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S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Express News | U.S. Equity Index futures have widened their declines, with Nasdaq futures down over 0.7% and S&P 500 Index futures down nearly 0.6%.
Futu Morning Brief | Is there a signal to "pause interest rate cuts"? Federal Reserve officials speak out collectively; Elon Musk live streams at CES, discussing ambitious plans, Tesla's robots are set to expand production by a hundredfold.
HSBC expects the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index to rise by 21% this year and has raised its year-end target; Tencent has continuously reduced its shareholding in WEIMOB INC and UBTECH, cashing out 1.67 billion Hong Kong dollars, with WEIMOB INC responding.
Goldman Sachs strategists warn: The pricing of U.S. stocks is at a "perfect level" and is likely to experience a pullback.
Goldman Sachs' Chief Global Equity Strategist Peter Oppenheimer warned that as investors digest the uncertainty surrounding rising Bond yields, overvaluations, and further interest rate cuts, the current "perfect" earnings market environment may be difficult to sustain.
1/10 [Strong and Weak Materials]
[Bullish and Bearish Factors] Bullish factors: 1 USD = 158.10-20 JPY, active Share Buyback, Tokyo Stock Exchange's request for corporate value enhancement. Bearish factors: Nikkei average declined (39605.09, -375.97), USA market closed, Chicago Nikkei Futures decreased (39545, -15), VIX index increased (18.07, +0.37), US long-term interest rates rose, prolonged combat in Ukraine and Israel, concerns over China's economic recession. Points to note: January Single Option special settlement index (SQ) calculation, household survey (1
Tonight's non-farm payroll report is coming! Signals of a slowdown in employment growth have emerged, and the health status of the labor market will soon be revealed.
With the recent continuous rise in the US dollar and US Treasury bond yields, the market is highly focused on the upcoming US non-farm employment data for December, which will be announced at 20:30 Beijing time on Friday.
Quietly, the Federal Reserve has given more attention to this "new" inflation Indicators.
Including Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, senior officials of the Federal Reserve are increasingly focusing on a lesser-known inflation Index—the market-based version of the Personal Consumer Expenditure Price Index, which excludes a range of service industry data that its collectors cannot measure directly and must estimate. Currently, this Index is closer to the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target, potentially indicating that the threshold for further interest rate cuts is lower than the market anticipates.
The outlook for Trump's policies is uncertain, the Federal Reserve is cautious, and this year the voting committee unanimously supports gradual interest rate cuts.
This year, the voting member and President of the Boston Federal Reserve, Collins, stated that the economic outlook is very uncertain, and requires a gradual and patient approach to interest rate cuts, expecting the number of cuts this year to be reduced to two from previous expectations; another voting member this year, President of the Kansas City Federal Reserve, Schmidt, stated that if economic data improves, it supports gradual rate cuts; the Federal Reserve is close to the neutral interest rate, nearly achieving the dual mandate of inflation and employment, and further balance sheet reduction is needed; the 2026 voting member, President of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve, Harker, stated support for further rate cuts this year, but the timing depends on the data, and action should be paused for now; the 2027 voting member, President of the Richmond Federal Reserve, Barkin, stated that it is the term premium, not inflation, that drives up long-term interest rates.
Stock Futures Slip as Wall Street Braces for Friday's Jobs Report
How high are the valuations of the U.S. stock market? They have reached the level of "irrational exuberance."
Bloomberg pointed out that the current valuation of the US stock market has reached its highest level since 2002, a level that is exactly the same as when Greenspan issued his warning of "irrational exuberance" in 1996.
A 180-degree turn! Goldman Sachs' latest warning: U.S. stocks are priced too "perfectly," and a correction is imminent.
Goldman Sachs issued a new warning on Thursday (January 9): As investors digest the rising Bonds yields, overvalued valuations, and the uncertainty of further interest rate cuts, the current perfect money-making market environment may be difficult to sustain.
Philadelphia Fed President: Will lower interest rates as planned, do not "act hastily."
Hack pointed out that the Federal Reserve is still on the path of lowering interest rates, "I will not deviate from this path or turn back."
Minister Ma candidly stated that reducing federal spending by 2 trillion is an overly idealistic goal.
① Musk stated that the proposed "Department of Government Efficiency" in the USA may not be able to achieve its preset highest goal of cutting federal government spending by 2 trillion dollars; ② Musk emphasized in an exclusive interview that this is not an admission of failure in advance, and he can still help Trump achieve "epic results."
The S&P 500 Index has released a bullish signal for the entire year, due to TA.
Analysts from Fundstrat and Bank of America have stated that this Wednesday (January 8) is the last day of the first five trading days window of 2025. If the S&P 500 Index can close above 5,881.63 points, it will send a Call signal for the market for the entire year.
Fed's Harker: Fed Still on Rate-cut Path, Future Moves Driven by Data
The Federal Reserve shifts to "market-based" inflation Indicators, adding optimistic grounds for the economic outlook.
Including Chairman Jerome Powell, senior officials of the Federal Reserve are increasingly relying on a lesser-known price indicator - "market-based" inflation, as a basis for their optimistic economic outlook.
USA officials expect that negotiations between Russia and Ukraine may begin early this year!
On the eve of leaving office, the Biden administration released another 0.5 billion USD in aid to Ukraine, to increase Ukraine's "potential bargaining chips."
Danger! U.S. Treasury yields are approaching the critical level of 5%, and a new wave of stock market sell-off may be coming.
The yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is rapidly rising to its highest level since October 2023, approaching a critical threshold that has historically triggered stock market sell-offs, causing panic in the market.
The deep recession alert has been sounded! USA credit card debt unexpectedly plummets.
In November, USA consumer credit decreased significantly by 7.5 billion dollars, with unpaid credit card and other revolving debt balances plummeting by 13.8 billion dollars, marking the largest monthly drop since the economic shutdown triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Analysis suggests that whenever there is such a sharp decline in revolving credit, the USA economy is often on the brink of recession or already in recession.
Federal Reserve's Collins: The number of interest rate cuts in 2025 will be lower than previously expected.
Due to strong employment data and persistent inflation, Boston Federal Reserve President Collins is inclined to expect smaller rate cuts in 2025 than previously anticipated a few months ago.
The bond market is making a scene, and US stocks may be in for a tough time.
The stock market may once again shift to a "good news is bad news" pattern......