The Global Technology feast CES "money-making gift package" is coming! A summary of five major investment opportunities.
This year's largest Technology event has brought us many interesting new products. This article mainly reviews for mooers the major trends in consumer electronics investment focused on at the CES 2025.
Traders Push Back Rate-cut Expectations for 2025 After Hot December Jobs Report
U.S. stock market early session | The three major Indexes all declined, with the Nasdaq down over 2%; Technology stocks plummeted, with AMD falling more than 5%; Blue-chip stocks surged against the trend! Pharmacy stock WBA rose over 25%.
On the evening of October 10 in Peking, US stocks opened lower on Friday. The surge in US bond yields put pressure on the stock indices, with the 30-year US bond yield rising to 5%. The non-farm payroll data for December significantly exceeded expectations, and the unemployment rate fell, leading investors to lower their expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
December US Nonfarm Payrolls Rise More Than Expected, Unemployment Rate Slows
U.S. Stock Outlook | Non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, leading to a short-term plunge in the three major futures indices; high-performing stocks surged, with pharmacy stock WBA rising over 13% in pre-market, and Delta Air Lines climbing over 9%
NVIDIA slightly fell before the market opened, and AMD dropped over 2% before the market opened, as the USA plans to tighten the export of AI Chips from NVIDIA and AMD; several Federal Reserve voting members have spoken out, hinting at a pause in interest rate cuts; sources say that the USA Treasury is expected to release a statement detailing new sanctions on Russian oil later on Friday.
This week's U.S. stock market winners | The technology event CES ignited stock prices! Micron Technology rose over 10% during the week; is the pullback a buying opportunity? The second-hand car platform Carvana saw a rebound this week.
This week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.23%, closing at 42,635.2 points; during the same period, the S&P 500 Index fell by 0.41%, closing at 5,918.25 points; the Nasdaq fell by 0.73%, closing at 19,478.88 points.
The USA Senate plans to hold a confirmation hearing for Treasury Secretary nominee Basant on January 16.
According to three sources, the Senate Finance Committee plans to hold a hearing on January 16 regarding the nomination of Scott Bessenet as the Secretary of the Treasury by the USA's incoming President Trump.
Morgan Stanley's outlook for the top ten investment trends in 2025: the revival of nuclear energy, the AI revolution in the financial Industry, quantum computing, oral weight loss medications...
Morgan Stanley pointed out that historically, popular themes with strong profit momentum tend to have a strong sustainability, such as AI, defense spending, and obesity drugs; negative prices and quantum computing are expected to emerge as new investment hotspots.
The first "non-farm payroll night" of 2025: Will the first data shock wave of the new year arrive?
① The U.S. Department of Labor will release the non-farm employment data for December tonight at 21:30 Beijing time. ② Against the backdrop of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield heading towards five, which serves as the 'anchor for global asset pricing,' the impact of tonight's data on the global market will undoubtedly be significant...
The biggest obstacle to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2025: inflation and Trump.
The anti-inflation process has stagnated, and meanwhile, under Republican control, several Congressional agendas will further increase inflation.
Futu Morning Brief | Is there a signal to "pause interest rate cuts"? Federal Reserve officials speak out collectively; Elon Musk live streams at CES, discussing ambitious plans, Tesla's robots are set to expand production by a hundredfold.
HSBC expects the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index to rise by 21% this year and has raised its year-end target; Tencent has continuously reduced its shareholding in WEIMOB INC and UBTECH, cashing out 1.67 billion Hong Kong dollars, with WEIMOB INC responding.
Goldman Sachs strategists warn: The pricing of U.S. stocks is at a "perfect level" and is likely to experience a pullback.
Goldman Sachs' Chief Global Equity Strategist Peter Oppenheimer warned that as investors digest the uncertainty surrounding rising Bond yields, overvaluations, and further interest rate cuts, the current "perfect" earnings market environment may be difficult to sustain.
Tonight's non-farm payroll report is coming! Signals of a slowdown in employment growth have emerged, and the health status of the labor market will soon be revealed.
With the recent continuous rise in the US dollar and US Treasury bond yields, the market is highly focused on the upcoming US non-farm employment data for December, which will be announced at 20:30 Beijing time on Friday.
Quietly, the Federal Reserve has given more attention to this "new" inflation Indicators.
Including Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, senior officials of the Federal Reserve are increasingly focusing on a lesser-known inflation Index—the market-based version of the Personal Consumer Expenditure Price Index, which excludes a range of service industry data that its collectors cannot measure directly and must estimate. Currently, this Index is closer to the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target, potentially indicating that the threshold for further interest rate cuts is lower than the market anticipates.
The outlook for Trump's policies is uncertain, the Federal Reserve is cautious, and this year the voting committee unanimously supports gradual interest rate cuts.
This year, the voting member and President of the Boston Federal Reserve, Collins, stated that the economic outlook is very uncertain, and requires a gradual and patient approach to interest rate cuts, expecting the number of cuts this year to be reduced to two from previous expectations; another voting member this year, President of the Kansas City Federal Reserve, Schmidt, stated that if economic data improves, it supports gradual rate cuts; the Federal Reserve is close to the neutral interest rate, nearly achieving the dual mandate of inflation and employment, and further balance sheet reduction is needed; the 2026 voting member, President of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve, Harker, stated support for further rate cuts this year, but the timing depends on the data, and action should be paused for now; the 2027 voting member, President of the Richmond Federal Reserve, Barkin, stated that it is the term premium, not inflation, that drives up long-term interest rates.
A 180-degree turn! Goldman Sachs' latest warning: U.S. stocks are priced too "perfectly," and a correction is imminent.
Goldman Sachs issued a new warning on Thursday (January 9): As investors digest the rising Bonds yields, overvalued valuations, and the uncertainty of further interest rate cuts, the current perfect money-making market environment may be difficult to sustain.
Minister Ma candidly stated that reducing federal spending by 2 trillion is an overly idealistic goal.
① Musk stated that the proposed "Department of Government Efficiency" in the USA may not be able to achieve its preset highest goal of cutting federal government spending by 2 trillion dollars; ② Musk emphasized in an exclusive interview that this is not an admission of failure in advance, and he can still help Trump achieve "epic results."
The Federal Reserve shifts to "market-based" inflation Indicators, adding optimistic grounds for the economic outlook.
Including Chairman Jerome Powell, senior officials of the Federal Reserve are increasingly relying on a lesser-known price indicator - "market-based" inflation, as a basis for their optimistic economic outlook.
USA officials expect that negotiations between Russia and Ukraine may begin early this year!
On the eve of leaving office, the Biden administration released another 0.5 billion USD in aid to Ukraine, to increase Ukraine's "potential bargaining chips."
The deep recession alert has been sounded! USA credit card debt unexpectedly plummets.
In November, USA consumer credit decreased significantly by 7.5 billion dollars, with unpaid credit card and other revolving debt balances plummeting by 13.8 billion dollars, marking the largest monthly drop since the economic shutdown triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Analysis suggests that whenever there is such a sharp decline in revolving credit, the USA economy is often on the brink of recession or already in recession.