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A visual overview of the Trump 2.0 policy timeline! What investment opportunities are worth paying attention to?
Analysis indicates that Trump 2.0's policy may still be within the framework of 1.0, but the pace may accelerate, and domestic and foreign policies may become more assertive. Trump may be more firm in practicing the "America First" principle, implementing tougher immigration and trade policies.
A former Federal Reserve governor is leading the pack as a popular candidate for treasury secretary, but can Trump's political views be accepted?
① The key candidates for Trump's cabinet are gradually being determined, but the selection for the Secretary of the Treasury remains undecided, raising market curiosity and anxiety; ② The possibility of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Walsh becoming the Secretary of the Treasury has rebounded, with his nomination probability reaching 49% at one point; ③ The market believes that Walsh's election could alleviate concerns about the cooperation between the Federal Reserve and the Treasury in providing government funding.
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Boosting inflation weaken the economy? Trump's tariff policy harshly criticized by Morgan Stanley.
①Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Economist Seth Carpenter stated that Trump's proposed tariffs will lead to higher inflation and weaken the economic growth of the usa; ②If the tariff policy is eventually implemented, Carpenter believes that it will significantly weaken the growth of the usa by 2026; ③Many economists have questioned Trump's tariff policy, suggesting that it may trigger global trade frictions.
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Wall Street has begun to pay attention to tariff issues, and concerns about the return of inflation are intensifying.
Investors are closely monitoring the potential impact of the Trump administration's global trade policies on the stocks market.
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The 'Trump trade' of the 2016 version completely reversed afterwards, what about this time?
After Trump's election victory, the US dollar, US stocks, and small cap stocks usually tend to strengthen. However, during Trump 1.0, from 2016 to 2020, the US dollar and small cap stocks performed poorly, failing to rise as expected, while the rise in US stocks was mostly attributable to the strength of technology stocks. Analysis suggests that the 'Trump trade' is not the same as 'Trump investment', it is more of a short-term market reaction rather than a long-term trend.
"How long can the Trump trade continue?"
Compared to other presidential candidates, the impact of Trump's victory is unique, but Wall Street should also be wary of the fading of this effect.
Trump reportedly plans to narrow the range of Treasury Secretary candidates this week, with candidates from a Wall Street background taking the lead.
①According to media reports citing sources, usa President-elect Trump plans to narrow down the range of candidates for Treasury Secretary within this week, and is inclined to choose someone with a Wall Street background for this important position; ②After winning the US presidential election, there is close attention from the public on how he will form the cabinet for his second term. Treasury Secretary and Secretary of State are usually the positions where the US President prioritizes the selection of candidates.
Goldman Sachs: Trump's 'Super Week' ends, the US stock market will enter a rotation market.
Goldman Sachs traders expect that after the trading market driven by the US election ends, the forecast rotation pressure will continue to be a significant feature of the market, as investors put money into smaller market cap companies and seek opportunities in cyclical/inflation themes.
Shares of Base Metal Stocks Are Trading Lower. Weakness May Be Due to China Stimulus Efforts.
Wall Street outlook for "Trump 2.0": The first two years of presidency will have a "profound impact".
JPMorgan stated that if Trump adjusts policies on taxes, regulations, and cryptos, the first two years of his second term may be quite influential.
Buckle up! Xiao Mo: Trump 2.0 will have a significant impact in the first two years.
jpmorgan stated that if Trump makes policy changes in taxes, regulations, and cryptos after taking office, the first two years of Trump's second term could be quite influential. If the Republican Party manages to win a majority in both the House and the Senate at the same time, it means that his policy bills will sail through Congress unimpeded before the next midterm elections.
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"Trump trade" fizzled out, what is the market worried about?
The market is concerned that if Trump really fulfills his campaign promises, especially on tariff policy, the usa may see larger deficits and soaring inflation, immigrant workers being deported, which could lead to a significant decline in economic growth.
Market doubts policy difficult to implement, traders' enthusiasm for the "Trump trade" cools down.
After initially rushing into the 'Trump trade', some investors in certain asset classes are gradually lowering their enthusiasm, as they question whether Trump will pursue his ambitious tariff proposals as the President of the USA.
Trump is making a comeback, Goldman Sachs has lowered economic growth expectations for countries in Europe such as Germany and the United Kingdom.
①Goldman Sachs predicts that Trump's protectionist policies will harm Europe's economy, especially Germany; ②Goldman Sachs has lowered its economic growth expectations for Europe, expecting trade tensions to affect European exports and economic growth; ③Trump's questioning of NATO's role may lead European countries to increase defense spending, affecting business confidence.