Fed rate cut storm: Market cheers vs. hidden economic concerns
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time in four years, marking a major turning point for the global financial markets.
Daily options tracking | Bullish signals everywhere! Intel's multiple call options have doubled in premium and surged; Gold ETF trading is hot, with the call-to-put ratio climbing to 63%.
Tesla's trading volume yesterday surged 30% compared to the previous trading day, reaching 1.22 million shares. The call option chain skyrocketed to 65%. Among the options chain, the long positions occupy the main position, with the largest volume being the call option with a strike price of $235 expiring this Friday, with a volume of 0.1 million shares.
Tonight, the world is paying close attention! The "giant ship" of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will officially set sail.
①For the global financial markets, tonight is destined to be a sleepless night... ②As scheduled, the Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce the September interest rate decision at 2:00 AM Beijing time on Thursday; ③It is generally expected in the industry that the Federal Reserve will announce the first rate cut in 4 years at this meeting, with little suspense, but at the same time, this is also the most 'mysterious' or uncertain Federal Reserve interest rate night in recent years.
What are the risks to the market if interest rates are cut by 50 basis points?
Goldman Sachs pointed out that the current market pricing is aggressive, with the risk of expectations falling short, which may have a negative impact on market sentiment and asset prices. The pace of future interest rate cuts may also be slower than market expectations. The market will focus on the released "dot plot" for more specific guidance from the Federal Reserve on future interest rate cuts and scope.
Decision Analysis: Is the market turning point coming? The Fed's impact may affect the global, and both the US dollar and gold are under pressure.
On Wednesday (September 18th), the US dollar gave back some of its overnight gains, while Asian stock markets faced challenges as traders weighed the possibility of a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
After Past Fed Rate Changes, How Have Stocks Moved? -- WSJ