Trump's trade can't withstand it anymore! The market has suddenly changed direction, all because of this man. Gold has dropped significantly.
On Friday (November 15), European stock markets and usa futures fell, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, which dampened the optimism brought by Trump's trade.
Daily options tracking | Electric car companies are about to face a "storm?" Large options trades still bet on Tesla's rise; the audit turmoil continues! Super micro computer put trade surges.
Disney's performance exceeded expectations, with strong growth in its streaming business, surging over 6% overnight. Call options saw a rush in buying, accounting for 70% of the trading volume, with the 115-dollar strike price call options expiring today being the most traded, totaling over 0.0261 million contracts.
Market Analysis: Heavily betting on high-risk stocks, how long can the rebound last after the dissipation of election concerns?
Options traders in the USA are heavily betting on riskier stocks in the stock market, supporting the rebound expected as election concerns gradually fade and with expectations of Republican control over Washington next year.
US Stocks Have Already Returned a Third of Post-election Gains
Decision analysis: Market enthusiasm is dwindling! China's rare bullish signals are hard to save the situation, and the dollar remains strong as Powell shows his hawkish stance.
On Friday (November 15), the asia stock market seems to be ending the week's dismal performance with a more stable trend. At the same time, the dollar is approaching a one-year high, likely to welcome a huge weekly gain. The Federal Reserve chairman's hawkish shift pushed up short-term usa treasury yields, causing wall street and europe stock market futures to decline.
The top institutions have disclosed their Q3 US stock hold positions! They are still heavily invested in technology stocks, but some signs are emerging.
Recently, the 13F reports of institutional investors in the US stock market have been released one after another, becoming an important channel for outsiders to understand the investment trends on Wall Street.
With the election risks dissipated, investors are frantically scooping up risk assets! Is there now no obstacle to the rise of the U.S. stock market?
Options investors are flocking into the US stock market to bet heavily on higher-risk stocks, which has supported the rising trend of US stocks against the backdrop of fading concerns over the election and the expectation that the Republicans will securely hold power in Congress next year.
International Think Tank Warning: "Trump 2.0" will boost the US dollar, causing global market turmoil!
① Researchers at the Chatham House claim that Trump's policies could lead to a rise in the dollar, triggering chaos in global markets; ② The researcher warned that a rising dollar is bad news for the global economy, potentially suppressing global trade and increasing the difficulty of controlling inflation.
All predictions are wrong! The movement of 7 trillion US dollars has caused a significant drop in Wall Street.
Wall Street analysts have previously stated that all the factors, including the Fed's rate cut, resulting in the rise of stocks and bonds markets, are in place, which will prompt investors to withdraw cash on a large scale from money market funds.
The 'Trump trade' of the 2016 version completely reversed afterwards, what about this time?
After Trump's election victory, the US dollar, US stocks, and small cap stocks usually tend to strengthen. However, during Trump 1.0, from 2016 to 2020, the US dollar and small cap stocks performed poorly, failing to rise as expected, while the rise in US stocks was mostly attributable to the strength of technology stocks. Analysis suggests that the 'Trump trade' is not the same as 'Trump investment', it is more of a short-term market reaction rather than a long-term trend.
Be cautious! A new wave of inflation may be on the way.
Greenlight Capital's President David Einhorn expressed that the election results are good for avoiding the political stability issues he was worried about not long ago. However, in terms of the economy, he expects that Trump's second term policies will bring about higher inflation, thus leading to a bigger problem.
Is the feast of the US stock market coming to an end? US economists warn: the three major upward drivers are losing momentum.
The main driving force behind the continued rise in US stocks is nearing exhaustion, indicating that the future return on investment in US stocks will decrease significantly - this is the view of the well-known American economist David Rosenberg. Rosenberg pays special attention to factors such as recent valuations, interest rates, and room for tax cuts, believing that the 'momentum driving the rise in US stocks is almost gone.'
Trump's 'major announcement' alarms Wall Street! A chart shows the sharp decline in the US stock market: pharmaceutical stocks become 'disaster areas'.
Trump announced the nomination of Little Kennedy as the usa Secretary of Health, leading to a sudden crash in the US stock market, with the stock prices of vaccine manufacturers falling in response, as Little Kennedy is a well-known anti-vaccine advocate in the usa.
Top economists: The three major driving forces behind the bull market in U.S. stocks are running out.
American economist Rosenberg pointed out that since the most important bullish factors in the US stock market have reached extremes, there may be a period of limited returns in the future.
J.P. Morgan strategists: The year 2025 is full of uncertainties, and the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate cuts!
①jpmorgan market strategist Karen Ward expects the Federal Reserve to pause after the rate cut in December to assess the impact of Trump's policies on the economy. ②Federal Reserve Chairman Powell also stated in his latest speech that the US economy is strong, no need for immediate rate cuts, and will carefully monitor inflation indicators.
Blackrock launches large-cap stock etf in the usa, betting that large companies will continue to dominate the market.
Blackrock has launched an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that invests in the top 20 large companies in the usa.
Powell's hawkish speech severely undermines interest rate cut expectations, and the global market is facing a "new storm"!
① In his latest speech, Powell stated that with a strong economy, the Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to cut interest rates; ② This hawkish statement quickly stirred up a storm in the global markets.
The heat of the 'Trump trade' is still on, but how long can it last?
Stocks, bonds, and other assets are already expensive relative to historical levels. Trump's trade protectionism policy may lead to a resurgence of inflation and force the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at high levels for a longer period of time. In addition, the US economy is facing continuously expanding fiscal deficits and a labor market that is already showing signs of fatigue, which could put pressure on the economic growth outlook.
"Trump trade" remains popular, but how much longer can it last.
Stocks, bonds, and other assets are already expensive relative to historical levels. Trump's trade protectionism policy may lead to a resurgence of inflation and force the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at high levels for a longer period of time. In addition, the US economy is facing continuously expanding fiscal deficits and a labor market that is already showing signs of fatigue, which could put pressure on the economic growth outlook.
Futu Morning Post | Powell 'hawkish': Strong economic performance, no rush to cut interest rates; Buffett's new warehouse received, Domino's surged more than 18% after-hours, Pool rose over 6%
Blackrock bought heavily into Apple in Q3, continuing to increase shareholding in the 'Big Seven'; 'Smart Money' betting on the trend of China: Q3 prototype of 'The Big Short' increased shareholding in Alibaba and other Chinese concept stocks; Disney rose more than 6%, fourth quarter performance exceeded expectations with a $3 billion share buyback plan.