Futu Morning Report | Expectations for interest rate cuts weaken! Rising inflation concerns trigger market fluctuations; NVIDIA turns to decline after hitting a new high, while Xiaopeng Autos rise over 9%.
Microsoft will reinvest 3 billion dollars to expand AI computing power, aiming to cultivate 10 million AI talents by 2030; Apple's spring "budget version" iPhone new model is about to go into production and will be launched before April.
U.S. stocks closed | All three major Indexes fell, with the Nasdaq down nearly 2%; Technology stocks declined, with NVIDIA dropping over 6% and Tesla falling over 4%; some Chinese concept stocks went against the trend, with Xiaopeng rising over 9%.
① The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.2%, with China Concept Stocks showing mixed results; ② NVIDIA launched its personal computing product Project DIGITS; ③ XPENG Huaitian: Flying cars will be mass-produced and delivered in 2026; ④ Vaccine stocks soared, with Moderna rising nearly 12% and Novavax increasing by nearly 11%.
Is inflation returning? Economic data causes market fluctuations, with the NASDAQ and S&P 500 Index experiencing corrections.
The release of two economic data points led to a surge in yields and a sharp decline in the stock market.
U.S. stock market in the early session | The three major Indexes opened high and fell, while the Biotechnology Sector rose against the trend, with MRNA up over 10%; Fubo continued to increase by more than 10%, partnering with Disney for streaming services
On the evening of the 7th Beijing time, US stocks opened slightly higher on Tuesday. The Semiconductors Sector saw a general rise after NVIDIA announced the launch of the RTX5090 and the world's smallest personal AI supercomputer. The US stock market will be closed on Thursday in memory of former President Jimmy Carter.
U.S. stocks preview | "CES Technology Spring Festival" is buzzing! NVIDIA reached a historic high in pre-market trading; the "golden touch magic" is back, with NVIDIA concept stock Aurora soaring nearly 40%.
The investment director at Morgan Stanley states that US stocks may face severe challenges in the next six months due to rising bond yields and the strengthening dollar raising concerns about inflation; a Wall Street bond short seller predicts that the yield on ten-year USA Bonds will rise to 5.5% by the end of the year; under the impact of high interest rates, the bankruptcy rate of American companies has reached its highest level since the financial crisis.
Under the impact of high interest rates, the bankruptcy rate of companies in the USA has risen to the highest level since the financial crisis.
Despite the fact that the Federal Reserve began lowering interest rates at the end of last year, the number of bankrupt companies in the USA continues to rise.
Is the market too optimistic? Economists warn: The Federal Reserve has paused rate cuts, and there may only be one cut this year!
According to Morgan Stanley, the Federal Reserve has sent a signal of a "hard pause" in December. Senior economists from the Obama administration believe that if the labor market remains healthy, the Fed may only cut interest rates once this year, and if the CPI rises back above 3%, the possibility of a rate hike in 2025 cannot be ruled out.
Daily Options Tracking | The CES conference boosts a frenzy in chip stocks! NVIDIA and AMD Call Options are being aggressively bought; FuboTV skyrocketed 251% overnight, with one Call yielding an astonishing 300 times increase.
MicroStrategy has seen a strong rebound for two consecutive days, with a cumulative increase of over 26%. Yesterday, the Options Volume remained high, with the Call ratio exceeding 70%, and volatility continued to rise.
Take on the risks yourself! Institutions warn: the more optimistic one is about the US stock market, the greater the risks.
Investor enthusiasm for the US stock market and the US economy in 2025 may backfire...
Rare! Federal Reserve officials explicitly state that market valuations are too high.
Cook's remarks remind people of former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan's warning about "irrational exuberance" in 1996.
Goldman Sachs has discovered a "major warning signal": hedge funds are suddenly and unusually shorting in large numbers.
The market may have undergone significant changes, just on the day the Federal Reserve shifted to a hawkish stance on December 18...
Rockefeller warns: The prosperity of the US stock market will end in 2025.
The chairman of Rockefeller International stated that debt is the "main triggering factor for the end of momentum trading in the US stock market."
A major shake-up rehearsal? Trump continues to make the world speculate on how he plans to impose tariffs.
Trump denies ambitions to cut tariffs, leaving the suspense of tariff policy unresolved.
Morgan Stanley CIO: The US stock market will experience "ice and fire" in 2025, with a difficult start in the first half of the year!
1. Michael Wilson, Chief Investment Officer of Morgan Stanley, stated that the challenges faced by US stocks in the first half of the year are greater, as the surge in bond yields and the strengthening dollar pose risks to the stock market. 2. He pointed out that the correlation between the S&P 500 Index and US Treasury yields has turned into a "decisive negative correlation," a divergence that has not been seen since last summer.
Futu Morning News | The Technology grand event CES is arriving today! Jensen Huang's keynote speech has raised market expectations; Tencent and Contemporary Amperex Technology respond to being listed on the USA Department of Defense list: it is a mistake,
Signals of Trump 2.0 removing regulations? The Vice Chairman in charge of financial regulation at the Federal Reserve will resign early after Trump's rise to power; Bitcoin returns to $100,000, and stocks related to Cryptos soar across the board; FuboTV's stock price skyrockets over 251%! It will collaborate with Disney to merge live television streaming services.
China Securities Co.,Ltd.: The future trends of the US stock market depend on the sustainability of the Technology revolution driven by AI.
The underlying logic of the Reagan cycle is to suppress inflation with tight MMF, stimulate growth with loose regulation, and ultimately create a cycle of "economic growth - strong dollar - strong U.S. stocks" in growth, liquidity, and Assets.
U.S. stock market close | The Nasdaq rose 1.2%, driven by the Technology conference CES which boosted chip stocks, NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor hit record closing highs; most China Concept Stocks declined, with Tencent ADR falling nearly 8%.
① Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1.16%, most China Concept Stocks fell, Tencent ADR dropped nearly 8%; ② MicroStrategy has purchased Bitcoin for nine consecutive weeks; ③ Trump denies plans to reduce the applicability of tariffs; ④ Qualcomm announces the launch of the new AI chip Snapdragon X.
Signals of Trump 2.0 going for deregulation? The Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve in charge of financial regulation will resign early after Trump takes office.
According to the Federal Reserve's statement, Barr's resignation will take effect no later than February 28, and he will continue to serve as a Federal Reserve Governor until the term ends. The statement implies that he is stepping down as Vice Chairman of Supervision more than a year early to avoid potential legal disputes with the Trump administration. The media reports that Barr's decision does not indicate that Powell will also step down from the position of Federal Reserve Chairman early, but it casts a shadow over the prospects of the USA implementing new banking regulations that increase capital requirements.
The Federal Reserve issued a rare direct warning to the U.S. stock market, with Governor Cook stating that market valuations are excessively high and may face a significant correction.
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook issued a rare direct warning to the stock market on Monday.
A Federal Reserve official stated: future rate cuts need to be cautious!
Cook believes that the interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve so far have significantly reduced the restrictiveness of the MMF policy.