Annual Outlook | 7100 points! Wall Street refreshes the Target Price for the S&P, is a bull market in US stocks continuing in 2025?
Overall, major banks are optimistic, with the highest target for the S&P reaching 7,100 points, while the average target point according to Bloomberg Statistics is 6,496.17 points, indicating more than a 7% upside potential from the current latest closing price; many bears have flipped their positions, and only two Institutions remain cautious about the direction of the U.S. stock market.
U.S. stock market morning | The three major Indexes are collectively rising, Broadcom surged nearly 9%, Tesla and Google both hit historical highs; Cryptos Concept stocks are strongly rising, MARA climbed nearly 7%, Coinbase rose nearly 4%.
On the evening of the 16th in Beijing time, several central banks will hold meetings this week and a large amount of important economic data will be released. Investors will focus on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting in December.
CEOs in the USA are lobbying to "abandon tariffs," but Trump is not listening to their advice.
With less than two months left until the inauguration, Trump's tariff hammer has 'intensified,' and Company Executives are actively lobbying, hoping for a softening of aggressive policies. However, insiders indicate that Trump is 'not listening to advice,' and it's best for companies to accept the reality that the tariff pledges will soon be implemented.
The Federal Reserve's 'mouthpiece' has made a statement before the meeting: the Fed's strategy for interest rate cuts is constantly changing.
The "Fed's mouthpiece" stated in its latest article that the Federal Reserve is facing another potential turning point. After this week, officials are ready to slow down or even stop interest rate cuts.
Broadcom rises over 8% again, with a cumulative increase of over 35% in two days! Which company will become the next member of the "trillion Market Cap club"?
After Broadcom's market cap exceeded one trillion dollars, there are currently nine companies in the "trillion-dollar market cap club" in the U.S. stock market, namely Apple, Microsoft, NVIDIA, Amazon, Google, Meta, Tesla, Broadcom, and Taiwan Semiconductor.
The Federal Reserve may have to "tear up the script," and the dot plot is the main focus of the event!
Progress has occurred in the job market and inflation data, which came as a surprise to economists, and the Federal Reserve may have to reconsider the extent of interest rate cuts next year.
Express News | The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, with the Dow Jones rising 0.11%, the NASDAQ rising 0.45%, and the S&P 500 Index rising 0.22%. Super Micro Computer fell nearly 14% as the company was removed from the NASDAQ 100 Index componen
The Nasdaq 100 "Great Reshuffle": Palantir leads in annual growth, while Super Micro Computer falls.
① The annual component stock adjustment results of the NASDAQ 100 Index will be announced on December 16, with Palantir, MicroStrategy, and others being included, while Super Micro Computer will be removed, effective December 23; ② Palantir has increased by 343% this year, making it the strongest performer in the S&P 500 Index; MicroStrategy's stock price is highly correlated with Bitcoin.
U.S. Stock Outlook | Three major futures indexes rose collectively, with Tesla pre-market up nearly 1%, poised to set a historical high at the open; Goldman Sachs: The Federal Reserve will "skip" a rate cut in January, and may signal a slowdown in easing
Super Micro Computer fell nearly 14% before the market and was removed from the NASDAQ 100 Index component; Broadcom continues to rise 3% before the market, as Bank of America raised the Target Price to $250.
Wall Street tycoons shout: The FED's "triple cut" this week is not unexpected, but the easing cycle will pause here!
①This Thursday morning, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, and Wall Street widely expects a 25 basis point rate cut, achieving a "three consecutive reductions." ②Krishna Guha, Vice Director of Evercore ISI, stated, "The December FOMC meeting will mark the end of the first phase of the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle."
There are significant differences in policy viewpoints within Trump's cabinet. Will market pricing undergo major changes?
Investors should pay attention to the policy risks of Trump 2.0.
Goldman Sachs: It is unlikely that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in January next year!
Goldman Sachs expects to hear both types of news in this week's policy statement and Powell's press conference.
The Federal Reserve's last opportunity to perform in 2024, this week's economic data to know in advance.
The stock market has been stagnating as the final annual Federal Reserve meeting approaches. As the Federal Reserve makes its next interest rate decision on December 18, investors will continue to receive economic news this week. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points, and investors may pay attention to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comments on the path forward before 2025 during the press conference.
Value stocks have seen a record long-term decline; will a turnaround be possible in 2025?
Value stocks in the USA have fallen for 10 consecutive days, setting the longest losing streak since 2000, as market sentiment continues to remain low.
Will 2025 be a year of volatility? Let's take a look at the "wild moves" of the Institutions.
Many major banks are preparing for 2025! Bank of America predicts that next year's market will feature a long period of calm followed by sudden and intense volatility.
S&P 500 Elliott Wave Technical Analysis [Video]
Express News | Goldman Sachs economists: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in January.
The forward PE of the S&P 500 Index has reached its second-highest level since 1999!
This indicates that the current market has high expectations for corporate profit growth, but it may also suggest an increase in investment risks.
Be careful! The US stock market has already issued some warning signals.
The rise of the US stock market is mainly driven by a few large Technology companies, and their success may mask the underlying weaknesses of the broader market.
Powell may have seen through everything long ago; inflation or recovery may just be an illusion!
Gregory Daco, the chief economist at EY Parthenon, pointed out that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is implementing a "forward-looking inflation determination approach."