CEO is bullish, but Wall Street is bearish? There is a significant difference in profit expectations for this financial report season in the US stock market.
Analysts predict that s&p 500 component companies will see a 4.2% year-on-year growth in profits in the third quarter, while these companies' own guidance predicts a 16% growth, indicating that corporate performance is likely to exceed Wall Street expectations.
The significant risks in November are undergoing crucial changes.
Less than a month away from the usa presidential election day on November 5th, the market is starting to price in the risks of the election results. Currently, Trump has regained a leading advantage, adding variables to the election. CICC believes that for subsequent assets, the overall bullishness of the election is favorable for US stocks but tariffs are unfavorable for chinese assets; the US dollar is relatively strong, gold is neutral, interest rates are rising; bulk commodities may benefit from expectations of Trump's stimulus.
Options Outlook | Technology stocks' earnings season is about to begin! Are the options values of Tesla and Netflix still underestimated? The probability of a post-earnings rise in Bank of America is as high as 80%! Calls are becoming active one after ano
From the skewness of options implied volatility, the current market tends to be bullish on tesla. Last Friday, there was a bullish buy order to buy 10 October 18th expiration call options with a strike price of $225 for opening positions; another two options buyers simultaneously purchased 10 October 25th expiration put options with a strike price of $260 and 17 January next year expiration put options with a strike price of $255 to hedge against further decline in Tesla.
nvidia reaching a new high is a sign! Since the Fed cut interest rates in September, the logic of the US stock market has changed again.
Is this rebound the beginning of technology stocks regaining dominance in the US stock market, or is it a short-term rebound in the ongoing rotation of US stocks? The market is closely watching the current US earnings season.
As the usa election approaches, the "bottom fishing time for small cap stocks may have matured"!
Analysts point out that in the past 11 USA presidential election years, in 4 years, the small cap index rose 6.5% or more in the 13 days following the election.
Will the bull market in the US stock market enter its third year and inevitably encounter a crash?
In the 11 historical experiences, without exception, there has been at least one decline of 5% or more, some of which have even evolved into a new bear market.