No danger! On the 1000th day of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, global market risk aversion sentiment is "here today, gone tomorrow".
On the 1000th day of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the geopolitical tension seems to have become a major hindrance to the market overnight; However, fortunately, the market trends of stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange markets were still relatively stable on that day…
Futu Morning Post | Heavy financial report night! Options market pricing may lead to a $300 billion fluctuation in Nvidia's market cap; Trump nominates a hawkish individual to serve as Secretary of Commerce.
Goldman Sachs presents a significant outlook for the 2025 global stock market: valuations are too high, seeking Alpha opportunities; the USA is more closely embracing cryptos, with bitcoin reaching new historical highs; if the judge rules that Google sells Chrome, that business could be worth up to 20 billion dollars.
U.S. stock market in the early session | The Nasdaq has risen and turned positive, cryptos concept stocks and golden industrial concept stocks have strengthened, MSTR has increased nearly 5%, and barrick gold has risen over 2%.
This week, investors are focusing on important financial reports from nvidia and the cabinet nominations of the Trump administration.
U.S. Stock Market Outlook: Wall Street sees S&P rise to 6500 points! Goldman Sachs: Magnificent 7 in technology continue to lead the way; Pre-market surges nearly 28%! Super micro computer delisted crisis gets a "breather"
Pre-market rose more than 3%! Walmart's Q3 revenue of $169.6 billion exceeded expectations, further raising revenue guidance; Ctrip rose more than 5% pre-market, with a 47% year-on-year increase in Q3 profit; Xiaopeng Motors rose nearly 6% pre-market, with Q3 net loss narrowing by 53.5%, and Q4 delivery guidance set a record high.
Treasury Yields Fall as Investors Await Data for Clues About the Economy
Daily options tracking | New auditors have come on board! The super micro computer surged over 30% before trading, with yesterday's call ratio skyrocketing to 65%; DJT is reported to be in talks to acquire the trading platform Bakkt, with multiple call op
Microstrategy, known as a "bitcoin hold positions whale," rose nearly 13% yesterday, with options volume reaching 0.43 million contracts, and the call ratio increasing to 58.4%; the highest volume for calls expiring this Friday with a strike price of $400 was 0.017 million contracts, an increase of over 80%.
"Hot cakes" appear again? The 30-year US Treasury yield hits a near six-month high! Two major "creditors" collectively dump US bonds in September.
How much longer can the U.S. stock market remain bullish?
Goldman Sachs turns bullish: the dollar will be "stronger for longer"!
Goldman Sachs' mmf strategists indicate that a strong dollar will lead to new interventions in certain areas.
Futu Morning Post | Morgan Stanley famous bear Wilson turns bullish! s&p 500 may rise another 11% next year; super micro computer submits compliance plan to nasdaq, surging nearly 40% after hours at one point.
USA Treasury Secretary candidate internal strife intensified, former Federal Reserve Board member Wash unexpectedly entered the Treasury Secretary candidate; Bank of America Merrill Lynch pointed out that Nvidia's financial report may determine the success or failure of the stock market rebound.
Famous short seller Wilson from Morgan Stanley turns bullish: no need to worry about high valuations, interest rate cuts, and profit growth, the s&p 500 will rise another 11% next year!
In recent years, morgan stanley strategist Michael Wilson, known for his bearish stance on the usa stock market, has unusually expressed a completely bullish outlook for the usa stock market in 2025, believing that the s&p 500 index will reach around 6,500 points by the end of next year. Since the beginning of 2023, the s&p 500 index has surged more than 50%.
US Blue-Chip Bond Issuance Reaches Second-Highest Level Ever
This Fed-based Market Signal Is Flashing a Warning for the First Time in Over a Decade. Here's Why It Matters.
U.S. stock market morning session | Tesla surged more than 8%, with a market cap exceeding $1.1 trillion; Xiaomi ADR soared 5% after earnings, with Q3 revenue reaching a record high of $92.5 billion.
On the evening of October 18th, Beijing time, the market this week is focused on the earnings reports of several important companies including nvidia, as well as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut policy and the outlook for the US stock market after the elections.
U.S. Stock Market Outlook | Expectations of interest rate cuts sharply cooling! Nomura: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will hit the pause button on interest rate cuts in December; Tesla pre-market trading surges nearly 7%! The Trump administratio
nvidia fell more than 2% in pre-market, as the Blackwell chip has a 'heating issue'; super micro computer rose over 10% in pre-market, as the company plans to submit a compliance plan to avoid (delisted) risk.
Daily options tracking | Trump's assistance? Tesla rose more than 8% in pre-market trading, with a large single l bet on the rise last Friday; Palantir hit a new all-time high! Multiple call options made over 9 times profit.
Super micro computer surged over 17% in pre-market today, following reports that the company will submit a compliance plan to avoid (delisted) risk. The stock rose over 3% last Friday, with implied volatility soaring to 219.62%, reaching its highest level of the year, and call options saw a surge in demand, accounting for 44% of the total. On the options chain, among the expiring contracts this Friday, the call with a strike price of $23 had the highest volume, reaching 6,000 contracts.
What signal? Buffett's cash position has been increasing year after year, surprisingly coinciding with the trend of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Recently, the 'Stock God' Buffett once again 'cleaned out' stocks, which has attracted high market attention. The latest quarterly report shows that Berkshire continues to reduce its stock holdings, with the company's cash reserves reaching a historical high of $325.2 billion, an increase of 17.4% from $276.9 billion at the end of the second quarter.
As US bond yields soar, how much longer can the US stock market party last?
Currently, there are no signs of a bear market in the US stock market, but the surging yields on US Treasury bonds may become a turning point for the situation. Bank of America Merrill Lynch states that when the 10-year US Treasury yield exceeds 5%, investors tend to shift from the stock market to the bond market, limiting the rise of US stocks. This yield has climbed by 80 basis points since mid-September, although the bank indicates that the current interest rate risk is manageable.
Dollar, Treasury Yields Could Correct Lower -- Market Talk
German Bunds, U.S. Treasurys Seek Near-Term Direction -- Market Talk
Will Trump's presidency lead to a resurgence of inflation in the USA? Charles Schwab: Investors should be wary of four major signs.
①Charles Schwab strategists predict that although overall inflation in the USA is cooling down, the downward path will be "volatile"; ②They point out that there are four major signs that may indicate intensifying inflationary pressures in the economy, and investors need to be cautious.