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Amazing! The Biden administration's budget deficit in August set a new record for this year. Analysts say that the interest on US Treasury bonds will exceed 1 trillion US dollars for the first time.
Market analysts say that the Biden administration's August deficit hit a record high for the year, and the interest on US government debt exceeded 1 trillion dollars for the first time.
Futu Morning News | Rate cut countdown! US stocks continue to break records; Bank of America: Long the seven giants of US stocks is still the most crowded trade.
"New美联储通讯社": The situation is complex, and there are still doubts about the magnitude of the Fed's first rate cut; if the Fed's first cut is done "properly", the record-breaking betting on a significant rate cut may face huge risks; Apple's iPhone 16 series pre-order sales in the first weekend fell short of expectations, analysts: the long-term outlook remains optimistic.
Schroder Investment: It is necessary to adopt diverse sources of income in a tense and uncertain financial market. Crediting and high dividend stocks can effectively supplement.
This summer, the Bank of Japan will raise the benchmark interest rate to 0.25% by the end of July 2024, causing tension and uncertainty in the financial market, especially triggering a domino effect in the stocks and fixed-income markets.
Top 20 transaction volume | Microsoft rose nearly 1%, planning to buy back up to 60 billion US dollars and increase dividend; Walmart fell more than 2%, has cleared all the shares of Dada holdings.
Microsoft, the top trading volume in the US stock market on Tuesday, fell by 1.02%, with a trading volume of $26.993 billion. Tesla, the second place, rose by 0.48%, with a trading volume of $15.367 billion. Apple, the third place, rose by 0.22%, with a trading volume of $9.84 billion.
Size of Anticipated Fed Rate Cut to Influence Level of Move in U.S. Treasury Yields
US stocks in early trading | The three major indexes rose collectively, Chinese concept stocks and technology stocks strengthened collectively, Li Auto Inc rose nearly 9%, Tesla rose over 3%.
USA retail sales exceeded expectations in August, indicating that the consumer situation in the USA remains healthy. The Federal Reserve will begin its two-day monetary policy meeting today and announce the meeting results tomorrow. Wedbush brokerage stated that AI stocks like Nvidia will benefit from the Fed's rate cut.
Preview of US stocks | August retail sales data exceeds expectations, three major futures indices slightly rise; Bullish news frequently! Intel pre-market up nearly 7%.
Microsoft is giving out "red envelopes": dividend increase of 10%, planning to repurchase up to 60 billion US dollars; "New Fed Communication Agency" reiterated uncertainty: the magnitude of the first interest rate cut is still suspenseful.
SA Sentiment: Will the Fed Cut Rates by 50 or 25 Basis Points?
The market expects a 50 basis point rate cut, which is not enough! US lawmakers have sent a joint letter to Powell calling for a 75 basis point rate cut.
The futures prices on Monday reflected that investors expected a 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed this week, with a probability of close to 60%. Blackrock said the market's pricing of the rate cut cycle was a bit overdone, while a joint letter from Democratic senators warned that being too cautious about the rate cut would unnecessarily expose the economy to the risk of a recession.
Futu Morning Post | Senators jointly write to Powell, urging a 75 basis point rate cut this week; Intel to customize AI chips for amazon, with stock soaring over 11% after hours.
Barclays argues that if Trump implements unilateral forex intervention to weaken the US dollar, the cost will be too high; Ultraman has left the OpenAI safety and security committee, which will be chaired by Zico Kolter.
US stocks closing | The three major indexes have mixed gains and losses, with the Dow hitting a new high! The performance of technology stocks is divergent, with Intel up more than 6% and Apple down nearly 3%.
On the eve of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, there was continued rotation in the U.S. stock market, with investors selling technology stocks and buying blue chip and small cap stocks.
Democratic Senators Send Letter to Powell Advocating for a 75-basis Point Rate Cut
Standard Chartered Warns Against a 50-basis Point FOMC Rate Cut
US stock market preview | Three major futures show mixed trends, Apple falls more than 2% before the market; Has the expectation of interest rate cuts changed again? Multiple senior central bank journalists speak out: There should be a 50 basis point rate
Trump Media Technology Group's pre-market rose nearly 2%, Trump suspected of being targeted for "assassination attempt" again; Intel pre-market rose more than 1%, news said it received a $3.5 billion subsidy to produce chips for the U.S. military; U.S. stocks survived the "summer storm", but this time it all relied on "S&P 493".
The US stock market survived the "summer storm", but this time it relied entirely on the "S&P 493".
Since mid-July, the seven major technology stocks in the US stock market have fallen by 5.3%, while the S&P 500 index has fallen by less than 1%. The rise of other companies outside the 'Big Seven' has offset most of the decline in technology stocks, with the real estate and utilities sectors both rising by 11%.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is imminent! But Wall Street is becoming increasingly anxious.
The prospect of the Fed's rate cut is still very uncertain, and bond investors have suddenly started preparing for the economic downturn in the United States, while stock investors appear to be more optimistic...
Will the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in four years this week protect the USA economy from a soft landing?
The Federal Reserve will begin a key shift this week, lowering interest rates for the first time in over four years in pursuit of a rare soft landing for the US economy.
After two reports shook the market last week, another senior central bank journalist has spoken out: interest rates should be cut by 50 basis points!
Senior reporter Greg Ip believes that the current actual short-term interest rate has reached 3.2% to 3.5%, while the "neutral" actual interest rate range considered by the Federal Reserve officials is only 0.5% to 1.5%. The Federal Reserve should start cutting interest rates in July. If this time they only cut by 25 basis points, and if there are more weak data released in the future, the Federal Reserve will fall further behind market expectations.
What signal? Even the most bullish on Wall Street are starting to 'lose sleep at night'.
Although the market is bullish, from an emotional perspective, the US stock market is probably just a step away from a correction.
Key turning point is about to begin! Will the Fed send a "surprise" this week?
In the financial markets, some traders, as well as economists from the USA's largest bank JPMorgan, are even preparing for a larger 50 basis point rate cut.