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usa's October PCE inflation slightly rebounded! But the market still expects the Fed to cut interest rates again in December.
The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again in 2024. According to CME Group's Federal Reserve Watch tool, the market anticipates a 67% chance of a rate cut at the December meeting.
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Bull market continues! Morgan Stanley looks at the US stock market in 2025: reaching 6,500 points by the end of next year, with high-quality cyclical stocks as the top choice.
Daiwa believes that the s&p 500, represented by high-quality stocks, will benefit from the Fed's rate cut cycle, stabilization of business indicators, policy mix, and uncertainty in economic data. However, considering that specific policies have not yet been introduced, U.S. stocks have been severely overbought, and next year's market is unlikely to "rise in a straight line," the key will be to see the Trump administration's measures in cutting fiscal spending.
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Express News | The Nasdaq 100 index fell by 1%, with nvidia and intel both falling more than 3%.
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U.S. stocks early market | Core PCE has the largest increase since April of this year! Spot gold briefly dropped; quantum computing concept stocks are booming! QUBT and RGTI rose by 10%, and Quantum once triggered a circuit breaker.
The market continues to focus on Trump's tariff policy and cabinet composition. The actual GDP growth rate of the United States in the third quarter slowed down compared to the second quarter.
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Express News | In October, the core PCE price index in the usa increased by 2.8% year-on-year, marking the largest increase since April 2024.
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IDC: Global smart phone sales are expected to rebound strongly this year, but iPhone growth is sluggish.
According to the IDC report, after two consecutive years of decline, global smart phone sales will rebound strongly in 2024, but Apple's growth is weak, highlighting that its competitors are capturing more market share; Global smart phone shipments have not yet returned to the level before the COVID-19 pandemic, and IDC predicts that the growth rate in the coming years will not exceed single digits.
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Trump's tariffs have roiled the foreign exchange market, why are the U.S. stocks so calm?
Trump's tariff threats have not yet caused panic in the usa stock market, but investors should be wary of the negative impact of tariffs on economic growth in the usa and the Fed's expectations for interest rate cuts.
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J.P. Morgan: The usa stock market will maintain its global dominance and continue to outperform other markets.
Since the beginning of this year, driven by the technology and ai boom, the usa stock market has continued to outperform the international stock market. At the same time, the us economy remains resilient, as the Federal Reserve has entered a rate-cutting cycle against the backdrop of declining inflation.