The overseas market will not stop for the Spring Festival! Looking back at the performance of Hong Kong and U.S. stocks during the Spring Festival in the past, will the New Year market see an explosive growth?
According to the News organized by Futu, since 2018, the average probability of an increase in Hong Kong stocks during the New Year period is as high as 80%, while U.S. stocks and Chinese concept stocks have a 70% increase probability.
Express News | In December, the USA ADP employment increased by 0.122 million people, which was below market expectations.
Swiss Franc Baosheng Media Group Analyst: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates only once this year, and there is a risk of a bear market for U.S. stocks.
The Analyst stated that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates is very high, and outlined the reasons why significant adjustments may occur in the U.S. stock market.
The three major U.S. stock index futures all turned to decline amid rumors of tariffs from Trump affecting risk appetite | Highlights for tonight.
① It is reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to introduce tariffs; ② NASDAQ 100 Index futures dropped over 0.5% in pre-market trading; ③ Meta ended its fact-checking program to extend an olive branch to Trump; ④ The Indonesian government warned that if Apple does not comply with local investment regulations, it may face "sanctions" in the worst-case scenario.
How cautious are Federal Reserve officials about interest rate cuts? The answer may be revealed in tonight's meeting minutes.
The meeting minutes to be released tonight may fully reflect that the Federal Reserve has become "relatively hawkish" internally……
Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to pave the way for his tariff plan!
In 2019, Trump used this trick to threaten Mexico with tariffs, and his advisors were also exploring other legal avenues to support the tariffs.
Pre-Market Trading Key Points | Is Trump's tariff plan changing? The December "small non-farm" data will be announced soon.
The three major Equity Index futures in the USA all dropped, with Nasdaq futures down 0.6%, S&P 500 Index futures down 0.45%, and Dow futures down 0.29%.
Will the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes release tonight continue to signal a "hawkish" stance?
This meeting minutes focus on: the degree of divergence among Federal Reserve officials, the determination of the persistence of inflation and the weakness of the labor market, as well as discussions on the rise of neutral interest rates to a higher level. Additionally, the impact of Trump's policies and details related to balance sheet reduction are also worth noting.
The famous investor Howard Marks, who is also "admired" by Buffett, warns that the high valuations of the U.S. stock market should not be ignored.
This well-known value investing giant warns that there is indeed a possibility for U.S. stocks to experience a sharp and sudden sell-off in a short period, similar to what occurred during the bursting of the Internet Plus-Related bubble at the beginning of the 21st century.
Express News | Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to launch a new tariff plan.
U.S. Stock Market Gold Rush | Riding the NVIDIA Wave! Autonomous driving company AUR's stock price surged nearly 30% overnight; concerns over gas shortages arise again in Europe, with several Oil & Gas stocks reaching new highs for the year.
The Bird Flu virus is rampant, and the USA reports the first death case! Vaccine manufacturer Moderna surged by 11% upon hearing the news; bullish factors are stacking up! Xiaopeng Autos rose over 9% overnight, and the stock price has increased for three consecutive days.
Daily Options Tracking | NVIDIA fell 6% after the CES press conference! A large investor bought Call options worth 12.62 million dollars, bullish against the trend; trading volume of options on China Large Cap stock ETFs surged, with a concentration of op
Bitcoin has fallen to $97,000, with "whale" MSTR dropping nearly 10%, and several Put Options with strike prices around $340 have more than doubled overnight this Friday.
Nomura's Global Macro Research Director: The Federal Reserve will only cut interest rates once in 2025, and it is even possible that there may be a rate increase?
Is the interest rate cut no longer happening.
Hedge Funds Start Cautiously in 2025: Stock Market Sell-off Accelerates, Cash Becomes the New Favorite.
Despite the strong performance of the stock market in 2024, Wall Street's smart money has quietly shifted towards defense.
A significant trend in Gold is imminent! The "little non-farm job report" and the Federal Reserve's minutes have arrived. FXStreet Senior Analyst's Gold trading analysis.
In early European trading on Wednesday, spot Gold maintained a mild rebound, with the current price at $2652 per ounce. FXStreet Senior Analyst Dhwani Mehta noted that in the early hours of Wednesday, Gold was consolidating around $2650 per ounce after a previous rebound, awaiting the release of the USA ADP employment report and the minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting, preparing for the next round of increases.
Active Funds have once again underperformed Large Cap, has the investors' "stock picking dream" been shattered?
In 2024, actively managed Large Cap Funds have once again been left behind by the Index. Can the stock-picking skills of renowned fund managers break through the monopoly of "Technology giants"?
In recent days, the market has experienced huge fluctuations, this is the "Trump shock"!
Although the scale and scope of the tariff policy remain to be seen, there is no doubt that the future road will be full of obstacles...
Howard Marks: Is there a bubble in the U.S. stock market now?
Max believes that the U.S. stock market may have some bubbles, but it is not out of control. The expected PE for the S&P 500 Index is 23.6 times, and compared to valuation parameters, a more effective way to determine bubbles is through psychological diagnosis. Currently, there is no talk from people saying 'there are no prices that are unreachable,' which is a clear indicator of irrational thinking and a sign of bubbles.
Fed Meeting Minutes to Shed Light on Rate-Cut Path in 2025
Bulls beware: The stormy bloodbath in the US Treasury is not completely over.
Deutsche Bank's strategists believe that the US Treasury bond bulls will face more pain in the future, but all of this will soon come to an end.