CEO is bullish, but Wall Street is bearish? There is a significant difference in profit expectations for this financial report season in the US stock market.
Analysts predict that s&p 500 component companies will see a 4.2% year-on-year growth in profits in the third quarter, while these companies' own guidance predicts a 16% growth, indicating that corporate performance is likely to exceed Wall Street expectations.
The significant risks in November are undergoing crucial changes.
Less than a month away from the usa presidential election day on November 5th, the market is starting to price in the risks of the election results. Currently, Trump has regained a leading advantage, adding variables to the election. CICC believes that for subsequent assets, the overall bullishness of the election is favorable for US stocks but tariffs are unfavorable for chinese assets; the US dollar is relatively strong, gold is neutral, interest rates are rising; bulk commodities may benefit from expectations of Trump's stimulus.
Options Outlook | Technology stocks' earnings season is about to begin! Are the options values of Tesla and Netflix still underestimated? The probability of a post-earnings rise in Bank of America is as high as 80%! Calls are becoming active one after ano
From the skewness of options implied volatility, the current market tends to be bullish on tesla. Last Friday, there was a bullish buy order to buy 10 October 18th expiration call options with a strike price of $225 for opening positions; another two options buyers simultaneously purchased 10 October 25th expiration put options with a strike price of $260 and 17 January next year expiration put options with a strike price of $255 to hedge against further decline in Tesla.
nvidia reaching a new high is a sign! Since the Fed cut interest rates in September, the logic of the US stock market has changed again.
Is this rebound the beginning of technology stocks regaining dominance in the US stock market, or is it a short-term rebound in the ongoing rotation of US stocks? The market is closely watching the current US earnings season.
As the usa election approaches, the "bottom fishing time for small cap stocks may have matured"!
Analysts point out that in the past 11 USA presidential election years, in 4 years, the small cap index rose 6.5% or more in the 13 days following the election.
Will the bull market in the US stock market enter its third year and inevitably encounter a crash?
In the 11 historical experiences, without exception, there has been at least one decline of 5% or more, some of which have even evolved into a new bear market.
Institutions: Four scenarios and trading opportunities for the US presidential election.
With only 3 weeks left until the usa presidential election on November 5th, the situation has once again reversed. Previously strong momentum of Harris has been surpassed by Trump, not only reversing the odds in gambling, but also falling behind in 6 out of 7 key swing states, further adding uncertainties.
Bull market in the US stock market reaches its two-year anniversary: poised to achieve the best performance in 26 years, how much further can it go in the future?
According to Cailian, two years ago, after the Federal Reserve ended the aggressive rate hikes of 75 basis points, US stocks completed the correction and began a new round of uptrend.
Without exception for the 11th time! Will the third year of the bull market in US stocks inevitably encounter a round of 'stormy weather'?
Since 1947, all 11 bull markets of the s&p 500 index have experienced at least one pullback of 5% or more within the following 12 months after celebrating their second "birthday"; Sometimes, it may even evolve directly into a new bear market.
The overseas market this week focuses on three main themes.
This week, Wall Street will focus on the US retail sales data. In addition, the European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision, financial stocks Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America will release financial reports, and after-market on October 17, market attention will shift to Netflix's financial report.
The bull market in the US stock market is entering its third year. What will happen next?
The usa stock market started the third year of the bull market off to a good start, with the s&p 500 index hitting a new historical record on Monday.
Is a 50 basis point rate cut in November out of the question? Federal Reserve Governor Wall: Future rate cuts need to be "more cautious"!
①Federal Reserve Governor Powell said on Monday that the future rate cut will be less than the significant rate cut in September; ② he pointed out that the economic slowdown may not be as significant as expected.
Futu Morning Post | Federal Reserve Governor Wall: If inflation unexpectedly rises, rate cuts may be paused; Taiwan Semiconductor hits a record high in market cap during trading hours, reaching 1 trillion US dollars.
Volatility surged before the USA election, with companies intensifying their efforts to hedge forex risks; cryptos concept stocks collectively rose, Harris pledged to support the regulatory framework for digital currency.
This earnings season, the U.S. stock market "polaris" is more worth paying attention to than the "seven giants".
Source: Barron's Chinese Author: Paul R. La Monica Looking for undervalued stocks with strong fundamentals and long-term investment value outside of large technology stocks. Over the past month, investors have been closely monitoring the Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, US job market data, Chinese economic stimulus measures, oil prices, and other macroeconomic news. Now it's time to return to the basics. This week, corporate earnings will be the focus of investors. $UnitedHealth(UNH.US)$, $Johnson & Johnson(JNJ.US)$, $Bank of America(BAC.US)$, $Goldman Sachs(GS.US)$, $ASML(
"US Stocks" Dow rose 201 points or 0.5%, hitting a record high along with the s&p 500 index.
U.S. stocks rose, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices hitting new highs in the stock market. Investors took advantage of buying technology stocks ahead of corporate quarterly results and economic data releases, causing the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index to rise 1.8% to its highest level in over two months. However, the bond market was closed, with a total trading volume of only 9.55 billion shares, below the 20-day average of 12.05 billion shares. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 201.36 points or 0.5%, closing at 43,065.22 points. The S&P 500 index rose 44.82 points or 0.8%, closing at 5,859.85 points. The Nasdaq index rose 159.75 points or 0.9%, closing at 18,502.6 points.
The Fed's important statement! Future rate cuts will require "more caution" and may continue to cut rates moderately.
One of the most influential officials of the Federal Reserve, Director Christopher Waller, stated in a recent speech that the Fed's future rate cuts will need to be "more cautious." Waller hinted that the size of future rate cuts will be smaller than the significant cut in September. This statement further increases the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in November. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also stated in a recent speech that, given the imminent achievement of the 2% inflation target, the Fed may further moderately cut rates in the coming quarters.
US Stock Futures Steady After Wall St Logs Record Highs; Earnings Awaited
Top 20 turnover | Taiwan Semiconductor rose nearly 1%, reaching a new high in stock price; Chinese concept stocks declined, with pdd holdings falling over 6% and Alibaba falling over 2%.
Nvidia ranked first in trading volume on Monday in the US stock market, up 2.43%, reaching a new high stock price, with a trading volume of $32.097 billion; Coinbase, ranked ninth, rose by 11.32%, with a trading volume of $3.463 billion; Taiwan Semiconductor, ranked fifteenth, rose by 0.73%, reaching a new high stock price, with a market cap surpassing the $1 trillion mark at one point during the trading day.
US stocks closed | Nvidia hits a historic high, supporting US stocks, S&P and Dow hit new highs; Chinese concept stocks index fell by more than 2%, Xiaopeng dropped nearly 10%
US stocks all rose and closed near the daily highs, with the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 large caps hitting consecutive record closing highs for two days. Investors are buying technology stocks and chip stocks, driving the Nasdaq to the highest increase of over 1.1%, leading the gains, with Nvidia closing up 2.43% to a record high close.
Hong Kong stock market morning report on October 15: US-listed china concept stocks generally fell, Huang Tianyou appointed as the Chairman of the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission.
1. Federal Reserve Board member Waller stated that interest rates may be cut earlier if inflation falls below 2%. 2. OPEC has lowered its oil demand growth forecast for the third consecutive month, leading to a more than 2% decline in international crude oil futures prices. 3. The newly appointed Chairman of the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, Huang Tianyou, stated that he will foster a sustainable and active capital market. 4. The three major U.S. stock indexes all closed higher, while china concept stocks in the popular sector generally declined.