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S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Entering the Christmas month! The Christmas market may continue to drive the U.S. stock market to new highs, with these sectors expected to become the "hottest opportunities"
Historically, in the seven trading days after Christmas, which include the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year, investors tend to be more bullish, with a high probability of an uptrend in the U.S. stock market. This seven-day period is known as the 'Santa Claus rally.' Data shows that over the past 70 years, there has been an 80% chance of the S&P 500 index rising during these seven trading days.
Will the Federal Reserve lower rates in December? This week's non-farm data is crucial.
Citi stated that Friday's non-farm payroll report will be crucial for the Federal Reserve's recent policies and future direction. If employment data is strong and inflation strengthens in November, the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes at the December FOMC meeting; conversely, there is a possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut. Citi analyst Andrew Hollenhorst mentioned in a report on December 2 that, according to Powell's latest views, the usa labor market has not stabilized and is still softening. This indicates that the current policy rate is restrictive and the labor market will not be a source of inflationary pressure. This is in contrast to the current market sentiment.
Top economists: Next year, the "big hot" in the US stock market will change! Is the high-return gold period over?
Wharton School professors said, "Perhaps this time, we will see the hot stocks that have performed exceptionally well in the past two years relatively weak."
Is the usa experiencing a "CEO layoff trend"? The number of CEOs leaving this year has reached a record high.
①Last Sunday and Monday Eastern Time, both intel and Stellantis' CEOs announced their resignations, highlighting a wide trend in the entire business sector in the usa - the "layoff tide" of CEOs.②The number of CEO resignations in the usa has reached a record high this year, with more than 1800 CEOs announcing their resignations as of October, indicating an increased risk appetite and a desire for leaders to address the complex business environment and turn the company's situation around.
Wall Street's 'bullish army' is growing stronger! Wells Fargo & Co: US stocks will lead the global market next year.
Wells Fargo & Co expects the s&p 500 index to reach 6,600 points by the end of next year, and advises investors to ignore short-term fluctuations and buy on dips.
Year-end rally in US stocks, JPMorgan estimates s&p 500 could reach 6300 points.
The US stock market is expected to have a strong final battle, jpmorgan said that it is wise to seize the market's momentum before mid-January next year, with a low possibility of a pullback.
A once-in-a-century event! U.S. stocks are expected to rise more than 20% for two consecutive years, and Wall Street is betting on new highs by the end of the year.
① On Monday this week, the s&p 500 index set a new record, and Wall Street investment banks predict that U.S. stocks will continue to rise by the end of the year; ② If the s&p 500 index continues to rise this month, it will have increased more than 20% for two consecutive years, a scenario that has only occurred three times in the past century.
Federal Reserve officials are dovish, and the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverted, reigniting hopes for a rate cut in December.
USA Treasury bonds regained lost ground in early trading on Monday, and market sentiment was further boosted towards the end of the day in New York, as a key official from the Federal Reserve opened the door to further easing monetary policy later this month.
Federal Reserve officials take a dovish stance, and the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverts, rekindling hopes for a rate cut in December.
USA Treasury bonds regained lost ground in early trading on Monday, and market sentiment was further boosted towards the end of the day in New York, as a key official from the Federal Reserve opened the door to further easing monetary policy later this month.
Technology remains the preferred sector! Ubs group outlook on US stocks in 2025: these four sectors are most likely to rise
① Analysts at ubs group suggest that investors allocate to technology, finance, industry, and utility stocks; ② Analysts indicate that technology remains the preferred sector, with expected gains next year likely to exceed large cap.
Bank of America stock strategy team expects the s&p 500 index to reach a target of 6,666 points by the end of next year.
The Bank of America stock strategy team published a report indicating that the rise of the usa stock market is far from over, with a target of 6,666 points for the s&p 500 index by the end of next year. Part of the optimistic view is based on the expectation of strong economic growth, with some stocks benefiting more than others. The team predicts an economic growth of 2.4% in the usa next year, higher than the market forecast of 2%. The bank prefers economically sensitive stocks, recommending an increase in shareholding in financials, discretionary consumer, metals, real estate, and the utilities industry. It also believes there are more opportunities in individual stocks than in the indices, particularly favoring those stocks with healthy cash return expectations that are associated with the usa economy, namely large-cap value stocks. The team also anticipates the market rally will expand from the "magnificent seven stocks" to the s&p.
Federal Reserve officials are speaking out, is confidence in interest rate cuts in December significantly increasing? Employment data becomes crucial.
The market is prepared for further interest rate cuts.
Futu Express | Three senior officials from the Federal Reserve speak intensively! They maintain an open attitude towards the interest rate decision in December; the Nasdaq and S&P hit new highs together, with Morgan Stanley predicting the S&P will reach 6
Central bank: Starting from the statistics of January 2025, the newly revised narrow mmf (M1) statistical caliber will be applied; the USA ISM manufacturing data is better than expected, with weak demand but signs of easing; the increasing burden of USA debt raises concerns about fiscal sustainability.
Can it still rise 4% this year? Morgan Stanley predicts that the s&p 500 index will reach a maximum of 6,300 points by the end of the year.
jpmorgan's trading department data shows that despite experiencing the strongest rebound since the early days of the internet bubble, the s&p 500 index still has room to continue rising before the end of the year.
Fed's Bostic: Keeping 'Options Open' for December Rate Decision
"Hawkish" officials support the Federal Reserve's continued easing, but whether there will be a rate cut this month remains uncertain.
Bostic believes that inflation in the usa is moving towards the 2% target, the labor market is not deteriorating rapidly, but risks should be taken into account.
Express News | What path will the Federal Reserve take in December? Multiple decision-makers have expressed their views.
S&P 500 And Nasdaq Hit Record Highs As December Trading Begins
Trading Volume TOP20 | Tesla, ranked 1st, rose by over 3%, accumulating nearly 43% since November; super micro computer, ranked 3rd, surged more than 28%, with no improper behavior found in the review results.
On Monday, the top trading volume in the US stock market was Tesla, which rose by 3.46% with a trading volume of 27.591 billion dollars. The second was nvidia, which increased by 0.27% with a trading volume of 23.781 billion dollars. The third was super micro computer, which surged by 28.68% with a trading volume of 10.574 billion dollars.
US stock market close | Nasdaq and S&P hit new highs together! Technology stocks collectively strengthened, Taiwan Semiconductor rose more than 5%, Tesla rose more than 3%, apple regained market cap first place.
On the first trading day of December, online Monday shopping amount will break records, Nasdaq and Chinese concept stocks index rose by about 1%, chip index rose 2.6% leading, but Dow fell off the highs.