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Wall Street investment banks are concerned that interest rates cannot be lowered next year, but the Federal Reserve seems to think otherwise.
① Although the tense situation between Russia and Ukraine continues to attract safe-haven bids for US bonds, the overall US bond market has still not been able to reverse the recent weak trend, largely due to the market's lack of confidence in the Fed's upcoming rate cut process; ② However, compared to the highly pessimistic outlook of market participants on rate cuts at the moment, recent statements from Fed officials seem not as hawkish.
Will Trump and Powell once again fight over interest rates?
"All roads lead to the tense relationship between the White House and the Federal Reserve," but there are indeed some factors that can act as a calming agent.
Breaking news! Is the "shadow chairman of the Federal Reserve" coming soon?
USA Treasury Secretary nominee Yellen is expected to be nominated as the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Analysis suggests that the 'shadow chairman' may intervene in the direction of monetary policy ahead of the official assumption of office in 2026, conveying Trump's 'low interest rate' inclination, exacerbating the risk of soaring inflation. At the same time, the Federal Reserve Chairman does not have complete decision-making authority over policy rates, which may also make the monetary policy outlook more uncertain.
Goldman Sachs, the "bull market leader", outlook for 2025: Next year, the USA will be a year of simultaneous rise in stocks and bonds.
Goldman Sachs is bullish on the USA stock market and bonds market in 2025.
Daily options tracker | Attacked by short sellers! MSTR's implied volatility soared to 211%, reaching a new high for the year; Nvidia options trading volume nearly doubled, with the call/put ratio rising to 66.2%.
Performance exceeded expectations! Snowflake rose by over 30%, with the call ratio soaring to 69%. The volume of options increased by 2.36 times month-on-month to 0.677 million contracts; on the options chain, the highest volume of call options at a strike price of $175 reached 0.028 million contracts, followed by the call option with a strike price of $180 expiring next Friday, with a volume of 0.023 million contracts.
Experts sound the alarm! Two major factors may lead to a 'healthy pullback' in the US stock market.
A portfolio manager stated that if corporate profits in the usa and economic growth in the usa stagnate, there may be a "healthy" correction in the usa stock market.