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Will there be a rate cut in December? The Federal Reserve's voting members this year have been "playing Tai Chi": regardless of whether they lower rates or not, interest rates should continue to decline.
This year, as with other Federal Reserve officials who spoke on Monday, Fed Chair Daly expected future rate cuts to continue, but did not commit to taking further action this month, stating that inflation continues to trend down towards the 2% target, and even with another rate cut, monetary policy would remain restrictive.
Wall Street's optimism is heating up again! wells fargo & co: S&P 500 is expected to target 7007 points next year.
Wells Fargo & co stocks strategist Harvey expects the S&P 500 to rise to 7007 points by the end of 2025, which is the highest target among Wall Street strategists.
Looking back at 2024: Why did the rising trend of US stocks shock Wall Street?
①The US stock market has shown strong performance this year, with the s&p 500 index rising by about 27% year-to-date, expected to achieve the best performance in many years, far exceeding Wall Street's expectations at the beginning of the year. ②So, what are the factors that the US stock market relies on to achieve such a strong increase?
Will the Federal Reserve lower rates in December? This week's non-farm data is crucial.
Citi stated that Friday's non-farm payroll report will be crucial for the Federal Reserve's recent policies and future direction. If employment data is strong and inflation strengthens in November, the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes at the December FOMC meeting; conversely, there is a possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut. Citi analyst Andrew Hollenhorst mentioned in a report on December 2 that, according to Powell's latest views, the usa labor market has not stabilized and is still softening. This indicates that the current policy rate is restrictive and the labor market will not be a source of inflationary pressure. This is in contrast to the current market sentiment.
Vanguard warns: The AI boom on Wall Street is facing a pullback.
Vanguard economist Joe Davis stated that the market has overestimated the short-term potential of AI technology, with current valuation levels approaching those of 1997, increasing the risk of a stock price "pullback". It is difficult to determine the timing of the pullback, and it is unknown whether it will start in 2025.
Futu Morning Post | South Korea's president announced 'emergency martial law' late at night, stirring up the market; high-performance stocks collectively celebrate after hours! Marvell Technology, salesforce surged more than 10%.
Will the interest rate be cut in December? The Fed's voting members this year are "doing Tai Chi": regardless of cutting or not, interest rates should continue to decline; Nasdaq and S&P hit new highs again! Apple has risen for seven consecutive days to create a new historical high; Palantir rose nearly 7% to create a new historical high again, with the company's cloud computing service receiving a "highly authorized" certification.
Trading volume TOP 20 | Apple rises over 1% again, stock price continues to hit a historical high; palantir rises nearly 7%, the company's cloud computing service receives 'high authorization' certification
On Tuesday, the top trading volume of US stocks was nvidia, up 1.18%, with a turnover of $22.843 billion. The second was Tesla, down 1.59%, with a turnover of $20.39 billion. The third was apple, up 1.28%, hitting a new historical high in stock price, with a turnover of $9.384 billion.
U.S. stock market close | The Nasdaq and S&P hit new highs! Apple has risen for seven consecutive days, reaching a historic high, while palantir soared nearly 7% to refresh its historical high.
Citigroup strategists point out that as the s&p 500 index repeatedly hits new highs, bearish investors are surrendering. Investors are overwhelmingly long in s&p 500 index futures positions, with a decrease in bearish sentiment.
The Nasdaq index reached a new high, French stocks rose, the south korea etf narrowed after a 7% drop, and the offshore yuan briefly fell below 7.31 yuan.
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol abruptly declared a state of emergency, boosting safe-haven assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds, Japanese yen, and gold, while cryptos on the South Korean exchange plunged. The South Korean parliament quickly passed a resolution to lift the state of emergency, with the Ministry of Finance and the central bank actively working on market rescue measures. After a 2.7% drop to a two-year low, the won’s decline was cut in half, South Korean etfs fell by 1.6%, and the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds turned to increase after hitting a new low in over a month. France is set to vote on dissolving the government as early as Wednesday, with French stocks following European markets upward, although they had previously declined during the day. The Dow Jones, small cap stocks, and semiconductor indices fell, while the China concept index once rose by 1.9%. The yuan hit a new low in a year during the day, and U.S. oil rose nearly 3% testing the $70 mark.
Hong Kong stocks morning report on December 4: The situation in south korea causes a huge shock in asset prices, while the trends of china concept stocks show divergence.
① South Korea's President Yoon Suk-yeol suddenly launched an emergency martial law, but Congress resisted and voted to reject it. ② The USA's labor market shows subtle changes: the number of job vacancies rebounds. ③ The number of CEOs leaving their positions in the USA this year has reached a record high. ④ Yen arbitrage trading is thriving, and the Bank of Japan is reaching for the "interest rate knife." ⑤ The three major US stock indexes had mixed results, with the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 index continuing to set new closing highs, while the trend of china concept stocks showed divergence.
U.S. stocks closed: The S&P reached a historic high for the 55th time this year, while the index of Chinese concept stocks had four consecutive days of gains.
① The S&P and Nasdaq hit new highs, but the momentum is weak; ② A "nightmare" occurred with the south korea etf; ③ Tesla's "bullish investors" announced they will no longer go ALL-IN; ④ Apple is assessing the use of amazon chips to train AI models.
Express News | The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 70.3%.
The s&p 500 index hits a new closing high, the Dow falls by 76 points, and apple reaches a new high, driving the Nasdaq.
Before the release of the non-farm employment report on Friday, the usa stock market showed no clear direction, with the three major indices performing differently on Tuesday. The s&p 500 index closed nearly flat, up 2 points, at a record closing high of 6,049 points; the Dow opened lower and closed lower, down 76 points or 0.2%, at 44,705 points; benefiting from apple (AAPL.US) reaching a new high, the Nasdaq also hit an intraday high, ultimately closing up 76 points or 0.4%, at 19,480 points. Apple’s stock price closed up 1.3% at $242.65, rising for the third consecutive day, setting a new 52-week high. South Korea's political situation has become chaotic, with President Yoon Suk-yeol on Tuesday night.
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U.S. stocks in the early market | The three major indexes showed mixed results, with the Nasdaq rising slightly, most AI concept stocks increasing, palantir up over 5%, and super micro computer up over 8%.
peking time on the evening of the 3rd, the US stock market opened with mixed gains and losses on Tuesday. US stock trade enters the end of the year, with both the s&p 500 index and the Nasdaq hitting record highs yesterday. This week, the market is focusing on the US November non-farm employment data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate path issue.
Express News | Bank of America economists and strategists predict that the s&p 500 index will reach 6666 points by the end of 2025.