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S&P 500 Index Newsroom
The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes suggest a pause in interest rate cuts, with "almost all" policymakers believing that Trump's policies may drive up inflation.
The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": The minutes suggest that Fed officials will temporarily keep interest rates unchanged, partly due to Trump's intention to impose tariffs, and they anticipate the risk of inflation being higher than expected.
The deep recession alert has been sounded! USA credit card debt unexpectedly plummets.
In November, USA consumer credit decreased significantly by 7.5 billion dollars, with unpaid credit card and other revolving debt balances plummeting by 13.8 billion dollars, marking the largest monthly drop since the economic shutdown triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Analysis suggests that whenever there is such a sharp decline in revolving credit, the USA economy is often on the brink of recession or already in recession.
Federal Reserve's Collins: The number of interest rate cuts in 2025 will be lower than previously expected.
Due to strong employment data and persistent inflation, Boston Federal Reserve President Collins is inclined to expect smaller rate cuts in 2025 than previously anticipated a few months ago.
The bond market is making a scene, and US stocks may be in for a tough time.
The stock market may once again shift to a "good news is bad news" pattern......
AI has triggered a wave of layoffs on Wall Street! The number of unemployed individuals in the next three years may exceed 200,000.
The report indicated that in the next 3 to 5 years, due to AI 'encroaching' on human jobs, Global Banks will lay off up to 200,000 people, with backend, mid-office, and Operation positions facing the highest risks. At the same time, 80% of respondents expect that generative AI will increase productivity and income by at least 5% during this period.
US Stock Digging for Gold | Meta Makes Concessions Under EU Antitrust! eBay Soars Nearly 10% Overnight; Henry Hub Natural Gas Stocks Make a Comeback in the New Year! Stocks like EQT Corp Continue to Rise.
Milestone development! Streaming company Roku revealed that in the first week of 2025, it gained 90 million household users, and the stock price has risen over 11% within five trading days this year.
The US stock market is closed today, and US Treasury bonds closed early.
Glory Exchange, January 9 | In mourning for the late former President Carter, the US stock market will be closed for one day on January 9 (Thursday). The Equity Index Trading under CME will end early at 22:30 Beijing time; Interest rates and Shenzhen Agricultural Products Group futures trading will end early at 02:15 on the 10th; Treasury futures trading will end early at 03:30 on the 10th; Precious Metals, Energy, Forex, and Cryptos futures trading will proceed as usual, please be aware.
Fed Signals Delayed Rate Cuts as Inflation Concerns Linger, Goldman Sachs Says
The "Trump tariffs" are imminent! Bank of America: The FED has likely completed the "final rate cut."
① According to the latest forecast from Bank of America, if the Trump administration implements aggressive tariff policies, the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts this year; ② The bank pointed out that signs of sticky inflation are increasing, and considering the timing of the Trump administration's arrival, the Federal Reserve may have already completed the "last cut" of this round of interest rate cuts in December.
Daily Options Tracking | Quantum Computing stocks RGTI and IONQ experienced massive fluctuations! The highest put option made a profit of 177 times; NVIDIA basically closed flat overnight, and Call options were again snatched up.
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang's remarks led to a significant pullback in Quantum Computing concept stocks, with a surge in Volume for RGTI and IONQ Options, and multiple put options making substantial profits.
Strong dividends are on the rise: a new peak in growth is expected in 2025!
S&P 500 companies' dividends are expected to set new records in 2025, with a growth rate projected to reach 7%-12%, higher than last year's 6%.
Bank of America warns: If Trump triggers a tariff bomb, the Federal Reserve may halt interest rate cuts.
USA Silver economists believe that Trump's tariff plan will intensify inflation concerns, forcing the Federal Reserve to end the interest rate cut cycle.
Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 (SPX) Looking for a Double Correction [Video]
Trump's advisory team is considering reshaping the leadership of the Federal Reserve.
Trump's advisory team is closely monitoring the current Federal Reserve officials' comments on interest rates to decide on the candidate's name.
What impact do Trump's tariffs have? Federal Reserve officials stated for the first time: Support for further interest rate cuts this year!
①Federal Reserve Governor Waller supports interest rate cuts this year, although he believes that tariffs imposed by the Trump administration may not significantly impact inflation. ②Waller expects the inflation rate to approach the Federal Reserve's 2% target in the coming months and believes that medium-term inflation will continue to move toward 2%.
Krugman: Is the crazy nature of U.S. debt due to the market believing that Trump will go insane?
Krugman proposed that the rise in long-term interest rates, such as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, may reflect a terrifying, quietly spreading doubt that Trump actually believes the crazy things he says about economic policy and might put them into practice.
Quantum computing, Nuclear Power, Cryptos, cannabis! USA individual investors' "favorite" collectively adjusted last night.
① Although the three major stock indices in the USA fluctuated on Wednesday, the S&P 500 Index, which performed the worst, only fell by 0.16%—a performance that cannot be considered terrible. ② However, for many American retail investors who enjoy the thrill of speculating on meme Stocks, this Wednesday seems to have been a disastrous day: because many of their favorite investment symbols experienced a remarkable collapse.
Research on Stocks has lost its allure, and the salaries of sell-side Analysts on Wall Street have sharply decreased by 30%.
Analysis suggests that the main reasons for the decline of the Stocks research and analysis Industry include the rise of passive investment, the development of AI, a decrease in the number of publicly listed companies, and changes in regulatory policies. The decline of the Industry has also led to a decrease in the coverage of small Stocks in the US market, resulting in inaccurate valuations of small companies by investors, which in turn increases the Company Valuation financing costs, reduces Stocks liquidity, and affects market efficiency.
Henry Hub Natural Gas stocks have kicked off the new year with a "good start," while the S&P 500 Energy Sector leads the way in a turnaround.
The Energy Sector goes from "worst" in the S&P 500 Index to "first" by 2025.
The Global bond market is experiencing a frantic sell-off, with US Treasury yields quickly approaching 5%.
The 20-year US Treasury yield has already broken through 5%, while the UK 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield has also risen to 4.82%, reaching a new high since 2008. Inflation worries have prompted traders to lower their expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England this year, and at the same time, the market is weighing the impact of President Trump's policies.