The Fed Just Convinced Markets It's Not Behind the Curve
Wall Street Breaks Records, Chipmakers Rally, Tesla Hits 2-Month High As Fed Cut Drives Risk-On Mode: What's Driving Markets Thursday?
After correctly predicting the magnitude of the interest rate cut in September, Morgan Stanley predicts that the next round of significant easing will depend on the job market.
jpmorgan economists, the wall street giant, correctly predicted the 50 basis point rate cut by the federal reserve on wednesday. They stated that another significant rate cut will depend on the weakening of the labor market in the usa.
The smaller the plate, the more fierce the rise? Rate cuts plus a soft landing, the Russell 2000 has risen for six consecutive days and may become the 'big winner'!
After the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point rate cut, the three major US stock indexes all straight up but ended with losses; the small cap representative e-mini Russell 2000 index also straight up, with greater elasticity, and ultimately closed flat; 'aggressive rate cuts' meets 'strong economy/soft landing', small caps are considered to benefit more from loose mmf policies.
The Federal Reserve's first rate cut in four years, with Bank of America predicting a further 75 basis point cut before the end of the year.
Bank of America Global Research Company said on Wednesday (September 18th) that it is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 basis points for the remaining time this year, which is higher than previously estimated. Bank of America also pointed out that the Federal Reserve may further reduce interest rates by 125 basis points by 2025. On the same day, Goldman Sachs predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points multiple times until mid-2025.
Is the Federal Reserve starting an interest rate cut cycle on the cusp of a wave, possibly revealing the outcome of the election in advance?
Taking history as a lesson, in an election year with declining interest rates, the probability of the incumbent president or challenger winning is greater.