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The US stock market faces two headwinds; is it difficult for the rebound to gain a foothold?
Analysts believe that U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar need to cool down for U.S. stocks to continue their rebound.
2024 financial events summary! The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle has officially begun, with the U.S. stock market, Bitcoin, and Gold all reaching new highs, and NVIDIA's Market Cap even temporarily topping the Global rankings.
In 2024, with the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in four years, Global Assets flourish, with Japanese stocks, Gold, US stocks, Bitcoin, and others breaking historical highs one after another. Chinese Assets experienced an epic surge in October.
What major trends are implied behind the ten historic numbers of 2024?
From Bitcoin prices breaking 0.1 million dollars, to Musk's exorbitant compensation package, and the record-low fertility rates in Japan and South Korea, each number hides a complex story, reflecting the fluctuations of the Global economy, policy shifts, market turmoil, and leaps in Technology.
Consumer confidence in the USA has dropped for the first time in three months, as concerns about Trump's tariff increases grow.
① In December, the Consumer Confidence Index in the USA fell to 104.7, below the expected value of 113.2, marking the first decline in three months; ② An increasing number of consumers are mentioning politics and tariffs, with 46% of respondents expecting tariffs to raise the cost of living, while 21% expect tariffs to create more jobs in the USA.
The number one theme in the Global market for 2025 is: "Higher and Longer" returns.
The chief economist of Apollo stated that, whether looking at the Federal Reserve's short-term expectations, long-term expectations, or market expectations, the USA interest rate expectations are rising, and the FOMC expects the federal funds rate to remain at the current level through the end of 2026.
The selling of US bonds continues ahead of Christmas Eve! The US market will close early today.
① For Wall Street traders, this week's trade in the USA market will be split into two segments due to the arrival of the Christmas holiday; ② However, at least in the first half of this week, within less than two full trading days, bond bulls in the USA still seem unable to see any signs of easing selling pressure.