Can U.S. stocks continue to rise? Research institutions say it depends on the performance of U.S. bonds and the dollar.
Tom Essaye, the founder of Sevens Report Research, pointed out in this week's report that based on recent trading levels, the dollar currently poses only a "slight" resistance to U.S. stocks, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield presents a "moderate" resistance; if the dollar and bond yields continue to rise from now on, it will cause greater trouble for U.S. stocks.
Futu Morning Report | Powell's "Christmas gift"! U.S. long-term bond yields hit a seven-month high; Hong Kong stocks continue to be closed for the Christmas holiday today, U.S. stocks open.
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January next year is 91.4%; the State Council: Expand the areas of special Bonds investment, incorporating low-altitude economy, computing equipment, and supporting infrastructure into the project capital requirements; in 2024, a "wave of resignations" among CEOs of publicly listed companies in the USA will occur.
Daily Options Tracking | The "Christmas Market" has arrived as expected! MSTR's Call ratio has surged to 61%, and multiple Tesla Call orders have earned over 5 times; Apple is set to hit 4 trillion dollars, with trading in Call Options heating up.
Bitcoin ETF - IBIT rose over 6% overnight, with an Options Chain Volume of 0.19 million contracts, and Call options accounting for 76%; on the Options Chain, bulls are the market Block Orders, with the highest transaction volume for next year's expiry with a strike price of $55, totaling 8,600 contracts.
The inflation outlook is controversial, and there are three factions within the Federal Reserve.
Federal Reserve officials seem to have divided into three factions regarding the future interest rate outlook, with which one prevails depending on the degree of inflation slowdown next year.
Interest rate cuts for a hundred days, US Treasury bond "interest rate hikes of a hundred points"! The last time it was worse than this was in 1980...
With the USA stock and bond markets officially entering the Christmas holiday this Wednesday, the US bond market is actually experiencing the overlap of three "100s": ① 100 days of interest rate cuts, ② 100 points of interest rate cuts, and also...
Futu Morning Post | Christmas carnival begins! US stocks closed higher across the board, and Tesla surged more than 7%; OpenAI exploded to consider developing humanoid robots
Large Banks have filed a lawsuit against the Federal Reserve citing a lack of transparency in stress tests; Apple is seeking to defend itself against the billions of dollars paid to Google in the antitrust case regarding search.
U.S. stocks in the early market | The three major indexes rose, with the Nasdaq up nearly 1%, and Apple and Palantir hitting new highs; Bitcoin returned to $97,000, and the stocks related to Cryptos also rose, with MSTR up nearly 7%.
On the evening of the 24th Beijing time, the US stock market opened slightly higher. Today, the US stock market will close early, and the trading time this week is shortened due to the holiday, with relatively light trading expected during the Christmas period.
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares Declares Quarterly Distribution of $0.3020
US stock outlook | Is the "Christmas rally" for US stocks approaching? Several small-cap companies are surging in pre-market trading, while American Airlines experienced temporary flight cancellations due to technical issues.
News reports that Meta will launch screen-equipped smart glasses, with the earliest release in the second half of next year; Apple's new Global Strategy has been revealed, abandoning car manufacturing to shift to Smart Home.
Daily Options Tracking | AI chip stocks surged collectively yesterday! Multiple Call contracts for Broadcom earned over 3 times, Call ratio for NVIDIA skyrocketed to 72%, and AMD Options trading was vibrant, rising to 0.84 million contracts.
The "meme stock" cannabis giant Tilray Brands closed yesterday up 13.49%, with Options trading surging 4.6 times compared to the previous trading day to 0.34 million contracts, of which Call options accounted for 94.4%, and implied volatility soared to a high of 168%; the most active Call option with a strike price of $2 expiring on January 17, 2025, had a trading volume of over 0.046 million contracts, with an open interest of 0.096 million contracts.
Buckle up! Goldman Sachs: Market optimism is nearing its peak, Bullish on two defensive Sectors.
①Goldman Sachs advises investors to take more "defensive measures" as Wall Street's optimism about the USA economy and stock market approaches historical highs. ②Goldman Sachs' model is bullish on the performance of defensive stocks such as utilities and Medical Care.
Futu Daily News | The Federal Reserve FOMC voting committee has a new lineup in the new year! The policy stance is expected to further polarize between dovish and hawkish factions; with the Christmas holiday approaching, Hong Kong stocks open half a day t
The NASDAQ 100 Index has been rebalanced, with the weights of Tesla, Meta, and Broadcom decreasing; competition in wearable devices is intensifying! Meta plans to add a display to its smart glasses; the "Santa Claus rally" is late this year, Analysts say there will still be opportunities after the holidays.
Consumer confidence in the USA has dropped for the first time in three months, as concerns about Trump's tariff increases grow.
① In December, the Consumer Confidence Index in the USA fell to 104.7, below the expected value of 113.2, marking the first decline in three months; ② An increasing number of consumers are mentioning politics and tariffs, with 46% of respondents expecting tariffs to raise the cost of living, while 21% expect tariffs to create more jobs in the USA.
U.S. stock market in the morning | All three major Indexes turned to decline, with the Dow down 0.7%; some Growth Tech stocks rose, AMD surged over 4%, Broadcom increased nearly 4%, and Apple hit a new high during the session; the Cryptos Concept stocks c
On the evening of the 23rd in Peking time, US stocks opened mixed on Monday. The market is preparing for a shortened trading week due to holidays, and trading is expected to be relatively light this week.
US Stock Preview | The NASDAQ 100 component adjustments will take effect tonight! Three companies have been included; quantum computing stocks are crazy before the market! QBTS rose more than 20% in the premarket
Broadcom stirs up the AI Chip market again! Multiple major banks raise their Target Price; Robotaxi accelerates deployment, and Tesla rises 3% in pre-market trading.
2024 financial events summary! The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle has officially begun, with the U.S. stock market, Bitcoin, and Gold all reaching new highs, and NVIDIA's Market Cap even temporarily topping the Global rankings.
In 2024, with the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in four years, Global Assets flourish, with Japanese stocks, Gold, US stocks, Bitcoin, and others breaking historical highs one after another. Chinese Assets experienced an epic surge in October.
Annual Review | The 2024 US IPO list is released! The Closed-end Fund DXYZ, heavily invested in SpaceX, has surged nearly 650% this year, with strong performances from the nuclear energy company NNE and the social media newcomer Reddit.
According to the latest data from Dealogic and Nasdaq, as of November 2024, Nasdaq had completed a total of 160 IPO Trades, raising approximately 22 billion USD, while the New York Stock Exchange completed only 34 IPO Trades during the same period, raising nearly 17 billion USD. This data not only sets a new annual high for the past three years but also marks a strong recovery in the USA IPO market.
US Stock Gold Mining | AI applications are accelerating penetration! Palantir surged over 8% last Friday; positive news from new drug trials led Teva Pharmaceutical Industries to accumulate a rise of over 33% last week, and its stock price has doubled wit
Performance and guidance exceeded expectations, with multiple Analysts raising their Target Price! Darden Restaurants, the parent company of Olive Garden, rose over 2% on the previous Trading day, accumulating a gain of more than 12% last week. The Market Cap is firmly above 20 billion USD, and the stock price has reached a new high for the year!
Daily Options Tracking | NVIDIA continues to rebound before the market opens, with Call options rising bullishly to 140 dollars; are they aiming to create a new defense alliance? Last Friday, several Call options for Palantir doubled and profited signific
Broadcom Options volume exceeded 0.85 million contracts, doubling compared to the 30-day average, with Call options accounting for as much as 77%. From the perspective of Options trading volume, bullish sentiment remains quite strong. The call options expiring on January 17 next year, with a strike price of $150, are actively traded, with both volume and open interest exceeding 0.015 million contracts.
Miran was nominated by Trump as the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, supporting stronger control over the Federal Reserve and criticizing Yellen for manipulating U.S. debt.
Miran calls for comprehensive reform of the Federal Reserve to ensure greater political control over it. At the same time, he accuses Yellen of manipulating the USA government debt market, believing that the Biden administration has effectively implemented an 800 billion dollar quantitative easing.