Is it stable? The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates next month has reached 80%.
① Last night, the completely market-expected usa October CPI data did not cause much of a stir in the market; ② However, the data performance still boosted market confidence in the Fed's interest rate cut next month, and stimulated a rebound in short-term US government bonds.
Where is the end point of this round of Fed rate cuts? Goldman Sachs: Around 3.25-3.5%, 100 basis points higher than the peak of the previous cycle.
Goldman Sachs pointed out that there are two main reasons for the adjustment of the neutral rate, including the rise in interest rates in the bonds market and the updated estimates of the neutral rate by economic models. Furthermore, the adjustment is also supported by current strong fiscal spending and non-monetary policy factors such as risk appetite.
US Futures Marginally Up As Investors Process Inflation Data Ahead Of Jerome Powell's Speech On Economy: Expert Says Fed Should 'Continue Recalibrating To Neutral' On Softer Inflation
Daily options tracking | Cryptos concept stocks strengthen again before the market opens! MSTR's volatility has been rising for several days; amazon hits a historic high! Call options within the week have doubled their profits.
Claiming to be a "SpaceX competitor," Rocket Lab surged 28% after earnings, with options volume skyrocketing threefold month-on-month to 0.4 million contracts. Call options accounted for 76.5%, among which the call options expiring this Friday with a strike price of $20 were the most active, with a volume exceeding 0.02 million contracts, and several call options saw premiums increase by over 200%.
The reason for Trump's sudden announcement about "Musk" has been found! A well-known financial blog: usa's deficit surged an astonishing 22% in October.
Officials from the usa Treasury Department stated that the budget deficit in October of this year will increase by 22%, skyrocketing to an astonishing 257.5 billion dollars. A well-known financial blog pointed out that unless Trump announces cuts to tens of trillions in spending from the efficiency department led by Musk, the debt will continue to rise.
Powell to Speak on Interest Rates and the Economy. Look for Clues About the Fed's Next Rate Decision