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ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 ETF Newsroom
The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes suggest a pause in interest rate cuts, with "almost all" policymakers believing that Trump's policies may drive up inflation.
The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": The minutes suggest that Fed officials will temporarily keep interest rates unchanged, partly due to Trump's intention to impose tariffs, and they anticipate the risk of inflation being higher than expected.
Quantum computing, Nuclear Power, Cryptos, cannabis! Retail investors' "beloved" in the USA all fell last night.
① Although the three major stock indices in the USA fluctuated on Wednesday, the S&P 500 Index, which performed the worst, only fell by 0.16%—a performance that cannot be considered terrible. ② However, for many American retail investors who enjoy the thrill of speculating on meme Stocks, this Wednesday seems to have been a disastrous day: because many of their favorite investment symbols experienced a remarkable collapse.
The Global bond market is experiencing a frantic sell-off, with US Treasury yields quickly approaching 5%.
The 20-year US Treasury yield has already broken through 5%, while the UK 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield has also risen to 4.82%, reaching a new high since 2008. Inflation worries have prompted traders to lower their expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England this year, and at the same time, the market is weighing the impact of President Trump's policies.
The last time the US bonds dropped like this, the US stock market also crashed.
Recently, the rise of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is similar to the situation in 2022 and 2023, when the stock market experienced a substantial decline. Goldman Sachs stated that although the U.S. stock market is relatively stable now, the correlation between stock and bond yields has turned negative. If economic data falls short of expectations, the risk of a market correction in the short term may increase.
Futu Daily Report | Will the Federal Reserve pause interest rate cuts? Meeting minutes show officials are eager to slow down the pace of rate cuts; U.S. stocks are closed today in mourning for the death of former President Carter's.
The Trump team is reportedly considering declaring a national economic emergency to implement high and widespread tariffs; Bearish surprise! A single remark from NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang triggered a collective drop in USA quantum computing stocks.
U.S. stock market closing | Jensen Huang caused a collapse in quantum computing stocks, QUBT fell over 43%; China Concept Stocks fell, Xiaopeng Autos dropped over 5%.
① The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.67%, with most China Concept Stocks declining; ② Wildfires ravaged California, and Electrical Utilities provider Edison International fell by 10%; ③ Jensen Huang stated that a "very useful" quantum computer may take several decades to arrive; ④ Intel: will continue to focus on the independent graphics card market.
Top 20 Transaction Amount | Quantum Computing concept stocks have significantly pulled back, with IONQ dropping 39%, RGTI falling over 45%, and Jensen Huang stating that commercialization will require at least another 15 years.
On Wednesday, the stock with the highest trading volume in the US market was NVIDIA, which closed down 0.02%, with a trading volume of 31.802 billion USD. The second was Tesla, which closed up 0.15%, with a trading volume of 28.804 billion USD. The third was Apple, which closed up 0.20%, with a trading volume of 9.105 billion USD.
The Trump team is moving to restructure the leadership of the Federal Reserve, with Bowman likely being promoted to Vice Chair for Financial Regulation, and adjustments made to the list of Powell's successors.
According to media reports citing informed sources, Waller, who became a member of the Federal Reserve Board during Trump's first presidential term, has seen his "advantage" for becoming the chairman of the Federal Reserve significantly decline, as Trump is unhappy with his support for a substantial rate cut last September. Trump's advisory team will closely monitor the current Federal Reserve officials' statements on interest rates to assess who is suitable to take on the role of the next central bank leader.
Oak Tree Capital's Marks: New things are prone to bubbles, currently private equity buying S&P 500, with a 10-year yield of only ±2%.
Max recently released a memorandum titled "Revisiting the Bubble," stating that investors are currently betting on the leading high-tech companies to maintain their dominance. However, he believes that it is not easy to stay ahead, as new technologies and competitors can surpass existing market leaders at any time. When people assume that "things can only get better" and Buy based on that, the impact of negative news can be particularly severe. He specifically pointed out the frenzy over AI and how this positive sentiment may spread to other Technology sectors.
Howard Marks on Bubble Watch: Stock Valuations High but Not Nutty
Fed's "hot" committee member Waller: Inflation is declining, supporting further interest rate cuts.
On Wednesday, Fed "super voter" and long-time FOMC voting member, Fed Governor Waller stated that he believes inflation will continue moving towards the central...
U.S. stock market early session | All three major Indexes fell, most Growth Tech stocks weakened, NVIDIA and Microsoft rose nearly 1% against the trend, while AMD dropped over 4%.
On the evening of the 8th in Peking time, US stocks opened lower on Wednesday. Concerns regarding the interest rate cut path led to a decline in US stocks yesterday, and the market is focusing on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting minutes in December. The December ADP private employment data in the USA was below market expectations. The President-elect Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to promote new tariff policies.
US Stock Outlook | "ADP Employment Report" falls short of expectations! The three major futures indices show slight gains; boosted by AMD's bullish investment, AI startup ABSI rises over 40% in pre-market trading.
According to informed sources, Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to launch a new tariff plan; Federal Reserve Governor Waller: supports further interest rate cuts this year; Federal Reserve's Bostic: inflation will gradually decline, policymakers should remain cautious in their decision-making.
The overseas market will not stop for the Spring Festival! Looking back at the performance of Hong Kong and U.S. stocks during the Spring Festival in the past, will the New Year market see an explosive growth?
According to the News organized by Futu, since 2018, the average probability of an increase in Hong Kong stocks during the New Year period is as high as 80%, while U.S. stocks and Chinese concept stocks have a 70% increase probability.
U.S. Stock Market Gold Rush | Riding the NVIDIA Wave! Autonomous driving company AUR's stock price surged nearly 30% overnight; concerns over gas shortages arise again in Europe, with several Oil & Gas stocks reaching new highs for the year.
The Bird Flu virus is rampant, and the USA reports the first death case! Vaccine manufacturer Moderna surged by 11% upon hearing the news; bullish factors are stacking up! Xiaopeng Autos rose over 9% overnight, and the stock price has increased for three consecutive days.
Daily Options Tracking | NVIDIA fell 6% after the CES press conference! A large investor bought Call options worth 12.62 million dollars, bullish against the trend; trading volume of options on China Large Cap stock ETFs surged, with a concentration of op
Bitcoin has fallen to $97,000, with "whale" MSTR dropping nearly 10%, and several Put Options with strike prices around $340 have more than doubled overnight this Friday.
Nomura's Global Macro Research Director: The Federal Reserve will only cut interest rates once in 2025, and it is even possible that there may be a rate increase?
Is the interest rate cut no longer happening.
Hedge Funds Start Cautiously in 2025: Stock Market Sell-off Accelerates, Cash Becomes the New Favorite.
Despite the strong performance of the stock market in 2024, Wall Street's smart money has quietly shifted towards defense.
Howard Marks: Is there a bubble in the U.S. stock market now?
Max believes that the U.S. stock market may have some bubbles, but it is not out of control. The expected PE for the S&P 500 Index is 23.6 times, and compared to valuation parameters, a more effective way to determine bubbles is through psychological diagnosis. Currently, there is no talk from people saying 'there are no prices that are unreachable,' which is a clear indicator of irrational thinking and a sign of bubbles.
With U.S. Treasury yields rising like this, should concern be raised for the U.S. stock market?
According to Morgan Stanley's analysis, as the yield on 10-year U.S. treasury bonds rises above 4.5%, it has created pressure on U.S. stock valuations. The correlation between the S&P 500 Index and U.S. treasury yields has turned into a "significant negative correlation." Considering the poor market breadth, the downward pressure on the dollar, and the Federal Reserve's hawkish policy outlook, U.S. stocks may face severe challenges in the next six months.