How long will it take for US inflation to return to 2%? Economist at the Cleveland Fed: if the economy does not decline, it will take another 3 years.
If the improvement of the supply chain no longer drives the decline in inflation, then the only thing that can bring downward pressure is economic recession. And if there is no recession, then more patience is needed, and it will take some time for inflation to return to 2%.
US stock market early session | The three major indexes are mixed, with Rivian surging more than 31% and fedex rising more than 12%.
Growth tech stocks have mixed performance, with Tesla up nearly 3%, Broadcom up nearly 2%, nvidia slightly up; some popular China concept stocks are down, with Bilibili falling by more than 2%.
Express News | The three major stock indexes of the US opened lower, with the Dow down 0.20%, the Nasdaq down 0.12%, and the S&P 500 index down 0.21%. Rivian rose more than 36%, announcing a joint venture with Volkswagen to develop the "next generation" of electric auto
Express News | The three major indexes of the US stock market opened slightly lower, with Rivian rising over 30%.
BNP Paribas: US stocks face a "key turning point"! Are there opportunities outside of the technology industry?
The analyst from Industrial Bank of France said that if a bubble is formed, the S&P 500 index will reach 6666 points.
Deutsche Bank warns: Before the financial report season, US stocks may experience short-term pullback again.
A strategist at Deutsche Bank stated that by the end of next week, nearly half of the constituents of the S&P 500 index will enter a blackout period.
US Stock Market Outlook: Goldman Sachs predicts that the S&P 500 index will hit a new high in July; Nvidia shareholder meeting and Micron quarterly report are both coming, rising over 2% before the market opens.
BNP Paribas: with the Fed rate cut approaching, the S&P 500 index will maintain a "buy on dips" pattern; Rivian soaring nearly 42% pre-market, announced a joint venture with Volkswagen to develop the next generation of electric autos and software; FedEx surging over 14% pre-market, annual profit guidance exceeding expectations.
Will Trump's "Return" Harm the Economy? Scholars: Biden's Reelection May Have a Greater Impact on the Market.
However, economic historian Adam Tooze believes that even if the current President of the United States, Biden, is successfully re-elected, the severe partisan division in the United States may still bring uncertainty to the market, as Republicans may become even more confrontational in Biden's second term.
Worse than in 2000 and 2008! Strategist: U.S. stocks may experience a "waist-cut" style crash.
The strategist believed that the rise of the US stock market was not supported by fundamental factors and that economic risks were everywhere.
Goldman Sachs predicts that in July, the S&P 500 index will set a new high!
Goldman Sachs pointed out that the first two weeks of July were the best two weeks of trading since 1928.
Don't be afraid of high prices, for memory stocks, new highs are better than lows, according to Daiwa.
Buying when memory stocks reach new highs is more likely to be profitable than buying when stock prices hit new lows. As long as there are people in the market who question the stock price, it means that the stock still has potential for growth, but the ultimate determinant is the company's earnings ability, not the valuation.
Daily Option Tracking | Nvidia rose more than 2% in pre-market trading, multiple call options doubled and increased significantly; Carnival Cruise Line rose nearly 9% after the earnings report, options trading surged.
Tesla's overnight options trading volume was 1.3 million contracts, and the call-to-put ratio decreased to 61%. Multiple call orders were active on the options chain, among which the call with the expiration date on Friday and the exercise price of $190 had the highest trading volume, reaching 122,000 contracts, with an open interest of 35,000 contracts.
Express News | CSRC: Continue to maintain smooth overseas listing channels.
Big Short of Morgan Stanley warns again: US stocks may still fall by 10%!
Morgan Stanley's Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson said that the evolution of the US labor market will determine the success or failure of US stocks, and any sudden weakness in the former could trigger a meaningful adjustment in US stocks.
Will the Fed cut interest rates by 300 basis points in the next nine months? Read this article to understand what extreme traders are betting on.
Some traders in the US interest rate options market are currently making a aggressive bet on the Fed's rate-cutting path; A bold gamble that the Fed will cut interest rates by as much as 300 basis points in the next nine months!
Futu Morning News | Nvidia returns to the $3 trillion club! Receives support from famous investors; rate cut in sight? Fed Governor Lael Brainard: inflation control is now in sight
BNP Paribas: With the approaching of the Fed's interest rate cut, the S&P 500 index will maintain a "buy on dips" mode; Rivian receives a $500 million investment from Volkswagen in Germany, and the stock price soars more than 50% after hours; Novo Nordisk's semaglutide for obesity treatment has been approved in China, and the stock price hits a new record high again.
As the financial reporting season approaches, Deutsche Bank warns that the "silent period" may lead to a short-term pullback in the US stock market.
Deutsche Bank strategists warned this week that as earnings season approaches, share buybacks entering a 'quiet period' may lead to a short-term pullback in the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite index after setting new record highs.
To hedge against economic recession risks, the options market predicts that the Federal Reserve will significantly cut interest rates by 300 basis points within a year.
Unless the economy of the USA suddenly enters into a recession, this result seems unlikely to occur.
Possible rate cuts? Federal Reserve Board member Cook: Inflation control has seen the dawn.
Cook believes that as major progress is made on the inflation issue and the labor market cools off, it is appropriate to reduce policy restrictions at some point to maintain a healthy balance in the economy. Next year, inflation will further slow down: housing service inflation will decline; core commodity inflation will remain slightly negative; core service inflation will slow down over time.
A "big eagle" has taken off! A member of the Federal Reserve said that interest rates will not be lowered this year, while another is concerned about rising inflation expectations.
Baumann stated on Tuesday at a policy exchange think tank event in London that it is expected that there will be no interest rate cuts before the end of this year.