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S&P 500 Index Newsroom
A sneak peek at the four key points of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes.
On Wednesday, November 27th, Peking time, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the November mmf policy meeting, with market attention focused on inflation data, policy stance, economic outlook, and other contents in the minutes.
From supporting Mans to stopping Pompeo, what makes this time more impactful is Trump's eldest son: Donald Trump Jr.!
Now, Little Donald has more influence than Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
Before Thanksgiving, the usa market will face two major tests: key inflation indicators and the Federal Reserve's November minutes.
① With Thanksgiving approaching, this week the american financial market is set to have a short trade week: the US stock market and US bonds will be closed all day on Thursday; on Friday, they will close early. ② However, from the news perspective, this short trade week may still not be calm: the minutes from the Federal Reserve's November meeting and the Federal Reserve's most favored inflation indicator, the PCE price index, will be released on local time on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Interpretation of the new usa Treasury Secretary Besant: Supports the shadow Federal Reserve Chair, which may lead to a weak dollar...
Trump's choice for Secretary of the Treasury is highly anticipated for his stance on the Federal Reserve, tariffs, the US dollar policy, and other aspects.
Futu Morning News | Official announcement! Trump nominates Benset to serve as usa Secretary of the Treasury; Goldman Sachs is bullish on US stocks: the s&p 500 will rise to 7000 points.
Goldman Sachs 2025 csi commodity equity index outlook: Long gold is the "Top Trade", oil & gas prices may see a "temporary uptrend"; USA PMI in November hit the fastest level since April 2022, factories increase purchases of imported inputs; USA election settled, consumer confidence lower than expected, long-term inflation expectations breaking through the range top.
Stocks Poised to Extend Gains -- Barrons.com
The usa's October PCE is expected to show inflation stickiness, which may strengthen the federal reserve's strategy to slow down easing.
This inflation data favored by the Federal Reserve is believed to show persistent price pressures and will reinforce the Fed's cautious attitude toward future interest rate cuts.
Express News | The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 52.7%.
Will Inflation Stick Around? What Oil, Gold and Stocks Are Signaling About Rising Prices.
One week outlook | Fed meeting minutes with October PCE coming! Dell, Meituan performance successively revealed.
On November 28, the US stock market was closed for Thanksgiving, and on November 29, it closed three hours early; China's official manufacturing PMI for November will be announced on Saturday.
The 'open struggle and covert maneuvering' of the new US Treasury Secretary: Trump wants loyalty and tariffs, but also wants the US stock market to not fall.
The reason Trump is so cautious in choosing his Treasury Secretary is that he is fully aware that he cannot make mistakes. Since he advocated for populist economic policies during his campaign (such as significantly raising tariffs), he needs to find a suitable Secretary of the Treasury.
Federal Reserve: The market crash in August was due to "high-leverage hedge funds rapidly selling off to meet internal volatility requirements."
As of the first quarter of 2024, the average leverage ratio of hedge funds has reached or approached the highest level since 2013. High leverage combined with insufficient market liquidity has amplified market shocks, resulting in severe stock market volatility.
Trump reportedly plans to form an investigative team to search for evidence of election fraud in the usa in 2020.
Trump lost to the current usa president Biden in the 2020 election, but he has consistently refused to acknowledge this result. Trump claims that the 2020 election was "a fraudulent, manipulated, and stolen election."
A Wall Street Analyst Who Correctly Predicted the Stock Market Collapse in 2022 Has a New Price Target for the S&P 500 Index -- and It May Surprise You
The Federal Reserve's relief plan during the pandemic is now becoming a burden for companies, with a wave of loan defaults beginning to appear.
According to media reports, although most of the total loan amount of $17.5 billion for the 'Ordinary Business Loan Program' has been repaid, as of October 31 of this year, there are still $1.23 billion in interest and principal in default. The government regulatory agency responsible for overseeing the program expects that borrowing enterprises still face two major challenges, including a massive one-time repayment of up to 70% due next year and high interest rates, leading to a significant increase in the default rate.
Beware of the debt storm! The number one financial stability risk in the Federal Reserve survey is now "it"...
The semi-annual financial stability report released by the Federal Reserve on that day showed that concerns about the sustainability of US fiscal debt topped the list in this survey, followed by escalating tensions in the Middle East and policy uncertainty. This survey was conducted by New York Fed staff between the end of August and the end of October, with respondents including professionals from brokerage firms, funds, consulting companies, institutions, and academia.
The core logic behind the rise of the US stock market: the market bets that Trump will not allow the stock market to fall!
The U.S. stock market expects that after Trump takes office, he will introduce a series of bullish policies, including significant reductions in corporate tax rates and relaxing financial regulations, which further strengthens the market influence of the "Trump put options."
The Federal Reserve: The sustainability of usa debt has risen to the number one financial stability risk, inflation threats are declining, on par with the trade war.
According to the Federal Reserve's Financial Stability Report, the survey found that more than half of the financial professionals interviewed believe that the sustainability of government debt is a prominent financial stability risk in the next 12 to 18 months, an increase of 14 percentage points compared to the last survey. The percentage of those who believe persistent inflation is a significant risk has halved to 33%. Respondents in this survey also specifically mentioned global trade risks, which did not make it onto the important risk list in the last report. Update.
Welcoming the strongest seasonal increase of the year! Goldman Sachs capital flow experts: I ordered a "S&P 7000 points" hat.
Goldman Sachs expert Rubner stated that in the U.S. election years since 1928, the rebound of the U.S. stock market typically lasts until early January of the following year and then fades before the presidential inauguration day.
The Federal Reserve will start a framework review next year, focusing not on the 2% inflation target; Powell welcomes new perspectives and critical feedback.
The two main focuses of this review are: the "long-term goals and mmf global strategy statement" as well as the policy communication tools, excluding 2% as a long-term inflation target, which may cause dissatisfaction among academia and analysts. Internal discussions among officials will begin at the FOMC meeting in January next year, and a seminar will be held in mid-May inviting external speakers. The 2020 review established a decision to allow inflation to "overshoot" for a period of time.