The "January effect" in the U.S. stock market: Truth or myth?
The data supports this strategy, but also indicates that its effectiveness has weakened in recent years. As for 2025, the driving factors behind last year's high returns in the U.S. stock market still exist, but there are also some concerns.
Buy, buy, buy! The "Oracle of Omaha" Buffett is frequently increasing his holdings in VeriSign!
Recently, VeriSign's stock price has continued to rise. Since the disclosure of Buffett's increased holdings on December 19 of last year, it has increased by about 7.6% over 10 Trade days.
The first Federal Reserve official this year stated: it is difficult to determine the impact of Trump's policies, and MMF policy will depend on economic data.
Federal Reserve Board member Kugler stated, "There is a view that we can slow down and adopt a more gradual approach" while observing data to determine whether stubborn inflationary pressures will begin to ease again. She also mentioned that the current economic situation is good, and although the job market has cooled somewhat, it remains resilient with the unemployment rate at historically low levels.
The Federal Reserve's voting members have undergone significant changes! Two "hawkish" voters, one "dovish" voter, and one Neutral voter have arrived. What impact will this have?
The Federal Reserve is about to undergo significant adjustments.
Will USA manufacturing "revive its glory" by 2025? Bank of America predicts that the US stock market will benefit from this.
① Ohsung Kwon, a securities strategist at Bank of America, expects that the U.S. manufacturing sector is likely to revive by 2025, boosting the overall U.S. stock market; ② Bank of America forecasts that the S&P 500 Index will close at 6666 points by the end of 2025, an increase of about 14% from the current level; ③ Trump's second term is expected to promote policies supporting manufacturing activities, potentially increasing the trend of companies returning.
What poses the biggest challenge to the US stock market bull run? Analyst: US Treasury yields still have room for further increases.
The Evercore ISI strategy team recently stated that the rise in U.S. Treasury yields poses the biggest challenge to the bull market in stocks.
Top 20 by transaction volume | Bitcoin returns to $98,000, MicroStrategy rises over 13%; NVIDIA closes up 4.45%.
On Friday, the U.S. stock with the highest trading volume was Tesla, which closed up 8.22% with a transaction value of 37.896 billion US dollars; Palantir ranked 9th, closing up 6.25% with a transaction value of 4.908 billion US dollars; Cerence, an Auto AI technology company, ranked 14th, closing up 143.76% with a transaction value of 2.549 billion US dollars.
U.S. stock market closing | The Nasdaq stops its five-day decline, gaining nearly 1.8%; Tesla rises over 8%, Cerence, a NVIDIA Concept stock, surges over 140%.
AI and Nuclear Power Concept stocks are shining, Super Micro Computer rose nearly 11%, NVIDIA concept stock Cerence increased by nearly 144%, and Oklo, in which Altman holds shares, rose nearly 25%. Bitcoin surged past 0.098 million USD.
Overnight U.S. stocks | The Nasdaq and S&P 500 Index ended a five-day decline, with Tesla (TSLA.US) closing up more than 8%.
As of the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 339.86 points on Friday, an increase of 0.80%, closing at 42,732.13 points; the Nasdaq rose 340.88 points, an increase of 1.77%, closing at 19,621.68 points; the S&P 500 Index rose 73.92 points, an increase of 1.26%, closing at 5,942.47 points.
Express News | U.S. stocks continue to rise, with the S&P 500 Index up over 1%.
U.S. stock market in the morning | The three major Indexes all rose, with the Nasdaq up nearly 1%! NVIDIA rose nearly 4%, and Tesla increased over 2%; some Chinese concept stocks strengthened, with MINISO soaring over 8%.
On the evening of the 3rd in Peking time, US stocks opened slightly higher on Friday. Major indices rose slightly after a turbulent start to the new year, with the S&P 500 Index possibly ending its previous five-day decline.
Express News | The USA's ISM manufacturing Index for December is 49.3, expected to be 48.4, and the previous value was 48.4.
There's no need to worry about the US stock market closing lower on the first trading day of 2025! It has no reference value for the annual performance.
History shows that the performance of the S&P 500 Index on the first trading day of the year cannot serve as a barometer for the index's final annual return.
US stock market outlook | Tesla rebounds slightly in pre-market! Morgan Stanley is bullish, raising the stock price to $400; Trump wields the 'big stick'! Tariffs will become a hot topic of discussion at CES 2025.
The rise in US Treasury yields and profit-taking by investors have significantly reduced the inflow of funds into global equity funds; MINISO continued to rise nearly 6% in pre-market trading, with the founder stating that the company will continue to develop the IP economy and lead interest-based consumption; after being short-sold by Hindenburg Research, Carvana fell nearly 4% in pre-market trading.
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U.S. Stock Outlook | All three Equity Indexes rise, Morgan Stanley states that the dominance of large Technology stocks will be shaken by 2025.
On January 3 (Friday) in Pre-Market Trading, the three major U.S. Equity Index futures rose together.
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