call options heavily bought; super micro computer stock price skyrocketed, call orders earned 4 times.
Apple rose nearly 1% yesterday, with its stock price surpassing its historical high, reclaiming the top position in global market cap, as a major investor bought 4,000 call options expiring on September 19, 2025, involving an investment of 4.38 million dollars.
Does the Stock Market Have a Valuation Problem?
"Super strong bull market" Cannot be replicated? Professor at Wharton School of Business: US stocks expected to be lukewarm next year, bullish on small cap stocks!
① Jeremy Siegel, a finance professor at the Wharton School, predicts that the s&p 500 index next year will have a return on investment in the range of 0 to 10%, with the return on technology stocks possibly remaining flat; ② Siegel believes that technology stocks, including amazon, nvidia, and Meta, which have been driving the rise of US stocks in the past two years, are starting to lag behind.
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Top economists: Next year, the "big hot" in the US stock market will change! Is the high-return gold period over?
Wharton School professors said, "Perhaps this time, we will see the hot stocks that have performed exceptionally well in the past two years relatively weak."
Is the usa experiencing a "CEO layoff trend"? The number of CEOs leaving this year has reached a record high.
①Last Sunday and Monday Eastern Time, both intel and Stellantis' CEOs announced their resignations, highlighting a wide trend in the entire business sector in the usa - the "layoff tide" of CEOs.②The number of CEO resignations in the usa has reached a record high this year, with more than 1800 CEOs announcing their resignations as of October, indicating an increased risk appetite and a desire for leaders to address the complex business environment and turn the company's situation around.
Wall Street's 'bullish army' is growing stronger! Wells Fargo & Co: US stocks will lead the global market next year.
Wells Fargo & Co expects the s&p 500 index to reach 6,600 points by the end of next year, and advises investors to ignore short-term fluctuations and buy on dips.
A once-in-a-century event! U.S. stocks are expected to rise more than 20% for two consecutive years, and Wall Street is betting on new highs by the end of the year.
① On Monday this week, the s&p 500 index set a new record, and Wall Street investment banks predict that U.S. stocks will continue to rise by the end of the year; ② If the s&p 500 index continues to rise this month, it will have increased more than 20% for two consecutive years, a scenario that has only occurred three times in the past century.
Federal Reserve officials are dovish, and the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverted, reigniting hopes for a rate cut in December.
USA Treasury bonds regained lost ground in early trading on Monday, and market sentiment was further boosted towards the end of the day in New York, as a key official from the Federal Reserve opened the door to further easing monetary policy later this month.