US stock market preview | Banks' performance is intensively released! Goldman Sachs, Bank of America pre-market rise by more than 2%; Trump's trade 'comeback', Trump media technology surges over 11%
Investor optimism has seen its biggest increase since June 2020, but Bank of America has once again issued a "sell" signal; Is "Trump 2.0" unfavorable to the USA? Polls: Inflation, deficits, and interest rates will all be higher than Harris.
"Trump 2.0" unfavorable to the usa? Polls: Inflation, deficit, and interest rates are all expected to be higher than Harris.
1. The latest polls show that most economists believe that inflation, deficits, and interest rates under the "Trump 2.0" scenario will be higher than Harris'; 2. At the same time, Trump and Harris are still neck and neck in the polls, evenly matched.
Daily options tracking | Nvidia refreshes historical highest closing price, multiple Friday expiration call options doubled; U.S. version of Huabei SOFI surged 11%, one call option made a whopping 13 times profit.
Cryptos surged, with a significant increase in options volume for related concept stocks. Among them, Coinbase rose by 11.32%, with an options volume of 0.5797 million contracts, and a call ratio of 84.4%.
Futu Morning Post | Federal Reserve Governor Wall: If inflation unexpectedly rises, rate cuts may be paused; Taiwan Semiconductor hits a record high in market cap during trading hours, reaching 1 trillion US dollars.
Volatility surged before the USA election, with companies intensifying their efforts to hedge forex risks; cryptos concept stocks collectively rose, Harris pledged to support the regulatory framework for digital currency.
SpaceX Starship test flight was a complete success, potentially a key factor in the usa presidential election.
①Overnight, usa's SpaceX achieved a major success in the fifth test launch of the 'Starship', accomplishing the feat of 'chopstick catching rocket' on the first attempt; ②With only over 20 days left until the official US presidential election on November 5th, SpaceX's successful test flight may cause subtle changes in the election results.
If Trump returns to the White House, where will usa inflation, interest rates, and the stock market go?
Among the 50 economists surveyed, 68% believe that if Trump returns to office, the rate of price inflation will be faster than during the Harris administration.
US stock market in early trading | The three major indices are mixed, with the S&P 500 index continuing to hit new highs; growth tech stocks generally rise, with adobe and nvidia both rising more than 3%.
As of the press time, the three major indexes rose in a straight line, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.07%; the Nasdaq rising by 1.07%; and the s&p 500 index rising by 0.65%.
USA Stocks Outlook | Increase of Strength! Goldman Sachs: Hedge funds buy record high amount of US stocks in 3 years; the pre-market performance of the three major futures contracts is mixed, with a collective surge in cryptos concept stocks.
Longboard Pharmaceuticals surged more than 50% pre-market, Lundbeck will acquire the company for 2.6 billion US dollars; SpaceX shareholder DXYZ surged more than 12% pre-market, successful Starship test; weight loss solution provider ww international rose nearly 6% pre-market.
Options Outlook | Technology stocks' earnings season is about to begin! Are the options values of Tesla and Netflix still underestimated? The probability of a post-earnings rise in Bank of America is as high as 80%! Calls are becoming active one after ano
From the skewness of options implied volatility, the current market tends to be bullish on tesla. Last Friday, there was a bullish buy order to buy 10 October 18th expiration call options with a strike price of $225 for opening positions; another two options buyers simultaneously purchased 10 October 25th expiration put options with a strike price of $260 and 17 January next year expiration put options with a strike price of $255 to hedge against further decline in Tesla.
The market has become a nervous bird, should the Federal Reserve abandon "data dependence"?
The Federal Reserve faces an urgent problem: its reliance on data has led to recent deviations, causing excessive market volatility...
Do we not need to replace Powell, as Trump can still control the Fed?
Trump's increasing ambition to intervene in the Federal Reserve is becoming more evident. Analysis suggests that if Trump is elected, he might nominate a "shadow" Federal Reserve Chairman, abolish the Fed's "dual mandate" and focus solely on controlling inflation, as well as attempting to reshape the Federal Reserve system.
"Fear data" will join hands with major bank financial reports this week! Expectations of interest rate cuts will face further tests.
This week's market hot topics: retail sales, large banks, and Netflix financial reports.
Futu Morning Post | Hong Kong stocks heavy! Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee Ka-chiu will deliver her third policy address in office; Can Nvidia reach a new high? Morgan Stanley reveals: Blackwell's future one-year supply has been sold out.
The Ministry of Finance has released an important signal! It will introduce a package of incremental policy measures; the first china stocks etf's net assets have exceeded one hundred billion, overseas institutions emphasize the undiminished valuation advantages; the stock buyback trend in the Hong Kong stock market continues! Tencent is expected to complete the billion-dollar buyback ahead of schedule.
USA inflation data disrupts market expectations? Federal Reserve officials reiterate: support 'gradual' rate cuts.
On Friday Eastern Time, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan reiterated her view that interest rates should slowly move to a more normal level, using a "gradual" rate cut. According to cme Fed watch tool, as of the time of publication, the market expects a 10.5% probability that the Fed will not cut rates in November, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 89.5%.
US stock early trading | Differential trends in the three major indices, Nasdaq slightly down, tesla plummeted by more than 8%; large banks rose across the board, wells fargo & co rose by more than 5%, jpmorgan rose by more than 3%
US stocks opened with mixed gains and losses on Friday. The September PPI index remained flat, indicating mild inflationary pressure and raising market expectations for another rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November. Jpmorgan and wells fargo & co, among other large banks, released their financial reports, marking the beginning of the US stock earnings season.
U.S. stock market outlook: Bank of America's profits exceeded expectations! Analysts raised the target for the S&P 500 index; Are there not enough surprises for Robotaxi? Tesla's pre-market drop exceeds 6%.
Trump Media Technology Group continues to soar in pre-market trading; Morgan Stanley: reiterates nvidia as the preferred choice in the semiconductor field, with strong business and very high visibility of the future.
Daily options tracking | Tesla plunges nearly 6% in pre-market trading! Large bearish options orders appeared the night before the conference; Trump media soared over 17% overnight, many bullish call options gained more than 3 times.
AMD has launched a new version of AI accelerator MI325X, with a sharp 4% drop in stock price. Options trading volume significantly increased compared to the previous trading day, with the call ratio rising to 70.6%.
Fed policymakers use 'megaphone' to speak out: Maintaining an open attitude towards no rate cuts in November.
① Atlanta Fed President Bostic reminded the market that if the data supports it, there may only be one interest rate cut in the last two meetings of this year; ② Bostic said: "If the data indicates that it is appropriate, then I can totally accept skipping the next meeting."
usa interest rate market overnight storm: inflation worries and interest rate cuts are hesitant!
For Wall Street traders, Thursday is undoubtedly a rather dramatic day: after a Federal Reserve voting committee member expressed the view of skipping a rate cut next month, the direction of the Federal Reserve's November interest rate meeting is becoming increasingly uncertain.
Fed's 'three chief officials' spoke out: advocating gradual interest rate cuts to neutrality, helping achieve a win-win situation for inflation and employment.
Williams said that the labor market has cooled down in the past year, but still remains robust, which should provide the Federal Reserve with room to gradually lower interest rates; ②"We still have a distance to go to reach our 2% target, but we are definitely moving in the right direction. The data paints a picture of an economy that has regained balance."