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Small cap stocks dance in the wind: market ignited by expectations of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut.
The optimistic sentiment of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points this week has driven the performance of small cap stocks. However, the expectation of a 50 basis point rate cut needs to become a reality in order to avoid a blow to small cap stocks.
Dow Jones, S&P equal weight, and gold all hit new highs, with expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut running high!
The market's expectation for a Fed interest rate cut continues to heat up, leading to an inflow of funds into economically sensitive industries, driving the Dow, S&P, and gold to new historic highs. Currently, traders believe there is a 64% chance of a "50 basis points rate cut."
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The suspense of interest rate cuts has intensified! Market divergences before the Fed's decision.
There is a divergence in market expectations for interest rate cuts, and there may be a significant gap between pricing and actual results.
Taking history as a lesson! What will happen after each "50 basis points rate cut" by the Fed?
Nomura Securities pointed out that three months after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, small cap stocks surged, value stocks outperformed growth stocks again, metal prices soared, and the yield curve steepened, indicating a bullish market trend. The Federal Reserve has previously raised interest rates by 75 basis points multiple times, so it is not surprising to start a rate-cutting cycle with a 50 basis point cut, and it may not necessarily trigger market panic.
Tesla Cybertruck Deliveries In Canada Expected In Late October
The US economy is doing well, so why start cutting interest rates? The Wall Street Journal: The Federal Reserve is facing a complex situation.
Analysts believe that after the first interest rate cut on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will remain restrictive. Although it is unclear whether it can stimulate the real estate market to become active again, it is expected to encourage companies to increase equipment investment.
It's surging again! The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points this week has exceeded 50 percent.
Traders now believe that there is a higher probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September than by 25 basis points, but there is still one data that could disrupt the market before the results are announced...
Express News | Standard Chartered Bank warns: The Fed should not cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Cui Dongshu, Secretary General of the China Passenger Car Association: The 'Autos to the Countryside' policy needs to be strengthened rather than suppressed.
In 2024, China's auto market retail achieved the expected strong start, followed by a sharp divergence between electric vehicles and gasoline vehicles. From January to August 2024, the retail sales of electric vehicles reached 6.01 million units, showing a relatively strong trend with a 35% increase, close to the 36% growth rate in 2023.
Famous Wall Street bull: US stocks will rebound for several weeks after the Federal Reserve's September interest rate decision is announced.
According to the analysis by Fundstrat's research director Tom Lee, the stock market may experience a rebound lasting several weeks after the significant interest rate decision to be made by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.
The bet on a 50 basis point interest rate cut is becoming increasingly significant, and there are also these reasons for not reducing interest rates substantially.
Dow Jones hit a new high, gold reached a new high, and the Japanese yen broke through the 140 level.
Microsoft Announces $60B Share Buyback Program, 10% Dividend Increase Amid Rising AI Investment And Restructuring
The number of newly added charging station decreased by 28%! Tesla's large-scale layoffs have affected the Supercharger network.
According to institutional data, Tesla's large-scale layoff in April of this year has significantly slowed down the expansion of the Supercharging Network.
The Fed is approaching rate cuts, the usd index is falling, gold hits new highs again.
As the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut gets closer, the US dollar index continued its recent trend this week, falling further on Monday, which also pushed gold to hit a new all-time high, and the renminbi continued to appreciate. With the expected interest rate cut in September, various global assets are expected to follow this trend and go further.
Former leaders of the Federal Reserve: A big move is needed, a 50 basis point rate cut is reasonable, and I believe Powell will do so.
Former New York Fed Chairman Dudley reiterated on Monday his statement from last Friday, stating that there are valid reasons for the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at the September meeting.
microsoft Copilot's customer base increased by 60% last quarter! The new upgrade can code Excel spreadsheets and prioritize processing emails.
The analysis believes that Microsoft is connecting the popular Office software with OpenAI's AI models, distinguishing Microsoft's products in the market from competitors' products, including OpenAI's own products.
The market expectations are very aggressive. What should we do if the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday?
Some analysts believe that for the market, the only important thing this week is whether the Fed chooses to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points. If the rate cut is less than 50 basis points, it may create disappointment and trigger stock and bond market selling, causing a significant 'financial tightening shock'.
The market expects a 50 basis point rate cut, which is not enough! US lawmakers have sent a joint letter to Powell calling for a 75 basis point rate cut.
The futures prices on Monday reflected that investors expected a 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed this week, with a probability of close to 60%. Blackrock said the market's pricing of the rate cut cycle was a bit overdone, while a joint letter from Democratic senators warned that being too cautious about the rate cut would unnecessarily expose the economy to the risk of a recession.