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US Stock Outlook | "ADP Employment Report" falls short of expectations! The three major futures indices show slight gains; boosted by AMD's bullish investment, AI startup ABSI rises over 40% in pre-market trading.
According to informed sources, Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to launch a new tariff plan; Federal Reserve Governor Waller: supports further interest rate cuts this year; Federal Reserve's Bostic: inflation will gradually decline, policymakers should remain cautious in their decision-making.
Howard Marks on Bubble Watch: Stock Valuations High but Not Nutty
What would it mean for the market if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpasses 5%?
Bank of America believes that if U.S. Treasury yields exceed 5%, investors may reassess the valuation of risk Assets, putting pressure on the stock market.
Initial claims for unemployment benefits have dropped to the lowest level in 11 months! The market is starting to bet that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in 2025.
Last week, the number of first-time applicants for unemployment benefits in the USA unexpectedly decreased, reaching the lowest level in 11 months, indicating that the labor market in the USA remains resilient as of early 2025.
Fed's "hot" committee member Waller: Inflation is declining, supporting further interest rate cuts.
On Wednesday, Fed "super voter" and long-time FOMC voting member, Fed Governor Waller stated that he believes inflation will continue moving towards the central...
U.S. stock market early session | All three major Indexes fell, most Growth Tech stocks weakened, NVIDIA and Microsoft rose nearly 1% against the trend, while AMD dropped over 4%.
On the evening of the 8th in Peking time, US stocks opened lower on Wednesday. Concerns regarding the interest rate cut path led to a decline in US stocks yesterday, and the market is focusing on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting minutes in December. The December ADP private employment data in the USA was below market expectations. The President-elect Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to promote new tariff policies.
Are they going to detonate a tariff nuclear bomb again? It is said that the Trump team is considering declaring a national economic emergency.
The Trump team has not made a final decision on whether to declare a national emergency and is still exploring other legal avenues to support the tariff policy.
Will the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes release tonight continue to signal a "hawkish" stance?
This meeting summary focuses on the level of disagreement among Federal Reserve officials regarding the persistence of inflation and the degree of weakness in the labor market, as well as discussions about the neutral interest rate rising to a higher level.
Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to pave the way for the tariff plan.
In 2019, Trump used this trick to threaten Mexico with tariffs, and his advisors were also exploring other legal avenues to support the tariffs.
Support the Federal Reserve in continuing to cut interest rates? The "little non-farm" figure unexpectedly fell short of expectations.
The latest "small non-farm" report may further demonstrate that the growth of the labor market in the USA is becoming more moderate, and wages are not putting pressure on inflation.
Fed's Waller Sees More Rate Cuts in 2025 -- Barrons.com
US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Decline to 201K Vs. 218K Expected
Express News | The number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the USA last week was 0.201 million, the lowest since the week of February 17, 2024.
Express News | In December, the USA ADP employment increased by 0.122 million people, which was below market expectations.
The overseas market will not stop for the Spring Festival! Looking back at the performance of Hong Kong and U.S. stocks during the Spring Festival in the past, will the New Year market see an explosive growth?
According to the News organized by Futu, since 2018, the average probability of an increase in Hong Kong stocks during the New Year period is as high as 80%, while U.S. stocks and Chinese concept stocks have a 70% increase probability.
Swiss Franc Baosheng Media Group Analyst: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates only once this year, and there is a risk of a bear market for U.S. stocks.
The Analyst stated that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates is very high, and outlined the reasons why significant adjustments may occur in the U.S. stock market.
The three major U.S. stock index futures all turned to decline amid rumors of tariffs from Trump affecting risk appetite | Highlights for tonight.
① It is reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to introduce tariffs; ② NASDAQ 100 Index futures dropped over 0.5% in pre-market trading; ③ Meta ended its fact-checking program to extend an olive branch to Trump; ④ The Indonesian government warned that if Apple does not comply with local investment regulations, it may face "sanctions" in the worst-case scenario.
How cautious are Federal Reserve officials about interest rate cuts? The answer may be revealed in tonight's meeting minutes.
The meeting minutes to be released tonight may fully reflect that the Federal Reserve has become "relatively hawkish" internally……
Pre-Market Trading Key Points | Is Trump's tariff plan changing? The December "small non-farm" data will be announced soon.
The three major Equity Index futures in the USA all dropped, with Nasdaq futures down 0.6%, S&P 500 Index futures down 0.45%, and Dow futures down 0.29%.
The famous investor Howard Marks, who is also "admired" by Buffett, warns that the high valuations of the U.S. stock market should not be ignored.
This well-known value investing giant warns that there is indeed a possibility for U.S. stocks to experience a sharp and sudden sell-off in a short period, similar to what occurred during the bursting of the Internet Plus-Related bubble at the beginning of the 21st century.