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The non-farm data unexpectedly exceeded expectations! Will the Federal Reserve only cut interest rates once this year?
Interest rate cut expectations are rapidly being reduced! The market is beginning to bet that the Federal Reserve may only cut rates once this year...
U.S. Stock Outlook | Non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, leading to a short-term plunge in the three major futures indices; high-performing stocks surged, with pharmacy stock WBA rising over 13% in pre-market, and Delta Air Lines climbing over 9%
NVIDIA slightly fell before the market opened, and AMD dropped over 2% before the market opened, as the USA plans to tighten the export of AI Chips from NVIDIA and AMD; several Federal Reserve voting members have spoken out, hinting at a pause in interest rate cuts; sources say that the USA Treasury is expected to release a statement detailing new sanctions on Russian oil later on Friday.
Wall Street warns: If you don't want a big drop in U.S. stocks, tonight's non-farm payroll needs to be "just right."
Bank of America stated that only "Goldilocks" data can keep long-term interest rates below 5%, stabilize interest rate sensitivity, and prevent the Nasdaq's leadership from wavering. "Explosive" data could lead to a decline of about 4% in the S&P 500 Index to 5,666 points.
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What are Wall Street investment banks' views on tonight's non-farm payroll report?
A graphic to understand Wall Street investment banks' predictions for tonight's non-farm payroll additions, unemployment rate, and wage data.