Buckle up! Wells Fargo & Co: The U.S. stock market and the economy are disconnected and are about to correct after this year's "surge."
① Wells Fargo & Co warns that the optimistic rebound of the US stock market after the election may lead to a short-term "hangover," and the S&P 500 Index could fall by 7%. ② The report points out that the disconnection between the US stock market and the economy is worsening, with economic data being tepid, yet stock indices are rebounding and rising.
The number of initial unemployment claims in the USA has dropped to the lowest level in a month, indicating that the labor market continues to show resilience.
Due to the low number of layoffs, the number of initial unemployment claims saw a slight decline; however, as of the week ending December 14, the number of continuing unemployment claims rose to the highest level in over three years.
On the first trading day after the holiday, the stock and bond markets in the USA are running steadily. Is the 'Santa Claus rally' expected to continue?
① On the first trading day after Christmas, the USA stock and bond markets operated steadily on Thursday; ② Most major markets in Europe remained closed that day, so trading was still relatively quiet.
Futu Morning Report | Apple hits a new high for four consecutive days! Wedbush raises the Target Price to $325; US Small Cap stocks are booming, with Drone and Quantum Computing concept stocks leading the surge.
The number of initial jobless claims in the USA fell to the lowest level in a month last week, but the duration of unemployment has increased; NVIDIA has launched the GB200 NLV4, and the GB300 is expected to be released in March next year; additional upward momentum? MicroStrategy plans to sell more shares to raise funds for purchasing Bitcoin.
Top 20 by transaction volume | Tesla fell nearly 2%, with a transaction volume of nearly 35 billion USD; Bitcoin dropped below 0.096 million USD, and MicroStrategy fell nearly 5%.
On Thursday, the top traded stock was Tesla, which closed down 1.76%, with a trading volume of 34.882 billion USD; in second place was NVIDIA, which closed down 0.21%, with a trading volume of 16.224 billion USD; and in third place was Apple, which closed up 0.32%, with a trading volume of 7.053 billion USD.
U.S. stock market close | The three major Indexes had mixed performances, with the Dow rising for five consecutive days; Drone Concept stocks surged, with SES jumping 100%; Apple continued to reach new highs, with its Market Cap approaching 4 trillion dol
After the Christmas holiday, trading is quiet. The S&P and Nasdaq briefly turned positive, with Apple reaching a new high and its Market Cap approaching 4 trillion dollars. Tesla fell by 1.8%, NVIDIA's decline narrowed, Broadcom rose over 2%, Drone concept stocks surged, the Chinese concept index rose by 0.9% at one point, Ideal Autos increased by more than 9%, and Kingsoft Cloud rose over 14%.
U.S. stocks in the early market | The three major indices fell but small-cap stocks soared! Quantum Computing concept stock SEALSQ Corp skyrocketed by 30% and was temporarily suspended due to a trading halt; the Drone concept was crazy, with SES AI Corp s
Rumble rose another 20%, having accumulated a rise of over 100% in three trading days; Apple’s stock price reached a high of $260.09 during the day before pulling back, and Wedbush raised Apple’s Target Price to $325.
Famous investor Zuroff: 2025 will be 'the hell for investors, the paradise for traders.'
Well-known investor Felix Zulov believes that the US stock market will peak next year, followed by a significant correction and then a new high. Ultimately, the stock market will reach a critical crossroads, leading to a bear market.
Wells Fargo & Co warns: the astonishing rise of the stock market this year may bring "aftereffects" due to TA.
According to FX168 Financial News (North America), 2024 will be a very good year for the stock market.
U.S. Stock Preview | The market focuses on NVIDIA's new products! The "nuclear bomb" RTX5090 and B300 are about to be launched; MSTR issues new Stocks, investing another 42 billion dollars to buy Bitcoin; Pre-Market Trading sees a surge in the Drone Conce
Multiple US auto stocks rose before market open, Toyota Motor increased by over 9%, Tesla rose by 1%; Is it pushing towards a 4 trillion dollar Market Cap tonight? Two major banks raised the Target Price for Apple.
Express News | The number of initial unemployment claims in the USA for the week ending December 21 was 0.219 million, with expectations of 0.224 million, and a prior value of 0.22 million.
Express News | Oppenheimer: Investors are advised to look for "mispriced opportunities" when US stocks decline.
Stock Futures Slip as Markets Poised to Reopen After Christmas -- WSJ
Historically, how did interest rate cuts end when the economy achieved a soft landing?
Goldman Sachs found that G10 central banks tend to end the easing cycle slowly and cautiously by pausing rate cuts, with nearly half of historical "soft landing" rate-cut cycles lasting more than a year. The institution believes that the Fed's statement in December aligns with the pattern of slowing down seen in the later stages of rate-cut cycles in history.
The outlook for interest rate cuts is filled with uncertainty! Is the Federal Reserve really going to act based on Trump's opinions?
Not only should the data be considered, but the Federal Reserve's upcoming actions may be closely related to Trump...
What is the outlook for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2025? Trump's policies still impose significant uncertainty.
Currently, the Federal Reserve may need to see the impact of the series of economic policies, including import tariffs, proposed by President-elect Donald Trump before it can raise its forecasts for inflation and interest rate changes in the first half of next year.
Can U.S. stocks continue to rise? Research institutions say it depends on the performance of U.S. bonds and the dollar.
Tom Essaye, the founder of Sevens Report Research, pointed out in this week's report that based on recent trading levels, the dollar currently poses only a "slight" resistance to U.S. stocks, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield presents a "moderate" resistance; if the dollar and bond yields continue to rise from now on, it will cause greater trouble for U.S. stocks.
US Stock Futures Steady After Christmas Holiday
U.S. bonds: The first stab in the back of Trump?
Shao Xiang from Minsheng Macro stated that since his election victory, Trump has been concerned about the U.S. stock market and values the U.S. dollar, but seems to be particularly unconcerned about U.S. Treasury bonds, which could bring significant trouble to both the Trump administration and the market next year. The pressure from maturing U.S. debt next year is considerable (approximately 7.8 trillion U.S. dollars for the whole year), and the already high term premium may worsen the situation, with the Federal Reserve potentially making matters worse.
Futu Morning Report | Powell's "Christmas gift"! U.S. long-term bond yields hit a seven-month high; Hong Kong stocks continue to be closed for the Christmas holiday today, U.S. stocks open.
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January next year is 91.4%; the State Council: Expand the areas of special Bonds investment, incorporating low-altitude economy, computing equipment, and supporting infrastructure into the project capital requirements; in 2024, a "wave of resignations" among CEOs of publicly listed companies in the USA will occur.