US stock market outlook | October retail sales data exceeded expectations, the three major futures indexes declined; cryptos concept stocks rose in pre-market trading! MSTR increased by over 3%, Coinbase rose by more than 2%.
It is reported that the usa Federal Trade Commission plans to investigate anti-competitive behavior in microsoft's cloud computing business; the Biden administration promotes the localization of semiconductors, and taiwan semiconductor receives $6.6 billion in funding from the CHIPS Act; is it truly attractive with a guaranteed 4.5% return? The total assets of mmf in the usa have surpassed $7 trillion for the first time.
Wall Street tycoons warn: Powell cannot solve the problem of stagflation!
Prominent economist criticized Powell's political cowardice and stated that maintaining independence does not mean keeping silent.
Fundamental improvement + bullish Trump policies, american airlines stocks rebound strongly! united airlines most powerful tripled in three months
The ticket booking volume and number of passengers in the aviation industry in the USA and globally are steadily increasing, which will continue to drive a strong recovery in the aviation industry; After Trump took office at the White House, the regulatory environment for the aviation industry is expected to be more relaxed, airline alliances are expected to return, and mergers and acquisitions between them will also become easier.
Interest rate cut expectations "cooled off"? "Terrifying data" slightly exceeded expectations, traders reduced rate cut bets.
In October, retail sales in the usa exceeded expectations, and the recently strong performing usd briefly surged, while traders reduced bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut in 2025...
"Wall Street's top guy" denied! Trump: There is no seat left for Jamie Dimon in the new government.
Demon responded that he hasn't had a boss for 25 years and is not ready to join the government. The Trump team is narrowing the candidates for Treasury Secretary and is expected to make a decision as early as this week.
Express News | US October Retail Sales MoM +0.4% Vs +0.3% Forecast, Prior +0.8%
Traders, don't panic! The tariff issue will actually not impact the Federal Reserve.
Castle Securities believes that the Federal Reserve's policy is different from the short-term tariff effects and is more likely to overlook the impact of tariffs.
Morgan Stanley's Q3 holdings in U.S. stocks have been released: Microsoft firmly holds the top position among major holdings, while popular ai chip stocks like AMD have seen shareholding reductions.
According to the disclosure of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the USA, Wall Street financial giant JPMorgan has submitted the Form 13F of US stock holdings for the third quarter ending on September 30, 2024.
USD: Moderately Hawkish Remarks by Powell – ING
Trump's trade can't withstand it anymore! The market has suddenly changed direction, all because of this man. Gold has dropped significantly.
On Friday (November 15), European stock markets and usa futures fell, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, which dampened the optimism brought by Trump's trade.
Daily options tracking | Electric car companies are about to face a "storm?" Large options trades still bet on Tesla's rise; the audit turmoil continues! Super micro computer put trade surges.
Disney's performance exceeded expectations, with strong growth in its streaming business, surging over 6% overnight. Call options saw a rush in buying, accounting for 70% of the trading volume, with the 115-dollar strike price call options expiring today being the most traded, totaling over 0.0261 million contracts.
Market Analysis: Heavily betting on high-risk stocks, how long can the rebound last after the dissipation of election concerns?
Options traders in the USA are heavily betting on riskier stocks in the stock market, supporting the rebound expected as election concerns gradually fade and with expectations of Republican control over Washington next year.
US Stocks Have Already Returned a Third of Post-election Gains
Decision analysis: Market enthusiasm is dwindling! China's rare bullish signals are hard to save the situation, and the dollar remains strong as Powell shows his hawkish stance.
On Friday (November 15), the asia stock market seems to be ending the week's dismal performance with a more stable trend. At the same time, the dollar is approaching a one-year high, likely to welcome a huge weekly gain. The Federal Reserve chairman's hawkish shift pushed up short-term usa treasury yields, causing wall street and europe stock market futures to decline.
The top institutions have disclosed their Q3 US stock hold positions! They are still heavily invested in technology stocks, but some signs are emerging.
Recently, the 13F reports of institutional investors in the US stock market have been released one after another, becoming an important channel for outsiders to understand the investment trends on Wall Street.
With the election risks dissipated, investors are frantically scooping up risk assets! Is there now no obstacle to the rise of the U.S. stock market?
Options investors are flocking into the US stock market to bet heavily on higher-risk stocks, which has supported the rising trend of US stocks against the backdrop of fading concerns over the election and the expectation that the Republicans will securely hold power in Congress next year.
International Think Tank Warning: "Trump 2.0" will boost the US dollar, causing global market turmoil!
① Researchers at the Chatham House claim that Trump's policies could lead to a rise in the dollar, triggering chaos in global markets; ② The researcher warned that a rising dollar is bad news for the global economy, potentially suppressing global trade and increasing the difficulty of controlling inflation.
All predictions are wrong! The movement of 7 trillion US dollars has caused a significant drop in Wall Street.
Wall Street analysts have previously stated that all the factors, including the Fed's rate cut, resulting in the rise of stocks and bonds markets, are in place, which will prompt investors to withdraw cash on a large scale from money market funds.
The 'Trump trade' of the 2016 version completely reversed afterwards, what about this time?
After Trump's election victory, the US dollar, US stocks, and small cap stocks usually tend to strengthen. However, during Trump 1.0, from 2016 to 2020, the US dollar and small cap stocks performed poorly, failing to rise as expected, while the rise in US stocks was mostly attributable to the strength of technology stocks. Analysis suggests that the 'Trump trade' is not the same as 'Trump investment', it is more of a short-term market reaction rather than a long-term trend.
Be cautious! A new wave of inflation may be on the way.
Greenlight Capital's President David Einhorn expressed that the election results are good for avoiding the political stability issues he was worried about not long ago. However, in terms of the economy, he expects that Trump's second term policies will bring about higher inflation, thus leading to a bigger problem.