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Is the Trump effect returning? The leading economic Indicators in the USA have turned positive for the first time in nearly three years, no longer indicating that the economy will fall into recession.
Among the factors driving the rise in Indicators, building permits and the stock market are the main positive contributors, while ISM new Orders and the USA Treasury yield curve continue to weigh significantly on the Indicators. With the Indicators turning positive in November, the LEI no longer shows signs of an impending recession in the USA economy.
U.S. stock market close | The three major Indexes had mixed results, with the Dow ending a 10-day losing streak; Quantum Computing concept stocks corrected, with QUBT and Quantum down about 40%; FedEx surged more than 13% after hours.
① The Dow Jones slightly increased, while the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq slightly decreased; ② Micron Technology dropped over 16%; ③ Nike rose more than 10% in Post-Market Trading.
Analysts warn: next year, more hawkish voters will increase, and the Fed faces more uncertainty regarding interest rate cuts.
1. Analysts warn that with an increase in hawkish members in the voting committee next year, there is more uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's future interest rate reduction path; 2. A more hawkish policy committee may increase dissent, but it may not necessarily change policy outcomes.
The largest "Triple Witching Day" in history is coming! Options worth 6.6 trillion dollars are about to expire.
This Friday is the "Day of the Three Witches", which is expected to be the largest Options expiration day in history.
ETF Market Sets Records In 2024 As Inflows Reach $1.6 Trillion: 7 Funds Leading Charge
Invesco QQQ Trust Options Spot-On: On December 19th, 4.48 Million Contracts Were Traded, With 11.33 Million Open Interest
On December 19th ET, $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 4.48 million options for the day, of which put options accounted for 53.7% of the total